The stored Gary board for Tue, Jun 16. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.
France's clinical attack, averaging 2.67 goals per match, faces a Senegal defense that has shown recent cracks, conceding 1.40 goals per match over their last five outings. Backing Les Bleus to cover the -1.5 Asian handicap at 130 odds leverages their elite transition game against Senegal's defensive regression.
We are taking Iraq receiving 1.5 goals because the market is overpaying for Norway's historically prolific qualifying campaign. Norway struggled against deep blocks in recent friendlies (drawing 1-1 with Morocco and 0-0 with Switzerland), while Iraq's highly disciplined low-block defense successfully held Spain to a 1-1 draw. With Iraq fully healthy and Aymen Hussein providing a physical outlet, they are well-equipped to keep this matchup within a single goal.
Laying 1.5 goals against a highly disciplined Algerian side is a steep price, especially with Argentina missing starting left-back Nicolas Tagliafico and managing physical limitations for Lionel Messi and Emiliano Martinez. Under Vladimir Petkovic, Algeria's defensive core is bolstered by the return of Ramy Bensebaini, allowing them to absorb pressure and utilize the transition threat of Mohamed Amoura to stay competitive.
Under the clear skies and warm 78-degree air at Citizens Bank Park, the Philadelphia Phillies look to continue their divisional dominance as they host the Miami Marlins for the second game of this three-game series. On the mound, the market is overpaying for a fragile number with Tyler Phillips and his shiny 1.86 ERA. Phillips' xERA of 3.66 is nearly double his actual mark, suggesting his surface success has been built on shaky ground. Conversely, the market is underpricing Jesús Luzardo, whose 4.35 ERA hides a much more solid 3.46 xERA. This discrepancy shapes how we value the price tonight, indicating the Phillies are starting the superior pitcher. While Phillips is a converted reliever likely capped around 70-80 pitches, putting massive pressure on a depleted Marlins bullpen, Luzardo has shown his true ace potential recently, posting a 3.10 ERA over his last five starts while averaging nearly six innings per outing. The strongest argument against backing Philadelphia is Luzardo’s historical struggle against right-handed hitters, allowing a .281 average and .796 OPS. The Marlins' lineup is designed to exploit this split, featuring righty contact specialists like Otto Lopez (.478 AVG and 1.142 OPS vs LHP) and Xavier Edwards (.322 AVG and .936 OPS vs LHP) who can create early traffic. However, we are taking the Phillies anyway because the fresh injury to Trea Turner brings Edmundo Sosa into the starting lineup at shortstop. Sosa represents a major defensive upgrade, which is a perfect stabilizing force for a ground-ball pitcher like Luzardo. Additionally, the Phillies possess J.T. Realmuto behind the plate; his elite 40% caught-stealing rate completely neutralizes Miami's running game, whereas Marlins catcher Liam Hicks is a defensive liability, throwing out just 12.9% of baserunners. Furthermore, the environmental conditions tonight heavily favor the Phillies' power-heavy left-handed hitters. With a 7 mph wind blowing out to right field, lefties like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are primed to punish Phillips' primary pitch. Phillips relies on his sinker 27.7% of the time, which plays right into the hands of Schwarber (.675 slugging vs sinkers) and Harper (.351 average vs sinkers). Brandon Marsh is also exceptionally dangerous in these cozy dimensions, carrying a .983 home OPS. Once the starters depart, the Phillies hold a decisive bullpen advantage, with elite high-leverage arms like Jhoan Duran and Orion Kerkering fully rested after two days off, while the Marlins must navigate late frames with a struggling Pete Fairbanks (6.75 ERA) and a taxed middle relief. Expect the Phillies to leverage their home power and pitching depth to secure the victory.
Under clear skies and a warm 78-degree breeze blowing out to right field at 7 mph, the Washington Nationals look to clinch their series against the visiting Kansas City Royals at Nationals Park. While the market lists Washington as a modest favorite tonight, there is a substantial gulf in momentum and roster health that makes the Nationals at -134 a highly attractive value. Washington enters this matchup rolling with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games, scoring a relentless 6.8 runs per game, while the visiting Royals are reeling in the AL Central basement with a 4-6 record over their last 10 games and a host of devastating, fresh injuries. The pitching matchup features two starters currently overperforming their expected metrics, but their trajectories are headed in opposite directions. Foster Griffin (7-2, 3.46 ERA) has been excellent for Washington, maintaining a 2.05 ERA over his last four starts and carrying the emotional leverage of a "revenge game" against the organization that drafted and eventually cut him. Meanwhile, Michael Wacha (4-5, 3.58 ERA) is in a downward spiral, allowing 14 earned runs over his last 17.2 innings while his xERA sits at 4.25. Wacha's fly-ball tendency (0.75 GO/AO) is a recipe for disaster against Washington's premier left-handed hitters in a park with wind blowing out to right field. Compounding Kansas City's struggles is a gutted roster; the Royals recently lost middle-of-the-order force Vinnie Pasquantino to right hand surgery just two days ago, leaving an already thin lineup even more vulnerable against Griffin. The sharpest argument for Kansas City lies in their fundamental defense, which has committed only 32 errors this year compared to Washington's 61, and the presence of veteran Salvador Perez to control the running game. However, the Royals' bullpen is highly unstable, and their road scoring woes make it incredibly difficult to keep pace with a Nationals offense that has averaged 6.8 runs per game over their last 10. With Washington's top bats historically crushing Wacha's pitch mix and the team finding its stride at home, back the Nationals to take care of business tonight.
Under the clear skies and warming air of Fenway Park, two division rivals at a crossroads prepare to battle as the Blue Jays visit the Red Sox for a high-stakes series opener. While both teams have struggled, the pricing for tonight's matchup heavily undervalues the Blue Jays at -120 on the moneyline. This is a classic spot where the market overpays for the Red Sox's recent blowout win and Payton Tolle’s shiny 2.70 ERA, ignoring a massive pitching mismatch and the sudden rejuvenation of Toronto's lineup. The disparity on the mound tonight is wider than the standard season-long metrics suggest. Dylan Cease is in peak form, boasting a league-leading 13.63 K/9 and a fastball that averaged 97.8 mph in his last start. His newly integrated changeup is generating a staggering 70% whiff rate, allowing him to neutralize Boston's left-handed hitters. Conversely, rookie Payton Tolle is an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a 0.54 GO/AO ratio. Facing a right-handed heavy Toronto lineup that is stacking seven righties—specifically built to target the 37-foot Green Monster in the warm 77°F air—Tolle is in a highly precarious position. In their only prior meeting on April 28, the Blue Jays easily chased Tolle after just 4.2 innings, and he is coming off a start where he surrendered a career-high 9 hits. The ultimate tiebreaker lies in the roster reinforcement and catching disparity. The Blue Jays receive a massive offensive boost with the return of star first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and shortstop Andrés Giménez. Additionally, Alejandro Kirk (+2 framing runs) provides elite zone-expansion behind the plate for Cease, whereas Boston must rely on Connor Wong, whose -2 framing runs actively hurt his pitchers. While Boston boasts an elite defensive outfield with Ceddanne Rafaela (+9 OAA) and Jarren Duran (+4 OAA) to track down fly balls, they cannot catch the ones that sail over the wall. Back the Blue Jays to take the series opener.
We are live from the Bronx, where the surprising first-place Chicago White Sox prepare to battle the American League-leading New York Yankees in a high-stakes series opener. While the betting market has positioned the home team as favorites, the visiting underdogs present a compelling tactical and structural matchup advantage tonight. White Sox starter Davis Martin is a reverse-split specialist who holds left-handed hitters to a microscopic .206 batting average and .567 OPS. This matches up perfectly against a Yankees lineup that has loaded up with six left-handed batters in their top eight spots. While the market is paying for Martin’s shiny 2.41 ERA, which has regression signals given his 3.8 xERA and 46.5% hard-hit rate allowed, his platoon dominance is a major shield against New York's primary left-handed weapons. On the other side, Gerrit Cole is still in a conditioning ramp-up, having labored through 83 pitches in only 4.0 innings in his last outing. A disciplined Chicago lineup (28.6% chase rate) can work deep counts and force an early exit. Furthermore, the Yankees are dealing with a cascade of fresh injuries, with Giancarlo Stanton and Trent Grisham recently sidelined. This has forced natural infielder Jose Caballero into an emergency outfield start in right field and rookie Spencer Jones into center, creating a highly experimental defense. This stands in stark contrast to a cohesive White Sox team that minimizes defensive mistakes, averaging just 0.46 errors per game. Behind the plate, the defensive disparity is massive. Chicago's Drew Romo is an elite run-neutralizer with a 40.9% caught-stealing rate, while the Yankees' J.C. Escarra has struggled, catching only 23.1% of base runners, allowing the White Sox's speed-and-contact offense to consistently pressure the bases. Once this game transitions to the middle and late innings, the bullpen depth heavily favors Chicago. The Yankees' middle relief beyond closer David Bednar and setup man Fernando Cruz remains highly volatile. Conversely, the White Sox boast superior relief depth, featuring high-strikeout weapons like Grant Taylor (52 K in 36.2 IP) and left-handed specialist Bryan Hudson (2.45 ERA), who can be deployed precisely to neutralize New York's left-handed core in high-leverage situations. The strongest case for the Yankees lies in their home dominance and the potential for their left-handed power to exploit the short right-field porch, but Martin's elite platoon splits, Romo's defense, and the Yankees' sudden outfield vulnerability make the White Sox the sharp value play.
