Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres

I'm backing the Padres -1.5 at plus money because the numbers paint a clear picture: San Diego is putting up a healthy 5.00 runs a game, while the Mariners are scraping together just 2.60, and both teams are leaking runs, but Seattle's offense flat-out hasn't shown up. The Padres’ recent two-game win streak gives them momentum, and the Mariners’ 6.00 runs allowed per outing means San Diego should have plenty of chances to open up a lead. Even with no starting pitcher data, I trust the Padres’ bats to do the heavy lifting here and cover the run line, especially at home. The odds give us enough juice to make this a smart, aggressive play.