San Francisco 49ers at Las Vegas Raiders
O/U 38.5 · SPREAD Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 · Allegiant Stadium
San Francisco 49ers +3.5-115
CONF 58%
Not yet graded
The read
Roster spots are on the line beneath Allegiant Stadium’s roof, making the reserve phases as important as the opening possessions in this preseason finale.
San Francisco’s strongest evidence lasted well beyond Brock Purdy’s lone drive against the Chargers. The 49ers won 41-17, allowed only four first downs through three quarters and finished with a 321-229 yardage advantage. The margin benefited from an 83-yard punt-return touchdown and a late short field, but the sustained defensive control shows the result was not built entirely on those events.
Las Vegas deserves credit for outgaining Houston 400-219, scoring 19 unanswered points and producing a second-half shutout. The obstacle at this price is that the Raiders still trailed 20-3 at halftime and won only 22-20. Laying 3.5 asks them to do more than reproduce their only preseason victory, while their strongest performance was concentrated in one half.
Both teams have seven days’ rest, the indoor venue eliminates weather, and both face the same cutdown stakes. With those factors neutral, San Francisco’s more sustained reserve-phase performance is enough for me to take the field goal plus the hook.
Injuries noted
San Francisco 49ers: Isaac Guerendo (PUP-P) — Pectoral; Jordan James (Questionable) — James (ribs) will not play in Thursday's preseason opener against the Titans, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.; Brandon Aiyuk (Reserve-DNR) — Knee - ACL + MCL; Mike Evans (Questionable) — Evans (quadriceps) is not dressed in uniform for Thursday night's preseason opener against the Titans, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.; Christian Kirk (Questionable) — Kirk (calf) is not suited up for Thursday's preseason opener against the Titans, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.; George Kittle (PUP-P) — Kittle (Achilles) was seen running routes, catching passes and doing conditioning work prior to Monday's practice, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.; Vederian Lowe (Questionable) — Ankle; Nick Bosa (Questionable) — Coach Kyle Shanahan said Tuesday that Bosa has missed recent practices due to soreness/tendinitis in his right knee, and the pass rusher is considered week-to-week, Noah Furtado of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.; Keion White (Questionable) — Groin; Mykel Williams (PUP-P) — Knee - ACL; Malik Mustapha (Questionable) — Hamstring; Ricky Pearsall (IR) — Pearsall announced Thursday in a post on his personal Instagram account that he underwent season-ending surgery to repair the PCL in his right knee, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports.; Tanner McLachlan (IR) — Undisclosed; Andrew Farmer II (IR) — Back; Darrick Forrest (IR) — Undisclosed; Kaelon Black (Questionable) — Black (thigh) will not play in Thursday's preseason opener against the Titans, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.; Jacob Cowing (Questionable) — Hip; Luke Gifford (Questionable) — Gifford did not practice Saturday due to a hamstring injury, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports.; Romello Height (Questionable) — Elbow; Kyle Juszczyk (Questionable) — Finger; Mikail Kamara (IR) — Knee; Christian McCaffrey (Questionable) — McCaffrey (undisclosed) isn't participating in Tuesday's joint practice with the Titans, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports.; Sam Okuayinonu (Questionable) — Ankle; Brett Toth (Questionable) — Toth (concussion) was absent from Thursday's training camp session, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports.; KJ Henry (IR) — Henry (undisclosed) reverted to the 49ers' injured-reserve list Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Nate Hobbs (Questionable) — Hobbs (groin) is projected to miss a few weeks due to injury, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.; Jack Jones (Questionable) — Jones (hand) is questionable to return to Thursday's preseason opener against the Titans, Jennifer Lee Chan of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.; Kurtis Rourke (Questionable) — Rourke (ribs) was discharged from the hospital Thursday night, Jennifer Lee Chan of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Las Vegas Raiders: Chris Collier (IR) — Collier (undisclosed) reverted to injured reserve with the Raiders on Sunday, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.; Justin Shorter (IR) — Undisclosed; Corey Rucker (IR) — Undisclosed; Justin Pickett (IR) — Pickett (undisclosed) reverted to injured reserve with the Raiders on Thursday, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
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