WC · Mon, Jun 15 · 9:00 PM

New Zealand at Iran

O/U 2 · SPREAD Iran -0.5 · SoFi Stadium

Gary's pick

Iran ML-120

CONF 75%

Result

Not yet graded

Gary's pick

Under 2+105

CONF 70%

Result

Not yet graded

The read: Iran ML

Iran enters as the vastly superior side, ranked 20th in the world compared to New Zealand's 85th. Team Melli's elite defense, which kept four clean sheets in its last six games, should stifle a New Zealand team that failed to score against England and Haiti. Despite logistical delays, Iran's clinical quality led by captain Mehdi Taremi makes their moneyline at -120 excellent value.

The read: Under 2

Iran's late arrival in Los Angeles just one day before kickoff points to a more conservative, low-tempo game plan. Combined with New Zealand's offensive struggles (0.9 goals per match) and Iran's stingy defense (0.50-0.80 goals conceded per match), this match is poised to be a low-scoring affair where goals are highly limited.

About this analysis

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Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Board stored June 15, 2026 at 9:52 AM ET.
Odds record
The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Source names were not retained with this call.
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