Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans
O/U 43.5 · SPREAD Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 · Nissan Stadium
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Philadelphia Eagles -7 -110
- Published odds
- -110
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 24-20
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 39 moves| Market | Opened Sep 14 6:00 AM | Close Sep 20 12:35 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | Price |
| TOTAL | 40 (-108) | 39.5 (-110) | −½ |
| MONEYLINE | Philadelphia Eagles -325 | Philadelphia Eagles -325 | Holds |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENSep 14 6:00 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 40 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 8:01 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 10:01 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 1:33 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 2:03 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 4:03 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 5:03 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 7:06 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 9:18 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 14 9:48 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 15 2:01 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 15 5:01 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 15 7:01 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39.5 (-112) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 15 8:01 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-108) | 39 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 15 10:02 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 16 8:31 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 16 9:31 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 16 2:31 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 16 7:37 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 9:00 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-112) | 39 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 10:01 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 11:01 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 1:02 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 6:05 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 18 7:06 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 18 10:02 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 18 11:02 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 19 12:02 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 19 10:11 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 19 8:26 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-118) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 20 12:14 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 20 6:00 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +260 |
| Sep 20 8:19 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 20 8:51 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +260 |
| Sep 20 9:00 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-108) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 20 9:41 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 20 11:22 AM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +275 |
| Sep 20 12:14 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| Sep 20 12:25 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 40 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -350 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
| CLOSESep 20 12:35 PM | Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-110) | 39.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -325 · Tennessee Titans +270 |
The read
Nashville hosts this Week 2 matchup with afternoon heat in the forecast. Tennessee stays home looking for its first win, while Philadelphia arrives after surviving a tight divisional opener.
I’m backing Philadelphia’s broader offensive threats against a Tennessee defense that struggled against both the run and pass. The Titans allowed 152 rushing yards and 8.96 yards per pass attempt against the Jets. Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts can challenge them on the ground, while Dallas Goedert, Dontayvion Wicks and DeVonta Smith give Philadelphia several receiving options. The Eagles’ explosive gains last week showed how they can turn an uneven offensive afternoon into touchdowns.
The more important separation opportunity comes when Tennessee has the ball. The Titans produced 195 yards against the Jets, with their only touchdown arriving after they trailed 23-3. Cam Ward’s protection problems make it difficult to count on a sustained turnaround against Philadelphia. The Eagles allowed 4.34 yards per play against Washington, and Zack Baun’s coverage performance strengthens their case against a Tennessee passing game whose leading receivers finished with modest yardage.
Laying seven requires acknowledging Philadelphia’s own problems. Four three-and-outs in the opener and a newly changed interior offensive line give Jeffery Simmons a route to disrupt drives. Washington’s late comeback also showed that an Eagles lead is no guarantee of a cover. Those concerns keep my confidence measured.
Still, I see Philadelphia as better equipped to create scoring opportunities and force Tennessee into another difficult game of catch-up. Tennessee’s spread case depends on improving its protection while limiting Philadelphia’s explosive gains. I’m backing the Eagles to generate enough separation to cover -7, rather than paying an ineligible moneyline price.
Injuries noted
Philadelphia Eagles: Jonathan Greenard (Out) — Greenard (pectoral) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Titans.; Tucker Large (NFI-R) — Undisclosed; Jakorian Bennett (IR-R) — Bennett (knee) was placed on injured reserve with a designation to return by the Eagles on Sunday.; Grant Calcaterra (IR-R) — Calcaterra (back) was placed on injured reserve by the Eagles on Sunday with a designation to return.; Andre' Sam (IR) — Sam (foot) reverted to the Eagles' injured-reserve list Monday, Andrew DiCecco of InsideTheBirds.com reports.; Eli Stowers (IR) — The Eagles placed Stowers (quadriceps/hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday.; Johnny Wilson (IR) — Wilson (knee) reverted to Philadelphia's injured reserve Saturday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Tanner McKee (Inactive) — McKee (coach's decision) is inactive as the emergency third quarterback for Sunday's game against the Commanders.; Elijah Moore (Inactive) — Moore (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Commanders.; Micah Morris (Inactive) — inactive; Cole Payton (Inactive) — Payton (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Commanders.; Marcus Epps (Questionable) — Epps (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Commanders.; Landon Dickerson (IR) — The Eagles placed Dickerson (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Chris McPherson of the team's official site reports.; Jalen Carter (Questionable) — Carter (wrist) was a limited participant at practice Thursday.; Cooper DeJean (Questionable) — Dejean (calf) was a limited participant at practice Thursday.; Andrew Mukuba (Questionable) — Mukuba (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against Tennessee.