We are live under the partly cloudy skies of Great American Ball Park as the New York Mets look to shake off a brutal blowout and establish their dominance behind a returning ace, while the Cincinnati Reds aim to keep their bats blazing in this high-stakes NL clash. The public is overreacting to Cincinnati's 12-0 victory yesterday, but that has created value on the Mets at -124 on the moneyline. While the Mets’ bullpen was pushed to its limits after throwing 8.0 innings in Monday's loss, this game is defined by how the starting pitchers match up against the opposing lineups. The Mets are sending six left-handed hitters to face Brady Singer, who is defenseless against lefties, allowing a massive .997 OPS and .346 average to them. Superstar Juan Soto, sporting a 1.006 OPS against righties, is a nightmare matchup for Singer’s sinker-slider mix, especially with the 9 mph wind blowing from right to left aiding the Mets' lefties pulling the ball. The strongest counterargument to backing the Mets is the clear rust risk for Kodai Senga, who is making his first appearance since late April due to injury, combined with New York's heavily taxed middle relief. Senga’s surface-level 9.00 ERA is alarming, but the market is overpaying for a fragile number here. Senga's underlying metrics show significant positive regression indicators, with his expected ERA sitting at 4.76 and his opponent xwOBA at .339 compared to an actual .417 wOBA. Even if Senga is limited, the Mets' offense is primed for a major bounce-back. Yesterday, they moved runners constantly but suffered from bad luck, leaving 12 men on base and going 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position. They now face a struggling Singer, whose 5.61 ERA is backed by a 5.80 expected ERA, and the Reds have lost seven straight of his starts while he has yielded 9 home runs in his last 22.2 innings. While the Reds' offense had a banner day on Monday, they remain without Elly De La Cruz, which reduces their overall speed and pressure on the basepaths. Senga’s elite "Ghost Fork" remains a premium put-away pitch that can neutralize right-handed bats like Eugenio Suarez, preventing them from repeating yesterday's blowout. This is a classic spot where the market is inflating Cincinnati's value based on a single blowout while underestimating New York's immense tactical advantage. Expect the Mets to strike early, leverage their extreme platoon advantage, and walk away with a much-needed victory to even the series.
A cool, overcast evening at Truist Park sets the stage for a compelling series opener as the Atlanta Braves aim to snap a recent slide against the visiting San Francisco Giants. The absolute central pivot of this game is Adrian Houser's catastrophic platoon split against left-handed hitters, who are batting .335 with a 1.022 OPS and eight home runs against him this season. The Braves' lineup is perfectly designed to exploit this, starting three straight lefties at the top of the order in Drake Baldwin, Michael Harris II, and Matt Olson. Houser relies on his sinker 44.9% of the time, a pitch carrying a poor .382 xwOBA that will be fed directly to Baldwin (.689 xwOBA vs. sinkers) and Olson (.446 xwOBA vs. sinkers, 20 HR). The strongest counter-argument is that Braves starter Grant Holmes is due for some regression, entering with a 4.05 ERA but a 4.64 xERA while surrendering six home runs over his last 25.1 innings. However, the cool 72°F temperature and a 6 mph wind blowing in from right field will help neutralize pull power and keep fly balls in play. More importantly, even if Holmes has a short outing, the pitching depth heavily favors Atlanta. Houser routinely fails to clear the fifth inning, which will force the Giants to rely on a heavily depleted bullpen. With key bridge arm Keaton Winn (3.23 ERA, 11 HLD) on the 15-day IL, the Giants must turn to high-WHIP relievers like Erik Miller (1.73 WHIP) and Ryan Walker (5.71 ERA, 1.67 WHIP) to handle high-leverage spots. In stark contrast, the Braves have an elite bullpen with a fully rested back-end duo of Raisel Iglesias (1.16 ERA, 14 SV) and Robert Suarez (0.59 ERA, 11 HLD) who have not pitched in two days. The defensive backing also provides a massive cushion, as the Braves have committed only 31 errors all season (.988 fielding percentage) compared to the Giants' shaky 48 errors (.982 fielding percentage). Returning home to Truist Park where they are 22-11, the Braves hold a massive edge across the starting pitching matchup, bullpen availability, and defensive reliability.
Under the closed roof of American Family Field, two division leaders collide tonight as the surging Milwaukee Brewers host a depleted Cleveland Guardians squad looking to find its footing. The story of this game hinges on two opposing forces: a Brewers team playing with maximum momentum and a Guardians lineup entering its first game since losing franchise superstar José Ramírez to hand surgery. While the market has priced Milwaukee as the favorite at -154, the gap between these two teams is wider than the odds imply because Cleveland's offense is in a state of sudden crisis, having also lost outfielder Angel Martínez to a foot fracture today. Without Ramírez's presence in the heart of the order, Cleveland is forced to field an incredibly thin lineup that will struggle to produce the runs required to keep up with Milwaukee’s high-octane offense. The pitching matchup also heavily favors the home side once you look past the surface-level ERAs. Robert Gasser's 6.38 ERA is an extreme statistical anomaly, with his 3.69 xERA indicating he is due for massive positive regression. Gasser possesses an elite four-seam fastball that has generated a 40% whiff rate and a minuscule .109 xwOBA, and his mechanical tweaks—including a new sinker—are designed to neutralize fly balls. He faces a highly compromised Cleveland lineup that has lost its main power source, providing a soft landing for him to settle in. Meanwhile, Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi, despite a solid recent stretch, struggles immensely against right-handed hitters, allowing an .856 OPS. This plays directly into the hands of the red-hot Jackson Chourio, who has been absolutely decimating pitching to the tune of a .388 average with 7 home runs over his last ten games. Beyond the bats and arms, the execution edges are entirely in Milwaukee's corner. The Brewers feature a massive advantage in run prevention and containment behind the plate, where William Contreras has thrown out an elite 83.3% of baserunners (15 of 18) this season. In sharp contrast, Cleveland's Austin Hedges has been a liability in the run game, posting a poor 7.4% caught-stealing rate and catching just 2 of 27 baserunners. This leaves the basepaths wide open for Milwaukee's speedsters like Brice Turang to run wild, creating extra high-leverage scoring opportunities. With a fresh, fully rested bullpen ready to support Gasser and a raucous home crowd energized by top prospect Cooper Pratt’s major league debut, the Brewers represent outstanding value to win this series opener cleanly on the moneyline.
The sun begins to set over Busch Stadium as a critical National League Wild Card battle takes center stage, with the Cardinals looking to build on yesterday's dominant shutout while the Padres search for answers at the plate. Tonight's starting pitching matchup highlights a massive divergence in expected versus actual performance. While Michael King’s 3.46 ERA looks solid, his 4.48 xERA indicates the market is paying for a fragile number, as his 10.2% barrel rate allowed makes him highly vulnerable to regression. Conversely, Andre Pallante is significantly underperforming his 3.88 ERA, with a 3.19 xERA that reflects superior contact management. The surrounding environment at the ballpark acts as a direct multiplier of these pitching styles. The wind is blowing out to right field at 11 mph tonight, which would typically spell danger for any pitcher, but Pallante is a ground-ball pitcher with a 1.37 GO/AO ratio and a suppressed 6.6% barrel rate allowed. He is built to keep the ball on the grass and completely neutralize the wind. On the other hand, King allows a much higher 10.2% barrel rate, making him a ticking time bomb in these conditions, particularly when facing a Cardinals lineup starting five left-handed hitters like Alec Burleson, who enters on a 15-game hitting streak and is primed to launch balls into the wind. The strongest counter-argument to this play is Michael King's reverse platoon advantage against left-handed hitting, but the Padres' offensive situation is simply too broken to overcome right now. San Diego enters tonight with a major league-worst .217 team batting average, coming off a game where they were nearly no-hit. Furthermore, yesterday's complete-game shutout has left the Cardinals' entire bullpen completely rested. This gives St. Louis a massive late-inning advantage, allowing their coaching staff to pull Pallante early if needed and run out a fully fresh relief corps to secure the victory.
Wrigley Field welcomes us tonight with the flags stiffly rippling, as a formidable 17 mph wind blows straight out to right field for Game 2 of this National League clash. With the elements primed for a high-scoring shootout, the betting market has positioned the Cubs as heavy -198 favorites, but a closer look at the starting pitching matchup and a critical, fresh bullpen injury suggests the price is far too steep. While the public is riding the high of Pete Crow-Armstrong's historic cycle in yesterday's walk-off, the market is overpaying for a fragile number in Cubs starter Edward Cabrera. Cabrera has been highly vulnerable lately, posting a bloated 7.89 ERA over his last 5 starts and allowing 8 home runs in his last 21.2 innings. He has allowed 3 or more runs in 8 of his last 10 starts. This home-run crisis is catastrophic in a wind-out environment, especially against a Rockies lineup strategically loaded with seven left-handed or switch-hitters designed to exploit Cabrera’s .812 opponent OPS allowed to lefties. Hot-hitting Hunter Goodman (.316 average, 5 HR in his last 10 games) and Troy Johnston (.354 average against right-handers) are perfectly positioned to punish any mistake Cabrera leaves in the wind. On the other side of the ledger, Ryan Feltner has shown much better stability recently, posting a 4.13 ERA over his last 5 starts while suppressing home runs far more effectively than Cabrera, allowing only 3 homers in his last 24.0 innings. The primary argument against Colorado is Feltner’s vulnerability to right-handers, who have tagged him for an .877 OPS this season, a split the Cubs' right-handed bats will look to exploit. However, the game-changing variable lies in the bullpen. Earlier today, the Cubs placed high-leverage reliever Daniel Palencia on the 15-day injured list with right elbow inflammation. Palencia's sudden absence strips the Cubs of late-inning stability and forces their manager to navigate high-leverage situations under a closer-by-committee in a high-variance, wind-blown ballpark. In a matchup where both starting pitchers face significant platoon challenges and a 17 mph wind threatens to carry any fly ball out of the park, this game profiles as a highly volatile, high-scoring affair. The Cubs' defensive edge and Crow-Armstrong's red-hot bat (.452 over his last 10 games) are formidable, but they do not justify laying -198 when their starter is in a massive slump and their bullpen depth has just been compromised. With Feltner showing better recent home run control and the Rockies’ lefties primed to attack Cabrera's greatest weakness, the value lies entirely with the underdog. We are backing the Rockies to exploit the wind and the Cubs' late-inning instability to secure an outright victory.
