Sports picks for Monday, July 13, 2026

10 stored items

The stored Gary board for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.

Hub research

tournamentTO LIFT THE CUP
France head the title market at +140
France are the market's outright World Cup favourite at +140. Spain (+320) and England (+330) are the next shortest.
tournamentPATH TO THE FINAL
England are the market's pick to reach the final from the other half
Behind the outright favourite, England carry the shortest price to reach the final at -135 — the side the market most expects to come through the other half of the bracket.
xg_regressionARG @ ENG
Argentina are finishing above their chances
Argentina are scoring 2.8/match on 2.2 xG — 0.7 goals/match above expected across 6 matches. Finishing that hot rarely holds; their scoring is a regression-down read going forward.
ballparkW10 @ W10
W101 vs W102: afternoon heat at MetLife Stadium
An open-air 3pm local kickoff at MetLife Stadium — open-air in an exposed Meadowlands bowl. Conditioning is tested when matches are played in the afternoon sun.
tournamentSUREST TO ADVANCE
Côte d'Ivoire are the surest bet to advance
Côte d'Ivoire are -10000 to escape their group out of Group E — the shortest to-advance price on the board.
xg_recapMAR @ FRA
France created the better chances
France led the xG 3.1–0.1 and took the result to match (2–0).
xg_regressionESP @ FRA
France are finishing above their chances
France are scoring 2.7/match on 2.2 xG — 0.5 goals/match above expected across 6 matches. Finishing that hot rarely holds; their scoring is a regression-down read going forward.
tournamentGROUP STAGE
The eight best third-place sides advance
In the 48-team format the eight best third-place finishers reach the Round of 32 — a single win across the group stage can be enough to advance.
ballparkESP @ FRA
France vs Spain: indoors at AT&T Stadium
AT&T Stadium is a retractable-roof venue — retractable roof with air conditioning. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.
ballparkARG @ ENG
England vs Argentina: indoors at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium is a closed-roof venue — closed roof with air conditioning. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.