Tennessee Titans: Jaylen Harrell (IR) — ir; Jaren Kanak (IR) — ir; Kendell Brooks (IR) — Brooks (undisclosed) reverted to Tennessee's injured reserve Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Milo Eifler (IR) — ir; Tanoh Kpassagnon (IR) — The Titans placed Kpassagnon (undisclosed) on injured reserve Monday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports.; Dorian Mausi (IR-R) — The Titans placed Mausi (undisclosed) on injured reserve Monday with a designation to return, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports.; Joshua Williams (IR-R) — The Titans placed Williams (pectoral) on injured reserve Monday with a designation to return, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports.; Cedric Gray (Questionable) — Gray (concussion) was a full participant in Friday's practice but is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Paul Kuharsky of PaulKuharsky.com reports.; Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson (Inactive) — inactive; Jaylon Jones (Inactive) — Coach's Decision; Atonio Mafi (Inactive) — inactive; Jackie Marshall (Inactive) — inactive; Owen Pappoe (Inactive) — inactive; Nicholas Singleton (Inactive) — Singleton (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Jets.; James Williams Sr. (Questionable) — Williams (elbow) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Paul Kuharsky of PaulKuharsky.com reports.; Cor'Dale Flott (Questionable) — Flott did not participate in Friday's practice due to a quadriceps injury and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Paul Kuharsky of PaulKuharsky.com reports.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
4.38 Y/AIn his first 2026 game, Cam Ward threw for 140 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 4.38 yards per attempt. His 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line comes from a one-game sample, so the relationship between completion rate and per-throw production is still an early read.
Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
8.12 Y/AIn his first 2026 game, Jalen Hurts threw for 203 passing yards, completed 56% of his passes and averaged 8.12 yards per attempt. His 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line comes from a one-game sample, so the relationship between completion rate and per-throw production is still an early read.
TRENCHES
PHI's front holds runners to 20 fewer yards per game
20 YPGPHI is at 132 rushing yards allowed per game over 1 game; TEN is at 152 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
PASS RUSH
PHI's rush gets home 1 more time per game
1 SACKSPHI is at 1 sacks recorded per game over 1 game; TEN is at 0 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
TEN's pocket leaks 8 fewer yards per game
8 YDSPHI is at 21 sack yards lost per game over 1 game; TEN is at 13 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PACE & SCRIPT
PHI is scoring +14 points per game
14 PPGPHI is at 24 points per game over 1 game; TEN is at 10 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI holds the ball 5:26 longer per game
5:26 TOPPHI is at 26:40 time of possession per game over 1 game; TEN is at 21:14 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI @ TEN carries a 44.5 market total
44.5PHI @ TEN’s 44.5 total is 6 points above the 38.5 median across 15 games with posted slate totals. It sits above the slate middle but is the closest of these high totals to the median; a departure would show in scoring below 44.5.
TURNOVERS
PHI commits 1 fewer turnovers per game
1 TOPHI is at 0 turnovers committed per game over 1 game; TEN is at 1 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI puts 1 fewer fumbles on the ground per game
1 FUMPHI is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 1 game; TEN is at 1 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
EXPLOSIVE PLAYS
PHI owns a +2 yards-per-play gap
2 Y/PPHI is at 6 yards per play over 1 game; TEN is at 4 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
RED ZONE
TEN allows a red-zone scoring rate 33.3 percentage points lower
33.3 PPPHI is at 100% red-zone scoring allowed over 1 game; TEN is at 66.7% over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
PHI gets inside the 20 2 more times per game
2 TRIPSPHI is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 1 game; TEN is at 1 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
MISMATCH
PHI's explosiveness against TEN's — 6 yards a snap to 4
6 VS 4PHI averaged 6 yards per play and TEN averaged 4 over 1-game samples. That is the listed explosiveness gap, with no TEN defensive measure supplied to show how it can be reduced.