The stage is set under the closed roof of Globe Life Field as the Minnesota Twins look to lock down a road series victory against the Texas Rangers. In this classic matchup of contrasting pitching paths, the betting market has established the Rangers as home favorites, but the value sits squarely with the underdogs from Minnesota. The market is overpaying for Kumar Rocker's shiny 3.56 ERA and Matthews' inflated 5.20 ERA, failing to recognize that their underlying performance profiles are pointing in opposite directions. Rocker is a clear negative regression candidate with a fragile 4.7 xERA, fueled by a high 1.34 WHIP and a 43.5% hard-hit rate. Matthews, on the other hand, is a prime positive regression candidate carrying a strong 1.18 WHIP and a 3.77 xERA, indicating he has been undone by isolated mistakes rather than consistent traffic. Beyond the pitching mismatch, the lineup dynamics heavily favor the Twins due to a critical roster development. The Rangers are dealing with a fresh injury blow after placing superstar shortstop Corey Seager on the concussion injured list yesterday. Without Seager's left-handed power in the middle of the order, an already mediocre Texas offense that averages 4.0 R/G loses its primary fear factor, allowing Matthews to attack the zone with confidence. Meanwhile, the Twins' offense enters this contest absolutely on fire, posting an elite 15.0% barrel rate and a 53.8% hard-hit rate over their last three games. Minnesota is also perfectly constructed to exploit Rocker’s massive platoon struggle against lefties, who tag him for a .755 OPS, by stacking Trevor Larnach and Kody Clemens at the top of the lineup. To be fair, the Rangers possess clear advantages in defense and late-inning bullpen depth. Texas has committed only 33 errors on the season, and catcher Elias Diaz shuts down base runners with a 57% caught-stealing rate, whereas Minnesota's Alex Jackson has thrown out just 9% of runners. Furthermore, if this game is tied in the late frames, the rested relief tandem of Jacob Latz and Jakob Junis gives the home team a distinct edge over a heavily taxed Twins bullpen. However, with the Twins hitting the ball so hard and Josh Bell continuing to rake in his home state, Minnesota is highly likely to jump on Rocker early. Back the red-hot Twins to exploit Rocker's platoon split, weather the late-inning storm, and secure the victory at an excellent plus-money price.
Under the closed roof of Daikin Park, the Houston Astros look to bounce back and salvage their series against the visiting Detroit Tigers in an emotional reunion on the mound. The market is pricing the Astros as a clear home favorite (-178), and despite their recent struggles, this is the spot to lay the price on the home team. The matchup advantages here are overwhelming, starting with the platoon splits. Tigers starter Framber Valdez enters in a significant slump, posting a 5.01 FIP over his last 30 days and struggling with a sinker that has been hit hard to the tune of a .302 batting average against and .395 xwOBA. He faces an Astros lineup packed with seven right-handed bats and loaded with sinker-mashing options like Yordan Alvarez, who boasts a massive .579 xwOBA against the pitch, and Isaac Paredes, who hits them at a .409 clip. With Daikin Park's short 315-foot left-field porch looming, Valdez's reliance on a failing sinker is a recipe for disaster. The main argument against backing Houston is the health and stamina of Hunter Brown, who is returning from a 60-day IL stint due to a shoulder strain. Brown will almost certainly be on a strict pitch count, which could expose a Houston middle bullpen that was heavily worked yesterday. However, the pitching mismatch remains severe because of how Brown's elite arsenal interacts with Detroit's lineup. Before his injury, Brown held a dominant 0.84 ERA and a 14.3 K/9 while being virtually untouchable against left-handed hitters, allowing a minuscule .071 batting average. Detroit is sending out a heavily left-handed lineup featuring six lefties who will walk straight into Brown's high-spin vertical movement and elite secondary pitches. Even on a limited workload, Brown's ability to dominate left-handers should allow him to cruise through his pitch limit and hand a lead over to the high-leverage arms. Furthermore, the Tigers are playing at a severe disadvantage tonight due to a critical, fresh injury. Detroit will be without Gleyber Torres, who left yesterday's game with a left side injury after hitting .341 with a .998 OPS in June. Replacing his middle-of-the-order production with Hao-Yu Lee dramatically lowers the floor of Detroit's offense. While the Tigers' bullpen will also be heavily taxed after using six relievers yesterday—completely ruling out key arms like Drew Anderson and Tyler Holton—their offense simply doesn't have the teeth to keep up without Torres. Houston's offense is getting healthier with the return of catcher Yainer Diaz, making their lineup much deeper. Trust the home team's elite situational matchup to overwhelm a compromised Tigers squad.
Under the closed roof of Chase Field, the desert heat is locked outside as the Diamondbacks look to secure another home victory against a visiting Angels squad searching for answers. This matchup is heavily priced around the teams' overall records, but the starting pitching disparity suggests the wrong team is favored here. The market is overpaying for Merrill Kelly's five wins, completely ignoring a highly fragile 5.46 ERA that masks a disastrous 7.19 xERA. Kelly is surrendering a massive 15% barrel rate and 43.5% hard-hit rate, and tonight he faces an Angels offense that is currently red-hot, boasting a .403 xwOBA and a 42.3% hard-hit rate over their last three games. Specifically, Kelly has been dismantled by left-handed hitters this season, yielding a massive .949 OPS and 10 home runs. The Angels' lefties—Nolan Schanuel, Wade Meckler, and Donovan Walton—are in an ideal position to exploit this weakness early and often. On the other side of the mound, Reid Detmers is pitching at an All-Star caliber level that his 4.00 ERA doesn't do justice. Backed by a pristine 2.87 xERA and a strikeout rate of 10.8 K/9, Detmers is currently in a sensational groove, posting a 1.73 ERA over his last four starts. Detmers acts as a total eraser against lefties, limiting them to a tiny .184 batting average and .504 OPS. This elite platoon defense is precisely what the Angels need to neutralize Arizona's star outfielder, Corbin Carroll, who faces a true strength-on-strength battle in the three-hole. With Detmers limiting hard contact and racking up empty swings, the Angels should control the game's tempo through the first six innings. The most glaring risk for the Angels is their bullpen depth, especially with high-leverage arm Kirby Yates landing on the IL today and Jordan Romano sporting a 10.13 ERA. However, the sheer gap in the starting pitching matchup is too wide to ignore, and it offsets the late-inning concerns. Logan O'Hoppe's superior defensive stability behind the plate and the sheer offensive power the Angels are generating recently will establish a cushion before the relievers are forced to get involved. Back the Angels on the moneyline at a bargain price to snap their slide and exploit Kelly's pending regression.
The Pacific Northwest breeze is blowing in as the first-place Seattle Mariners welcome the Baltimore Orioles to T-Mobile Park for a high-stakes series opener. While both teams have experienced recent struggles, this game hinges on a massive disparity in health and situational readiness. The market is overpaying for Brandon Young's shiny but fragile 3.04 ERA, which hides a highly vulnerable 4.39 xERA and a concerning 43.8% Hard-hit rate. Young dominated Seattle with 7.0 scoreless innings six days ago, but the lineup he faces tonight is fundamentally different. With J.P. Crawford and Cal Raleigh activated from the IL, and Randy Arozarena and Josh Naylor confirmed in the lineup, the Mariners finally have their full-strength offense ready to exploit Young's regression-prone profile. On the other side, Logan Gilbert is the superior starting pitcher, bringing a stellar 1.08 WHIP and a dominant 9.3 K/9. While Gilbert is a fly-ball heavy pitcher (0.67 GO/AO) with an 11.6% Barrel rate, T-Mobile Park’s spacious dimensions and a cool 74°F night with an 8 mph wind blowing in from Left Field will neutralize his home run risk, turning deep fly balls into routine outs. Gilbert has historically dominated the heart of Baltimore’s lineup: Adley Rutschman is 0-for-8 with 2 Ks, Gunnar Henderson is 1-for-8 with 4 Ks, and Leody Taveras is batting just .118 (2-for-17) against him. This psychological and tactical edge will keep the Orioles' power threats quiet in a pitcher-friendly environment. The strongest argument for Baltimore is Young's recent quality starts and a sharper late-inning bridge featuring Rico Garcia (1.82 ERA). However, the Orioles are a bottom-tier road team (12-20 Away) and are playing with a depleted roster, missing key protection in Ryan Mountcastle and a reliable starting rotation behind Young. Seattle’s superior team defense (.987 Fielding % and +8 DRS) provides a reliable safety net that Baltimore (.984 Fielding %) simply lacks. Backed by their home crowd and a refreshed, healthy squad, the Mariners are primed to punish Young's contact-oriented approach and take the series opener. Lay the price on the home favorite.
