Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays

I’m taking the Tigers moneyline at -130 because the hard numbers say Detroit’s bats have a clear edge—they’re averaging a strong 7.00 runs per game compared to Toronto’s 4.40, and while neither staff is lights-out, Detroit’s run prevention (5.40 allowed) is still notably better than Toronto’s ugly 6.20. There’s no pitcher data to split hairs, but when one club is scoring nearly three more runs per contest and giving up fewer, you ride that edge, especially when the market’s stable and there’s no sign of a trap. In a pick 'em scenario with cold stats, the value’s on Detroit’s offense to carry the day.