Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres

I'm taking the Padres -1.5 at +120 because the numbers tell the story here—San Diego is putting up 5.00 runs per game while Seattle can't get out of first gear, averaging just 2.60 runs. The Padres' bats are hot and they're riding a 2-game win streak, while the Mariners are barely scraping by with a single win and a game where they only put up 2 runs. San Diego is at home, their offense is firing, and with the Mariners consistently allowing 6 runs per game, this looks like a textbook spot to lay the run line and trust the home team to win by at least a couple. The line's stable, so no trap here—I'm backing the clear offensive edge and the Padres' momentum.