We are under the hot evening skies of West Sacramento tonight at Sutter Health Park, where the Sacramento heat is turning this temporary home of the Athletics into a true launchpad. The Athletics look to keep their division-climbing momentum rolling as they host the struggling Pirates in the second game of this three-game set. This is a classic case of a matchup where the moneyline price does not reflect the diverging directions of the starting pitchers. Mitch Keller is in a complete mid-season tailspin, logging a 12.79 ERA over his last three starts and allowing 24 hits in just 12.2 innings. Hitters are absolutely vaporizing Keller's primary four-seam fastball, which carries an astronomical .553 xwOBA allowed. To make matters worse, Keller has a steep platoon disadvantage against left-handed hitters (.772 OPS), and Oakland is lining up five lefties tonight, including the red-hot Nick Kurtz, who has a 1.086 OPS against right-handers and destroys fastballs (.533 xwOBA). Conversely, while Jack Perkins sports a bloated 6.25 ERA, his 3.66 xERA tells us that the market is overpaying for a fragile surface number. Perkins possesses electric stuff, utilizing a sweeper with a 40.0% whiff rate and a changeup with a 42.3% whiff rate to neutralize opponents. Perkins' biggest asset tonight is his reverse platoon split: he has held left-handed hitters to a tiny .550 OPS this season. Since the Pirates have countered with a left-heavy lineup featuring seven left-handed or switch hitters, Perkins is uniquely positioned to neutralize their offensive core. Furthermore, Oakland’s blowout win yesterday leaves their primary bullpen arms like Hogan Harris (2.67 ERA) completely rested, whereas the Pirates are highly fatigued after taxing Carmen Mlodzinski for 75 pitches in relief. The strongest argument against backing the A's is Perkins' fly-ball tendency (0.78 GO/AO) and home run vulnerability—he has surrendered three home runs in his last two starts—which is highly risky in a 91°F park with a 10 mph wind blowing out to left. If right-handed hitters like Nick Gonzales (.296 AVG) exploit Perkins' weak split against righties (.898 OPS), Pittsburgh can keep pace. However, Perkins has the elite miss-bat stuff to escape jams, while Keller’s collapsing fastball leaves him with zero margin for error in this launchpad. Expect Oakland's rested bullpen and strategic platoon alignment to guide them to a victory.
It is a beautiful evening at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium as the Tampa Bay Rays look to level the series against the home-standing Los Angeles Dodgers. While the Dodgers are favored at -146 on the moneyline, the market is overpaying for a fragile number on the mound in Justin Wrobleski. Wrobleski carries a shiny 2.95 ERA, but his 4.19 xERA reveals he has been highly fortunate, and tonight he is starting on short four days' rest with a bruised leg from a recent hamstring contusion. Against a disciplined Tampa Bay offense that ranks near the top of the league in chase rate, a vulnerable fly-ball pitcher (0.64 GO/AO) who surrenders a 42.7% hard-hit rate is in a very dangerous spot. The Rays' hitters are perfectly suited to exploit Wrobleski's primary offerings. His sinker has been hammered for a .435 batting average this season, which is catastrophic against Tampa Bay's Yandy Díaz (.426 BA vs sinkers) and Junior Caminero (.393 BA vs sinkers). Meanwhile, Drew Rasmussen is throwing at a Cy Young level, coming off 14.0 consecutive scoreless innings with 22 strikeouts over his last two starts. Rasmussen's high-velocity fastball and devastating cutter completely erase right-handed hitters, holding them to a .125 AVG and .357 OPS. This presents an extremely difficult matchup for right-handed Dodgers bats like Mookie Betts and Andy Pages. The strongest argument for the Dodgers is their dominant 23-12 home record and a far fresher high-leverage bullpen compared to a taxed Tampa Bay relief unit. If the game remains tight late, the Dodgers have a clear advantage with Tanner Scott and Alex Vesia ready. However, Rasmussen’s current elite form should allow him to pitch deep, bypassing the Rays' middle-relief fatigue. With the Dodgers fielding a compromised lineup that includes Chuckie Robinson and his .000 batting average, the Rays' massive starting pitching edge and highly motivated state—trailing the Yankees by only 1.5 games—make them a spectacular value play as road underdogs.
France's offensive system is built around high-volume shot creation, averaging 17.5 shots per match over their last 6 fixtures. As the focal point of the attack, Mbappe is the primary beneficiary of France's 64.5% possession and elite 89.83% pass accuracy.
Norway enters this match as heavy -450 favorites, averaging 3.1 goals per match and 4 shots on target per game. With a team xG of 1.95 and 12 total shots per match, the offensive volume is concentrated in a side that maintains 52.67% possession and high passing accuracy (87.5%).
While France is expected to dominate possession, Senegal has shown remarkable clinical efficiency, putting 5 of their 11.25 shots per match on target (44.4% accuracy). Sadio Mane remains the central figure in Senegal's counter-attack and set-piece situations (7.0 corners/match).
Iraq's offensive production is statistically minimal, averaging just 3 total shots per match across their last six outings. In a matchup where they are massive underdogs (+1300 moneyline) and likely to see less than 40% of the ball (34% recent average), individual opportunities for their forwards will be scarce.
James Wood is in the midst of a significant power surge, having homered in three of his last five games and four of his last ten. His season-long home run rate of 27.4% already exceeds the implied probability of his +290 odds (25.6%), and his situational factors tonight suggest an even higher ceiling. Wood is significantly more productive at Nationals Park, where he has hit 12 of his 20 home runs and maintains a 1.042 OPS.
Jackson Chourio is currently the hottest hitter in baseball, entering this matchup with five home runs over his last five games and seven total home runs in June. He is batting .414 for the month and has raised his season OPS to .942.
Matt Olson is positioned for a high-ceiling night against Adrian Houser, whose performance against left-handed hitters has been a massive liability this season. Houser is surrendering a 1.022 OPS and 8 home runs to lefties in just 164 at-bats—a home run rate of one every 20.5 ABs.
Despite a low .185 season average, Rhys Hoskins remains a dangerous power threat, particularly in matchups against fly-ball-prone lefties. He faces Robert Gasser, who has surrendered six home runs in just 18.1 innings of work this year—an alarming 2.95 HR/9 rate.
Kyle Schwarber is a dominant home-field power hitter, recording 14 of his 24 home runs this season at Citizens Bank Park with a massive 1.037 OPS. While Tyler Phillips has maintained a low surface ERA of 1.86, his 3.66 xERA and 36.4% hard-hit rate suggest significant regression is due. Schwarber has hit 16 of his home runs against right-handed pitching this season, making him the primary candidate to exploit a pitcher whose expected metrics indicate he is more vulnerable to power than his results suggest. Tonight's weather environment (78F and wind blowing out to RF) perfectly suits his pull-side power.
Ben Rice has emerged as the Yankees' primary power source in the absence of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, slugging 19 home runs in just 65 games. He faces Davis Martin, whose 2.41 ERA is heavily belied by a 3.80 xERA and a concerning 46.5% hard-hit rate allowed. Martin's tendency to allow loud contact makes him a prime candidate for home run regression, especially against a hitter like Rice who maintains a 1.046 OPS against right-handed pitching. As the leadoff hitter in a high-scoring environment at Yankee Stadium, Rice will see maximum plate appearances to capitalize on Martin's contact-quality vulnerabilities.
Drake Baldwin returns from the injured list directly into the leadoff spot, where he will maximize his opportunities against the struggling Adrian Houser. Before his injury, Baldwin was one of the most efficient power hitters in the Braves' lineup, slugging 13 home runs in just 188 at-bats—a rate of one home run every 14.5 ABs.
Yordan Alvarez is the premier power threat in the Astros lineup, leading the team with 24 home runs this season. Tonight he faces a left-handed starter in Framber Valdez, but Alvarez has been elite in reverse-platoon situations this season, slashing .316 AVG / 1.028 OPS with 8 home runs against southpaws.
Bryce Harper thrives in the platoon advantage against right-handed pitchers, slugging 12 of his 15 home runs against righties this season with a .975 OPS. He enters this matchup following a home run and a 6-total-base performance in his previous game, indicating he is finding his power stroke. He faces Tyler Phillips, whose underlying expected metrics (3.66 xERA) suggest he is susceptible to regression after a string of lucky outings. In a game with 7 mph winds blowing out toward right field, Harper is well-positioned to drive a ball out of the park from his 3rd spot in the lineup.
While Bobby Witt Jr. is currently in a power slump (0 HR in his last 10 games), the matchup against Foster Griffin presents a prime opportunity for a breakthrough. Griffin has struggled significantly with the long ball this season, allowing 1.73 HR per 9 innings and a high 11.8% barrel rate.
Colson Montgomery enters this matchup with significant momentum, having launched two home runs in his last five games. He faces Gerrit Cole, who has shown a distinct fly-ball profile this season with a 0.48 GO/AO (grounders per flyout).
Christian Walker enters tonight's game with momentum, having homered in two of his last three contests. While his season average against lefties is lower than his career norm (.190 AVG), he remains a primary home run threat for Houston batting third in the lineup.
