Sports picks for Monday, July 13, 2026

France head the title market at +140

France are the market's outright World Cup favourite at +140. Spain (+320) and England (+330) are the next shortest.

England are the market's pick to reach the final from the other half

Behind the outright favourite, England carry the shortest price to reach the final at -135 — the side the market most expects to come through the other half of the bracket.

Argentina are finishing above their chances

Argentina are scoring 2.8/match on 2.2 xG — 0.7 goals/match above expected across 6 matches. Finishing that hot rarely holds; their scoring is a regression-down read going forward.

France are finishing above their chances

France are scoring 2.7/match on 2.2 xG — 0.5 goals/match above expected across 6 matches. Finishing that hot rarely holds; their scoring is a regression-down read going forward.

Côte d'Ivoire are the surest bet to advance

Côte d'Ivoire are -10000 to escape their group out of Group E — the shortest to-advance price on the board.

France created the better chances

France led the xG 3.1–0.1 and took the result to match (2–0).

W101 vs W102: afternoon heat at MetLife Stadium

An open-air 3pm local kickoff at MetLife Stadium — open-air in an exposed Meadowlands bowl. Conditioning is tested when matches are played in the afternoon sun.

The eight best third-place sides advance

In the 48-team format the eight best third-place finishers reach the Round of 32 — a single win across the group stage can be enough to advance.

England vs Argentina: indoors at Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is a closed-roof venue — closed roof with air conditioning. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.

France vs Spain: indoors at AT&T Stadium

AT&T Stadium is a retractable-roof venue — retractable roof with air conditioning. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.