COVERAGE
PHI's defense surrenders 1.4 fewer yards a snap
1.4 Y/PPHI is at 4.4 yards per play allowed over 1 game; TEN is at 5.8 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
TEN allows a third-down conversion rate 16.7 percentage points lower
16.7 PPPHI is at 33.3% third downs allowed over 1 game; TEN is at 16.7% over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
PHI's secondary gives up 52 fewer passing yards per game
52 YPGPHI is at 163 passing yards allowed per game over 1 game; TEN is at 215 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-19.
REPLACEMENT
Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI
QUESTIONABLEBarkley said after Sunday's 24-20 win at Tennessee that he feels "alright," but he'll undergo an MRI after missing a portion of the game due to a stinger, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 20.
Tanner McKee (QB) is inactive for PHI
INACTIVEMcKee (coach's decision) is inactive as the emergency third quarterback for Sunday's game against the Titans. Reported Sep 20.
Cole Payton (QB) is inactive for PHI
INACTIVEPayton (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Titans. Reported Sep 20.
Dallas Goedert (TE) is questionable for PHI
QUESTIONABLEGoedert is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Titans due to a knee injury. Reported Sep 20.
SITUATIONAL
PHI averages +2.9 yards every time it drops back
2.9 Y/APHI is at 6.5 yards per pass attempt over 1 game; TEN is at 3.6 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI's passing game is +55 yards per game
55 YPGPHI is at 182 team passing yards per game over 1 game; TEN is at 127 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI's third-down conversion rate is 9.5 percentage points higher
9.5 PPPHI is at 42.9% third-down conversion rate over 1 game; TEN is at 33.3% over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-19.
PHI (1-0) at TEN (0-1)
-15 PT GAPPHI is 1-0, +2 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. TEN is 0-1, -13 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. PHI is 0-0 on the road; TEN is 0-1 at home.
AFTER GARY
PHI -7 → -7
NOW +0.93PPFANDUEL · SAME BOOK · PRE-KICK
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored September 17, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, caesars, fanduel, betrivers, betmgm, fanatics.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
Props on this game
2- GARY'S PICKSAQUON BARKLEYRUSHING YARDS OVER 79.5
I’m backing Barkley over 79.5 rushing yards at -113. Tennessee surrendered 152 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns to the Jets, while Barkley opened with 83 yards on 15 carries despite Philadelphia struggling to sustain drives.
The Eagles are seven-point favorites, giving Barkley a favorable path to additional second-half work against a defense that just spent nearly 39 minutes on the field in extreme heat. The strongest counter is his uneven recent record: he cleared this number in only four of his final 10 games last season, and Philadelphia’s new blocking scheme looked unsettled in Week 1.
This remains a one-game 2026 sample, but the matchup and likely game script support the over.
- GARY'S PICKWAN'DALE ROBINSONRECEIVING YARDS OVER 37.5
I’m taking Robinson over 37.5 receiving yards at -111. He drew six targets and caught five passes for 38 yards in the opener, clearing this number even while Tennessee produced only 140 passing yards. He also exceeded 37.5 in seven of his final 10 games last season.
Philadelphia allowed Cooper DeJean to be targeted nine times for seven completions, 83 yards and a touchdown against Washington, creating a specific opening for Robinson’s underneath role. Tennessee falling behind would further support passing volume. The strongest concern is Cam Ward’s protection: he was pressured on 41% of his Week 1 dropbacks and managed only 17 passing yards under pressure.
Robinson’s current Titans role is established by just one game, so the bet depends more on repeatable targets than a proven 2026 trend.
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