Otto Lopez presents the strongest statistical edge on the board due to an extreme platoon advantage. He is currently batting .478 with a 1.142 OPS against left-handed pitching this season. He faces southpaw Jesús Luzardo, who has been far less effective at Citizens Bank Park (7.34 home ERA) than on the road.
Kyle Schwarber is one of the most disciplined hitters in the league, and his profile tonight suggests a high probability of drawing at least one walk. He has walked in 60% of his last 10 games and faces Tyler Phillips, who has struggled with control, issuing 4.5 walks per nine innings.
James Wood is the engine of a Washington offense that leads MLB in total runs (399). He enters this matchup in elite form, clearing this 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs line in four of his last five games while averaging 4.2 HRR per game in that stretch.
Maikel Garcia is the Royals' premier performer against left-handed pitching, slashing .340/.941 OPS in the split. He faces Foster Griffin, a southpaw who is highly vulnerable to right-handed bats, allowing nearly all of his home runs (12 of 15) to that side of the plate.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. returns to the lineup tonight after missing two games with lower back tightness.
While Willson Contreras has been the Red Sox's most productive hitter this season, he faces a nightmare individual matchup tonight against Dylan Cease. Cease is the most dominant strikeout pitcher in baseball right now, and his metrics against right-handed hitters like Contreras are elite; he has held righties to a .202 batting average and a meager .526 OPS across 109 at-bats. Contreras has cooled off slightly in recent days, going hitless (0-for-7) in his last two games. Given Cease's ability to generate whiffs at a high rate (13.63 K/9), the total number of balls in play for Contreras will be limited, making it difficult for him to accumulate the multiple hits or RBIs needed to clear the 1.5 threshold.
Colson Montgomery is currently in a significant offensive slump, batting just .162 over his last ten games and recording zero hits in five of those contests. Tonight, he faces a difficult matchup against Gerrit Cole, who has been exceptionally dominant against left-handed hitters since returning to the rotation.
While White Sox starter Davis Martin enters with a shiny 2.41 ERA, his underlying metrics suggest significant regression is imminent, particularly against right-handed hitters. Martin allows a .281 average to righties (compared to .206 vs lefties) and a dangerous 46.5% hard-hit rate.
Kodai Senga's durability and command have been major issues in 2026, leading to early exits in a majority of his appearances. He failed to reach 5.0 innings (15 outs) in three of his five starts, logging outings of 2.2, 3.1, and 2.1 innings.
JJ Bleday enters this matchup as the Reds' most consistent power threat, leading the team with 13 home runs and a .953 OPS. He faces Kodai Senga, who has struggled significantly with command and performance against left-handed hitters this season, surrendering a .366 batting average and a 1.079 OPS to the platoon.
Matt Chapman is currently the most productive hitter in this matchup, entering the series on a historic tear where he has recorded 16 hits in his last 32 at-bats. Over this 10-game stretch, he has cleared this 1.5 Hits_Runs_RBIs line in 7 of 10 contests, aided by 5 home runs and 18 RBIs. He faces Grant Holmes, whose advanced metrics suggest significant vulnerability; Holmes' xERA is more than half a run higher than his actual ERA, indicating he has benefited from favorable batted-ball luck that Chapman's current contact quality is likely to exploit. Batting third in the Giants' order, Chapman is guaranteed maximum plate appearance volume to accumulate stats.
Austin Riley has struggled significantly in 2026, carrying a .203 batting average into this game. His recent form is equally concerning, as he has gone hitless in three of his last five games and has only two total hits in that span. Tonight's matchup is particularly difficult for him as a right-handed hitter; Adrian Houser significantly suppresses righties, holding them to a .212 average and a meager .581 OPS this season. Furthermore, Riley has been moved down to the 7th spot in the Braves' lineup, which reduces his total plate appearance opportunities to roughly 3-4 per game, making the 'no-hit' scenario highly probable at a +155 price.
Jackson Chourio is currently the hottest hitter in baseball, entering this series with a .414 batting average and 7 home runs in the month of June alone. He has cleared this 1.5 hits+runs+rbis threshold in five consecutive games, averaging a staggering 4.4 HRR per game in that span.
Steven Kwan faces a severe platoon disadvantage tonight against left-hander Robert Gasser. Kwan has struggled immensely against southpaws this season, posting a meager .169 batting average and a .505 OPS in those matchups. Compounding this struggle is a significant role change; while Kwan typically bats at the top of the order, tonight's confirmed lineup has him demoted to the #7 spot against the lefty.
Jordan Walker is currently the most consistent offensive force in the Cardinals' lineup, coming off a 3-for-5 performance in the series opener and batting .326 over his last 10 games. This matchup is statistically favorable for Walker due to Michael King's significant platoon splits; King is much more vulnerable to right-handed hitters, allowing an OPS nearly 100 points higher (.719) to RHBs than LHBs.
Manny Machado has struggled significantly in 2026, particularly against right-handed pitching where he is hitting just .156 on the season. He faces Andre Pallante, a ground-ball specialist (1.37 GO/AO) who has been highly effective against right-handed hitters, limiting them to a .228 batting average.
Ryan Feltner enters this matchup with a low strikeout profile, averaging just 6.4 K/9 on the season. Across his eight starts in 2026, he has struggled to generate consistent swing-and-miss stuff, staying below this 3.5-strikeout threshold in three of his last five outings.
Hunter Goodman is currently in the midst of a historic power surge, leading the Rockies with 20 home runs through the team's first 72 games. His production is significantly enhanced when playing away from Coors Field, where he maintains a superior .961 OPS and has hit 13 of his 20 homers.
Byron Buxton is currently the hottest hitter in the American League, coming off a Player of the Week selection and currently ranking 3rd in MLB with 23 home runs. He has cleared this 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs line in 7 of his last 10 games, including yesterday's series opener where he homered.
While the Twins' offense has been productive, Trevor Larnach is currently in a significant individual slump that makes his 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs line a strong under candidate. In his last five games, Larnach has recorded zero RBIs and zero runs scored, while managing just two total hits (1-for-4, 0-for-5, 0-for-3, 1-for-5, 0-for-4).
Yordan Alvarez is currently displaying elite plate discipline, having drawn at least one walk in each of his last five games. Tonight, he faces Tigers starter Framber Valdez, who has struggled with command recently, issuing multiple walks in five consecutive starts and posting a 1.34 WHIP on the season.
Kerry Carpenter faces a difficult historical matchup tonight against Hunter Brown. In 15 career at-bats against the Astros right-hander, Carpenter has managed only two hits (.133 AVG) while striking out three times.
Jo Adell is currently the most productive hitter in the Angels' lineup, maintaining a .390 average over his last 10 games with multi-hit performances in three consecutive starts. He faces Merrill Kelly, whose peripheral metrics suggest imminent regression; Kelly's 7.19 xERA is nearly two full runs higher than his actual 5.46 ERA, driven by a massive 15% barrel rate and 43.5% hard-hit rate allowed. Adell has cleared the 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs threshold in four of his last five games, totaling 14 combined HRR in that span. Given Kelly's inability to miss bats (5.3 K/9) and Adell's elite contact quality recently, the outfielder is well-positioned to continue his production at the top of the order.
Ildemaro Vargas enters tonight's contest in a significant slump, having failed to record a hit in five consecutive games. He draws a difficult matchup against Reid Detmers, who is arguably the hottest pitcher in the American League, posting a 1.73 ERA over his last four starts.
Byron Buxton is in the midst of a historic power surge, having hit 6 home runs over his last 10 games. His performance is significantly amplified in night games, where he has recorded 21 of his 23 home runs this season and carries a massive 1.176 OPS. While Rangers starter Kumar Rocker has a respectable 3.56 ERA, his 4.70 xERA and 43.5% hard-hit rate allowed suggest he is extremely vulnerable to power hitters. Given Buxton already homered in the series opener and Rocker's tendency to allow hard contact, the AL Player of the Week is well-positioned to clear this line.
Nick Kurtz is currently on a historic power surge, having launched 8 home runs in the month of June alone, including a multi-homer performance in yesterday's series opener. He enters tonight's matchup as the leadoff hitter in a venue (Sutter Health Park) described as an extreme hitter-friendly environment.
Jake Burger faces a prime matchup against Zebby Matthews, who has struggled immensely with the long ball this season. Matthews allows 1.98 home runs per nine innings and has a staggering 9.37 ERA in road starts. Furthermore, Matthews' 12.8% barrel rate allowed and low ground-ball rate (0.63 GO/AO) play directly into the strengths of a fly-ball slugger like Burger. With 12 home runs already this season and a marginally hitter-friendly 1.05 park factor at Globe Life Field, Burger is a high-probability threat to go deep against a pitcher who has been a liability away from home.
Shea Langeliers shares the team lead with 18 home runs and is coming off a massive 2-HR, 3-RBI performance in yesterday’s 11-2 blowout. While Mitch Keller’s season averages suggest he is tougher on right-handed hitters (.579 OPS allowed), his current form nullifies those season-long splits; he has been hit hard by both sides of the plate during a stretch where he has allowed 24 hits over just 12.2 innings.
The matchup between Shohei Ohtani and Drew Rasmussen is heavily dictated by Rasmussen's specific platoon vulnerability. While Rasmussen has been dominant lately, he is significantly more susceptible to power from the left side, allowing six of his eight home runs this season to left-handed batters and holding a .235 opponent average against them compared to a .125 mark against righties.
Juan Soto is in an elite statistical position tonight facing Brady Singer. Singer has struggled immensely against left-handed power this season, surrendering 11 home runs in just 159 at-bats to lefties—a rate of one home run every 14.4 at-bats.
Junior Caminero faces Justin Wrobleski, a starting pitcher whose surface-level ERA (2.95) masks extremely concerning peripheral metrics. Wrobleski's xERA of 4.19 suggests he has been fortunate to avoid more damage, especially considering he allows a high hard-hit rate of 42.7%.
JJ Bleday is the hottest hitter in the Reds' lineup, having launched three home runs over his last five games, including one in yesterday's series opener. He faces Kodai Senga, who has been historically vulnerable to left-handed hitters since returning from the IL.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is currently the hottest hitter in baseball, coming off a cycle in yesterday's series opener and earning NL Player of the Week honors after hitting 4 home runs in a 7-game stretch. He is batting .452 over his last 10 games and hitting from the leadoff spot, ensuring maximum plate appearances.
Hunter Goodman has emerged as one of the premier power threats in the National League, already reaching 20 home runs this season. His performance floor is significantly higher on the road, where he slugged 13 home runs and maintains a .961 OPS compared to a sub-.800 mark at home.
This pick is centered on a catastrophic statistical profile from Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly. While his 5.46 ERA is already poor, his peripheral metrics suggest he has been incredibly lucky; his 7.19 xERA and .403 xwOBA allowed indicate he is being hit as hard as any pitcher in the league.
Ketel Marte is the Diamondbacks' most consistent offensive engine, and he matches up well against the left-handed Reid Detmers. Marte has historically and statistically performed better against southpaws, posting a .282 batting average and a .843 OPS against lefties this season.
Alexander is the hottest hitter in this matchup, entering the series with a .467 average and hits in 8 of his last 10 games. While Logan Gilbert is an elite starter, his platoon splits indicate he is significantly more vulnerable to right-handed hitters like Alexander, allowing a .241 average compared to a .213 mark against left-handed bats. Alexander's season-long performance against righties (.324 AVG) demonstrates that his current form is backed by consistent production against same-handed pitching. Despite batting 8th, his high contact rate and current efficiency provide a strong edge to record at least one hit, even in a pitcher-friendly environment like T-Mobile Park.
Raleigh is returning from an oblique injury that sidelined him for several games, and he faces a difficult activation matchup against Brandon Young. Young has been dominant against left-handed/switch-hitters like Raleigh, limiting them to a .211 average and a .639 OPS.
Nick Kurtz is the hottest hitter in baseball entering this matchup, recording a .342 average with 7 home runs and 14 RBIs over his last 10 games. He was the catalyst in yesterday's series opener, driving in five runs with two homers.
While Spencer Horwitz serves as the Pirates' leadoff hitter, he faces a difficult situational matchup against Jack Perkins. Although Perkins carries a high surface ERA, his advanced metrics (3.66 xERA) suggest he is pitching much better than his results, particularly against left-handed hitters.
Yandy Diaz is currently the hottest hitter in the Rays lineup, entering this game on a 9-for-14 stretch over his last three appearances. He is well-positioned to continue this production against Dodgers left-hander Justin Wrobleski.
The Under for Andy Pages is driven by the extreme dominance of Rays starter Drew Rasmussen against right-handed batters. Rasmussen is currently in elite form, having surrendered zero runs over his last 14.0 innings of work.
Sam Antonacci (bats L) hits 1st against Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Over 143 AB vs. Right, Sam Antonacci owns a .861 OPS versus .322 in 33 AB the other way. He sees RHP Gerrit Cole tonight hitting 1st, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB
Pete Crow-Armstrong is scorching: 1.367 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 55 PA: a 1.367 OPS versus .843 for the season, 0.524 above his norm. He has 13 home runs on the season.
P 4-for-4, 10 TB
Alec Burleson (bats L) hits 3rd against Michael King (RHP)
Over 187 AB vs. Right, Alec Burleson owns a 1.015 OPS versus .469 in 85 AB the other way. He sees RHP Michael King tonight hitting 3rd, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 1-for-5, 1 TB
Matt Chapman is scorching: 1.421 OPS in Last 15 Days
That 1.421 OPS spans the last 15 days (41 PA) against a .762 season baseline, a 0.659 swing. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
Byron Buxton to homer
Byron Buxton is in the midst of a historic power surge, having hit 6 home runs over his last 10 games. His performance is significantly amplified in night games, where he has recorded 21 of his 23 home runs this season and carries a massive 1.176 OPS.
P 1 HR — 1-for-4, 4 TB
Nick Kurtz to go deep
Nick Kurtz is currently on a historic power surge, having launched 8 home runs in the month of June alone, including a multi-homer performance in yesterday's series opener. He enters tonight's matchup as the leadoff hitter in a venue (Sutter Health Park) described as an extreme hitter-friendly environment.
P 2 HR — 3-for-4, 9 TB, 1 BB
James Wood to homer
James Wood is in the midst of a significant power surge, having homered in three of his last five games and four of his last ten. His season-long home run rate of 27.4% already exceeds the implied probability of his +290 odds (25.6%), and his situational factors tonight suggest an even higher ceiling.
P 0 HR — 1-for-4, 1 TB
Otto Lopez (bats R) draws Jesus Luzardo (LHP), batting 2nd
Otto Lopez carries a 1.142 OPS vs. Left (67 AB) against .755 the other way (219 AB), and faces LHP Jesus Luzardo from the 2nd spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
P 1-for-4, 2 TB
Jackson Chourio to homer
Jackson Chourio is currently the hottest hitter in baseball, entering this matchup with five home runs over his last five games and seven total home runs in June. He is batting .414 for the month and has raised his season OPS to .942.
P 0 HR — 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
Jesus Luzardo owns a 7.34 ERA at Citizens Bank Park — 1.55 everywhere else
Across 7 games (38 IP) at this venue, Jesus Luzardo has a 7.34 ERA against 1.55 at his other parks (40.7 IP). Hitters bat .287 off him here. He draws the start here tonight.
P 7 IP, 2 ER, 9 K
Brice Turang (bats L) gets a RHP from the 3rd spot
Brice Turang's vs. Right line (.953 OPS, 175 AB) sits well above his .532 mark the other way (70 AB). Tonight's starter Slade Cecconi throws RHP, the hand he hits best.
P 2-for-3, 5 TB, 1 BB
Kodai Senga: 9 ERA vs 4.76 xERA
Kodai Senga carries a 9 ERA against a 4.76 expected ERA (4.24 run gap), so he has been underperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .313 off him vs a .247 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
P 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 K
Jake Burger to clear a fence
Jake Burger faces a prime matchup against Zebby Matthews, who has struggled immensely with the long ball this season. Matthews allows 1.98 home runs per nine innings and has a staggering 9.37 ERA in road starts.
P 0 HR — 1-for-4, 1 TB
Brandon Lowe (bats L) draws J.T. Ginn (RHP), batting 2nd
Brandon Lowe carries a .926 OPS vs. Right (183 AB) against .592 the other way (76 AB), and faces RHP J.T. Ginn from the 2nd spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
P 1-for-5, 1 TB
Shea Langeliers to go deep
Shea Langeliers shares the team lead with 18 home runs and is coming off a massive 2-HR, 3-RBI performance in yesterday’s 11-2 blowout. While Mitch Keller’s season averages suggest he is tougher on right-handed hitters (.579 OPS allowed), his current form nullifies those season-long splits; he has been hit hard by both sides of the plate during a stretch where he has allowed 24 hits over just 12.2 innings.
P 0 HR — 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB
Jackson Chourio is scorching: 1.298 OPS in Last 15 Days
That 1.298 OPS spans the last 15 days (58 PA) against a .942 season baseline, a 0.356 swing. He has 9 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
Shohei Ohtani to clear a fence
The matchup between Shohei Ohtani and Drew Rasmussen is heavily dictated by Rasmussen's specific platoon vulnerability. While Rasmussen has been dominant lately, he is significantly more susceptible to power from the left side, allowing six of his eight home runs this season to left-handed batters and holding a .235 opponent average against them compared to a .125 mark against righties.
P 0 HR — 0-for-4, 0 TB
Bo Bichette is scorching: 1.018 OPS in Last 15 Days
That 1.018 OPS spans the last 15 days (53 PA) against a .662 season baseline, a 0.356 swing. He has 8 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
P 2-for-5, 2 TB
WSH's bullpen has covered 17 innings over the last 3 games
That is 17 relief innings in 3 games, led by Miles Mikolas (7) and Brad Lord (5). KC's pen has thrown 10.3 over the same span.
P flagged side won 4-6
Hunter Goodman is scorching: 1.217 OPS in Last 15 Days
Over the last 15 days (50 PA) he is at a 1.217 OPS, up 0.352 on his .865 season mark. He has 20 home runs on the season.
P 2-for-3, 2 TB, 1 BB
Dillon Dingler is scorching: 1.238 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 50 PA: a 1.238 OPS versus .868 for the season, 0.37 above his norm. He has 16 home runs on the season.
P 2-for-4, 4 TB
CHW's bullpen has covered 17 innings over the last 3 games
That is 17 relief innings in 3 games, led by Joe Rock (3) and Erick Fedde (2.7). NYY's pen has thrown 10.7 over the same span.
P flagged side lost 2-12
STL have won 5 straight
STL have taken 5 straight and own a +15 run differential over the run. Last 6: 5-1.
P team won 2-3
Matt Olson to leave the yard
Matt Olson is positioned for a high-ceiling night against Adrian Houser, whose performance against left-handed hitters has been a massive liability this season. Houser is surrendering a 1.022 OPS and 8 home runs to lefties in just 164 at-bats—a home run rate of one every 20.5 ABs.
A.J. Ewing (bats L) hits 5th against Brady Singer (RHP)
Over 80 AB vs. Right, A.J. Ewing owns a .810 OPS versus .408 in 28 AB the other way. He sees RHP Brady Singer tonight hitting 5th, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB
Bryce Harper (bats L) gets a RHP from the 3rd spot
Bryce Harper's vs. Right line (.975 OPS, 153 AB) sits well above his .654 mark the other way (96 AB). Tonight's starter Tyler Phillips throws RHP, the hand he hits best.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
Jac Caglianone is scorching: 1.198 OPS in Last 15 Days
Over the last 15 days (45 PA) he is at a 1.198 OPS, up 0.407 on his .791 season mark. He has 8 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
France are unbeaten in 5 internationals
Across their last 5 World Cup matches they are 4-1-0 (W-D-W-W-W), carrying a 5-match unbeaten run into this fixture.
P team won 1-3
Gavin Sheets (bats L) gets a RHP from the 5th spot
Gavin Sheets's vs. Right line (.842 OPS, 167 AB) sits well above his .455 mark the other way (39 AB). Tonight's starter Andre Pallante throws RHP, the hand he hits best.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
MIA have won 5 straight
Miami Marlins have won 5 straight, outscoring teams by 18 runs over the run; 5-1 across their last 6.
P team lost 2-8
Andy Pages cold (.517 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Nick Martinez
Andy Pages's .517 OPS over the last 15 days (58 PA) trails his .806 season mark, down 0.289. Tonight he draws RHP Nick Martinez — his stronger side: a .821 OPS vs RHP across 209 AB.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
Willson Contreras is scorching: 1.335 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 41 PA: a 1.335 OPS versus .965 for the season, 0.37 above his norm. He has 16 home runs on the season.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB
15 bullpen innings in 3 games for SD
Relievers have absorbed 15 innings over the last 3 games (Lucas Giolito (5) and Bradgley Rodriguez (2) the heaviest). STL's pen has thrown 6.7 over the same span.
P flagged side lost 2-3
Casey Schmitt cold (.609 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Grant Holmes
Casey Schmitt's .609 OPS over the last 15 days (60 PA) trails his .817 season mark, down 0.208. Tonight he draws RHP Grant Holmes — his weaker side: a .781 OPS vs RHP across 181 AB.
Jonathan Aranda cold (.560 OPS, L15) — draws LHP Eric Lauer
Jonathan Aranda's .560 OPS over the last 15 days (46 PA) trails his .832 season mark, down 0.272. Tonight he draws LHP Eric Lauer — his weaker side: a .700 OPS vs LHP across 75 AB.
P 2-for-3, 2 TB
Robert Gasser: 6.38 ERA vs 3.69 xERA
Robert Gasser carries a 6.38 ERA against a 3.69 expected ERA (2.69 run gap), so he has been underperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .267 off him vs a .197 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
P 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 5 K
France head the title market at +400
France are the market's outright World Cup favourite at +400. Spain (+500) and England (+700) are the next shortest.
LAA's pen has logged 14.7 innings across its last 3 games
3 games, 14.7 innings out of the pen — Brent Suter (3) and Mitch Farris (2.7) carried the load. ARI's pen has thrown 10.3 over the same span.
P flagged side lost 3-4
Michael Wacha is getting hit: 7.13 ERA over his last 3 starts
The last 3 times out: 17.7 innings, 14 earned runs, 25 hits. That 7.13 ERA runs 3.55 over his 3.58 season number.
P 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 K
TB's bullpen has covered 14.3 innings over the last 3 games
That is 14.3 relief innings in 3 games, led by Mason Englert (4) and Ian Seymour (3.3). LAD's pen has thrown 7.3 over the same span.
P flagged side lost 3-4
Switzerland out-created the field but only drew
Switzerland won the xG battle 3.2–0.6 yet were held to a draw (1–1). The underlying numbers favoured them — a side the result flattered to deceive.
14.3 bullpen innings in 3 games for HOU
Relievers have absorbed 14.3 innings over the last 3 games (Nate Pearson (3) and Alimber Santa (2.7) the heaviest). DET's pen has thrown 11 over the same span.
P flagged side lost 9-3
Xavier Edwards cold (.501 OPS, L15) — draws LHP Jesus Luzardo
Xavier Edwards's .501 OPS over the last 15 days (44 PA) trails his .814 season mark, down 0.313. Tonight he draws LHP Jesus Luzardo — his stronger side: a .936 OPS vs LHP across 59 AB.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
Nolan Arenado cold (.463 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Walbert Urena
Nolan Arenado's .463 OPS over the last 15 days (51 PA) trails his .726 season mark, down 0.263. Tonight he draws RHP Walbert Urena — his stronger side: a .737 OPS vs RHP across 168 AB.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
Eric Lauer owns a 3.00 ERA at Dodger Stadium — 5.98 everywhere else
Across 2 games (12 IP) at this venue, Eric Lauer has a 3.00 ERA against 5.98 at his other parks (46.7 IP). Hitters bat .244 off him here. He draws the start here tonight.
P 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 K
Green light: San Diego Padres run, and Ivan Herrera has caught just 0%
San Diego Padres steal 0.9 bags a game (67 on the season) and Ivan Herrera has thrown out 0 of 18 runners (0%). Everything about tonight says they keep running.
P San Diego Padres stole 1 base
13.7 bullpen innings in 3 games for OAK
Relievers have absorbed 13.7 innings over the last 3 games (Mason Barnett (1.7) and Jose Suarez (1.7) the heaviest). PIT's pen has thrown 10.3 over the same span.
P flagged side won 2-11
Sal Stewart cold (.584 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Kodai Senga
Sal Stewart's .584 OPS over the last 15 days (49 PA) trails his .787 season mark, down 0.203. Tonight he draws RHP Kodai Senga — his weaker side: a .755 OPS vs RHP across 207 AB.
P 2-for-3, 5 TB, 1 BB
13.7 bullpen innings in 3 games for CHC
Relievers have absorbed 13.7 innings over the last 3 games (Colin Rea (4.7) and Hoby Milner (2) the heaviest). COL's pen has thrown 11.3 over the same span.
P flagged side won 4-5
Nico Hoerner cold (.420 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Michael Lorenzen
Nico Hoerner's .420 OPS over the last 15 days (45 PA) trails his .649 season mark, down 0.229. Tonight he draws RHP Michael Lorenzen — his weaker side: a .600 OPS vs RHP across 202 AB.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB
Ty France cold (.424 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Andre Pallante
Ty France's .424 OPS over the last 15 days (30 PA) trails his .755 season mark, down 0.331. Tonight he draws RHP Andre Pallante — his weaker side: a .736 OPS vs RHP across 91 AB.
P 1-for-3, 1 TB
Mookie Betts is hitting .205 with a .270 expected
Across 165 plate appearances, Mookie Betts carries a .205 average versus a .270 xBA. His wOBA sits at .284 against a .332 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit above what he has actually posted.
P 1-for-4, 2 TB
France are the shortest group-winner chalk on the board
France are -370 to win Group I — the shortest group-winner price on the day. The next side in Group I, Norway, is out at +300.
Andrew Vaughn is hitting .354, but his xBA is .295
Across 109 plate appearances, Andrew Vaughn carries a .354 average versus a .295 xBA. His wOBA sits at .422 against a .355 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB
Spain are the market's pick to reach the final from the other half
Behind the outright favourite, Spain carry the shortest price to reach the final at +250 — the side the market most expects to come through the other half of the bracket.
Nick Martinez: 2.6 ERA vs 4.45 xERA
Nick Martinez carries a 2.6 ERA against a 4.45 expected ERA (1.85 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .256 off him vs a .284 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
P 5.1 IP, 3 ER, 6 K
Nico Hoerner's .237 AVG masks a .293 xBA
Nico Hoerner is hitting .237 against a .293 expected average (xBA) over 322 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .294 against a .331 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit above what he has actually posted.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB
Tyler Phillips: 1.86 ERA vs 3.66 xERA
Tyler Phillips carries a 1.86 ERA against a 3.66 expected ERA (1.8 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .217 off him vs a .227 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
P 4 IP, 8 ER, 4 K
Zack Gelof's .275 AVG hides a .220 xBA
Zack Gelof is hitting .275 against a .220 expected average (xBA) over 204 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .348 against a .286 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
Spain are slipping in Group H
Spain, a +500 title pick, sit 3rd in Group H on 1 point after 1 — outside the automatic places.
Cleveland Guardians like to run — William Contreras (45% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
William Contreras owns a 45% caught-stealing rate (15 of 33) and Cleveland Guardians run anyway — 0.9 steals a game. Strength on strength on the bases.
P Cleveland Guardians stole 0 bases
Michael King is getting hit: 5.79 ERA over his last 3 starts
Across his last 3 starts (18.7 IP) he has been tagged for 12 earned runs — a 5.79 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP (1.15 season) against a 3.46 season mark.
P 4.1 IP, 3 ER, 1 K
At Busch Stadium, Andre Pallante pitches to a 4.91 ERA
Andre Pallante starts at Busch Stadium tonight, where his ERA is 4.91 over 36.7 innings — 2.73 on a 33-inning baseline elsewhere. Hitters bat .289 off him here.
P 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 K
Green light: Milwaukee Brewers run, and Austin Hedges has caught just 7%
Austin Hedges is catching tonight at 7% on the season (2-for-27 throwing), and Milwaukee Brewers attempt 1.3 steals a game. The track meet is on.
P Milwaukee Brewers stole 0 bases
Brady Singer is dealing: 3.60 ERA over his last 3 starts
The last 3 times out: 15 innings, 6 earned runs, 13 Ks. That 3.60 ERA sits 2.01 runs under his 5.61 season number.
P 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 K
Brady Singer owns a 4.50 ERA at Great American Ball Park — 6.32 everywhere else
Across 5 games (24 IP) at this venue, Brady Singer has a 4.50 ERA against 6.32 at his other parks (37 IP). Hitters bat .293 off him here. He draws the start here tonight.
P 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 K
France vs Senegal: afternoon heat at MetLife Stadium
An open-air 3pm local kickoff at MetLife Stadium — open-air in an exposed Meadowlands bowl. Conditioning is tested when matches are played in the afternoon sun.
Wind blowing out 10 mph at Busch Stadium tonight
Tonight's reading at Busch Stadium — Partly Cloudy, 77°, wind 10 mph, Out To RF. Everything about the air says carry.
P final total 5 vs 0 (over lean)
Tyler Phillips is getting hit: 3.68 ERA over his last 3 starts
He is carrying a 3.68 ERA over his last 14.7 innings with a 1.43 WHIP (1.30 season) — the 1.86 season line is doing a lot of work for him right now.
P 4 IP, 8 ER, 4 K
England are the surest bet to advance
England are -10000 to escape their group out of Group L — the shortest to-advance price on the board.
Germany created the better chances
Germany led the xG 4.2–0.4 and took the result to match (7–1).
Dylan Cease is getting hit: 4.60 ERA over his last 3 starts
He is carrying a 4.60 ERA over his last 15.7 innings with a 1.09 WHIP (1.16 season) — the 2.91 season line is doing a lot of work for him right now.
P 5 IP, 0 ER, 7 K
Iran vs New Zealand: the group picture
In Group G, Iran sit 2nd on 1 point and New Zealand sit 1st on 1 point — three points reshape who advances. To lift the trophy: Iran are 700-1 outsiders. The market has it Iran +1300 / the draw -1600 / New Zealand +2000.
St. Louis Cardinals like to run — Rodolfo Duran (41% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
Rodolfo Duran owns a 41% caught-stealing rate (7 of 17) and St. Louis Cardinals run anyway — 0.7 steals a game. Strength on strength on the bases.
P St. Louis Cardinals stole 1 base
France vs Senegal — Group I at stake
In Group I, France sit 1st on 3 points and Senegal sit 3rd on 0 points — three points reshape who advances. To lift the trophy: France are the No. 1 title choice at +400, Senegal are 80-1 outsiders. The market has it France -3500 / the draw +1200.
What Iraq vs Norway decides
In Group I, Iraq sit 4th on 0 points and Norway sit 2nd on 3 points — three points reshape who advances. To lift the trophy: Iraq are 1500-1 outsiders, Norway are 30-1 outsiders. The market has it Iraq +4000 / the draw +2800.
Ryne Nelson owns a 4.20 ERA at Chase Field — 5.70 everywhere else
Across 7 games (40.7 IP) at this venue, Ryne Nelson has a 4.20 ERA against 5.70 at his other parks (42.7 IP). Hitters bat .261 off him here. He draws the start here tonight.
P 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 K
Spain dominated the ball but only drew
Spain held 74% of possession yet could only draw (0–0) — control without the cutting edge.
At Wrigley Field, Shota Imanaga pitches to a 4.75 ERA
Shota Imanaga starts at Wrigley Field tonight, where his ERA is 4.75 over 53 innings — 3.48 on a 33.7-inning baseline elsewhere. Hitters bat .228 off him here.
P 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 3 K
Washington Nationals like to run — Salvador Perez (35% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
Washington Nationals attempt 1.2 steals a game, but Salvador Perez has cut down 8 of 23 runners (35%). Someone is getting thrown out tonight.
P Washington Nationals stole 3 bases
Juan Soto is 4-for-10 (.400) off Brady Singer
Juan Soto's career line off Brady Singer is 4-for-10, a .400 average over 10 at-bats — they meet again tonight. He enters steady (.777 OPS, L15).
P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB
Iran vs New Zealand: indoors at SoFi Stadium
SoFi Stadium is a closed-roof venue — canopy roof, climate-managed. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.
MIL strike first: 1st-inning runs in 7 of their last 10
Milwaukee Brewers have put up a first-inning run in 7 of their last 10 games — they jump on starters early and the YRFI side of their games has been doing the work.
P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st
Iran ML -120
WC · 2-2
Under 2 +105
WC · 2-2
France -1.5 +130
WC · 1-3
Iraq +1.5 +125
WC · 4-1
Phillies ML -178
MLB · 2-8
Nationals ML -134
MLB · 4-6
Blue Jays ML -120
MLB · 6-1
White Sox ML +122
MLB · 2-12
Mets ML -124
MLB · 3-5
Brewers ML -154
MLB · 1-2
Cardinals ML -118
MLB · 2-3
Rockies ML +166
MLB · 5-2
Twins ML +110
MLB · 12-2
Astros ML -178
MLB · 2-4
Angels ML -106
MLB · 7-0
Mariners ML -142
MLB · 1-3
Athletics ML -138
MLB · 6-5
Rays ML +124
MLB · 0-1
Andy Pages · under
Rays @ Dodgers · Actual 0
Austin Riley · under
Giants @ Braves · Actual 0
Aymen Hussein · under
Norway @ Iraq · Actual 4
Aymen Hussein · under
Norway @ Iraq · Actual 3
Ben Rice · over
White Sox @ Yankees · Actual 1
Blaze Alexander · over
Orioles @ Mariners · Actual 0
Bobby Witt Jr. · over
Royals @ Nationals · Actual 0
Bryce Harper · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 0
Byron Buxton · over
Twins @ Rangers · Actual 1
Byron Buxton · over
Twins @ Rangers · Actual 3
Cal Raleigh · under
Orioles @ Mariners · Actual 1
Christian Walker · over
Tigers @ Astros · Actual 0
Colson Montgomery · under
White Sox @ Yankees · Actual 0
Colson Montgomery · over
White Sox @ Yankees · Actual 0
Drake Baldwin · over
Giants @ Braves · Actual 1
Erling Haaland · over
Norway @ Iraq · Actual 4
Erling Haaland · over
Norway @ Iraq · Actual 4
Hunter Goodman · over
Rockies @ Cubs · Actual 3
Hunter Goodman · over
Rockies @ Cubs · Actual 0
Ildemaro Vargas · under
Angels @ Diamondbacks · Actual 0
Jackson Chourio · over
Guardians @ Brewers · Actual 0
Jackson Chourio · over
Guardians @ Brewers · Actual 0
Jake Burger · over
Twins @ Rangers · Actual 0
James Wood · over
Royals @ Nationals · Actual 3
James Wood · over
Royals @ Nationals · Actual 0
JJ Bleday · over
Mets @ Reds · Actual 0
JJ Bleday · over
Mets @ Reds · Actual 0
Jo Adell · over
Angels @ Diamondbacks · Actual 3
Jordan Walker · over
Padres @ Cardinals · Actual 0
Jose Caballero · over
White Sox @ Yankees · Actual 2
Juan Soto · over
Mets @ Reds · Actual 0
Junior Caminero · over
Rays @ Dodgers · Actual 0
Kerry Carpenter · under
Tigers @ Astros · Actual 0
Ketel Marte · over
Angels @ Diamondbacks · Actual 0
Kodai Senga · under
Mets @ Reds · Actual 12
Kyle Schwarber · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 2
Kyle Schwarber · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 1
Kylian Mbappe · over
Senegal @ France · Actual 4
Maikel Garcia · over
Royals @ Nationals · Actual 0
Manny Machado · under
Padres @ Cardinals · Actual 0
Matt Chapman · over
Giants @ Braves · Actual 2
Matt Olson · over
Giants @ Braves · Actual 0
Mike Trout · over
Angels @ Diamondbacks · Actual 1
Nick Kurtz · over
Pirates @ Athletics · Actual 2
Nick Kurtz · over
Pirates @ Athletics · Actual 10
Otto Lopez · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 1
Pete Crow-Armstrong · over
Rockies @ Cubs · Actual 1
Rhys Hoskins · over
Guardians @ Brewers · Actual 0
Ryan Feltner · under
Rockies @ Cubs · Actual 7
Sadio Mane · over
Senegal @ France · Actual 1
Sadio Mane · over
Senegal @ France · Actual 1
Shea Langeliers · over
Pirates @ Athletics · Actual 0
Shohei Ohtani · over
Rays @ Dodgers · Actual 0
Spencer Horwitz · under
Pirates @ Athletics · Actual 1
Steven Kwan · under
Guardians @ Brewers · Actual 0
Trevor Larnach · under
Twins @ Rangers · Actual 1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · under
Blue Jays @ Red Sox · Actual 0
Willson Contreras · under
Blue Jays @ Red Sox · Actual 0
Yandy Diaz · over
Rays @ Dodgers · Actual 0
Yordan Alvarez · over
Tigers @ Astros · Actual 0
Yordan Alvarez · over
Tigers @ Astros · Actual 0