Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks
O/U 50.5 · SPREAD South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 · Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Tennessee Volunteers ML +106
- Published odds
- +106
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 24-27
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 66 moves| Market | Opened Oct 18 12:32 PM | Close Sat 3:16 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | South Carolina Gamecocks +2 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | +½ |
| TOTAL | 49.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | +1 |
| MONEYLINE | South Carolina Gamecocks +105 | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 | −240 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 18 12:32 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks +2 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks +105 · Tennessee Volunteers -125 |
| Oct 18 3:02 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks +2 (-108) | 49.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks +110 · Tennessee Volunteers -130 |
| Oct 18 4:03 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks +2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks +105 · Tennessee Volunteers -125 |
| Oct 18 5:03 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks +1.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks +100 · Tennessee Volunteers -120 |
| Oct 18 6:03 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks +1.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -102 · Tennessee Volunteers -118 |
| Oct 18 9:04 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -1 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -115 · Tennessee Volunteers -105 |
| Oct 18 10:04 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -125 · Tennessee Volunteers +105 |
| Oct 19 12:34 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +105 |
| Oct 19 6:00 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-115) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 19 8:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +105 |
| Oct 19 9:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-115) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 19 11:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 19 12:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 19 2:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -140 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Oct 19 3:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -140 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Oct 19 4:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -140 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Oct 19 5:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 19 11:25 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-115) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 6:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-112) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 7:02 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 8:38 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-118) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 1:15 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 1:46 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 4:47 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 20 6:17 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 21 10:01 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 21 10:32 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-118) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 21 12:02 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Oct 21 11:22 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 7:00 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 9:00 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 11:58 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-112) | 50.5 (-112) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 12:28 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-112) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 12:58 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Thu 3:29 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 3:59 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 4:29 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Thu 5:23 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 4:45 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-112) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 8:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 10:31 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 12:02 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 4:39 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 6:21 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 6:31 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-112) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 9:44 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Fri 10:04 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-112) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -140 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Fri 10:14 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 4:45 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 8:00 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 9:51 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 10:32 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 10:42 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 10:53 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 11:23 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 11:43 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 11:53 AM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 12:24 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +115 |
| Sat 12:34 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 12:44 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 12:54 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 1:04 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2 (-118) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 1:14 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 1:45 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 2:06 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -130 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| Sat 3:06 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
| CLOSESat 3:16 PM | South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | South Carolina Gamecocks -135 · Tennessee Volunteers +110 |
The read
No. 11 Tennessee comes into Williams-Brice for a 3:30 kickoff six days after beating Alabama, and somehow South Carolina is the favorite. I'll take the Vols to win it.
Start with the best unit on the field, Jim Knowles's Tennessee defense. Alabama scores 39.3 a game and got 10 in Knoxville: 26 runs for 54, 2-of-13 on third down, five sacks. Texas ran 36 times for 61. Arkansas went 2-of-11 on third down. That's four straight SEC opponents stuck on third down, not one good night.
South Carolina's defense hasn't stopped anyone good through the air. Alabama went 21-of-27 for 365, Florida 27-of-36 for 267, Kentucky 28-of-41 for 272, and Mississippi State threw five touchdowns. Those are strong offenses, but none of them had to work. Quay'sheed Scott sitting out isn't a new hole, because Scott missed Florida too.
Tennessee's offense is DeSean Bishop: 34 carries for 220 against Auburn, 32 for 159 against Alabama. George MacIntyre has won all three starts without carrying the load. Bishop runs into a defense that has given SEC teams 120 to 135 rushing yards, which keeps MacIntyre out of obvious passing downs.
South Carolina's 3-3 cuts both ways. The Gamecocks blew halftime leads against Kentucky and Mississippi State with turnovers. But their best win, 38-19 at Florida, rode three takeaways on roughly even yardage. That's an average SEC team.
What I'm not weighing: - Tennessee's six season-ending injuries, since that same roster beat Alabama - Heupel not naming a quarterback - Carter Miller coming back while Seth Smith is out - The bye-week and letdown stories - The Alabama common-opponent comparison, which stacks two noisy games
The danger is real. LaNorris Sellers ran for 147 against Kentucky, and Auburn's Byrum Brown led a run game that went 32 carries for 186 against this defense. MacIntyre threw three picks across the last two games. If Tennessee gives away possessions and Sellers gets loose, South Carolina wins this one.
But the market has these teams about even on a neutral field, and Tennessee is the better team. When the better team is getting plus money, I'll take it straight up.
Injuries noted
Tennessee Volunteers: Ethan Davis (out) — TE #0 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Joakim Dodson (out) — WR #9 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jaedon Harmon (out) — LB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Edrees Farooq (out) — DB #15 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Dylan Lewis (out) — DB #24 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Wendell Moe Jr. (out) — OL #75 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
South Carolina Gamecocks: Quay'sheed Scott (out) — DB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jayden Sellers (out) — WR #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jawarn Howell (doubtful) — RB #22 listed Doubtful on the SEC Update 2 report; Kobby Sakyi-Prah (out) — EDG #41 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Carter Miller (probable) — OL #50 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Josiah Thompson (out) — OL #74 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Seth Smith (out) — OL #78 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
George MacIntyre is TENN's projected starter
7.40 Y/AGeorge MacIntyre is TENN's projected starting quarterback. October 23 reporting expects MacIntyre to start against South Carolina. Josh Heupel had declined to publicly name a starter; this remains a projection. 2026 line: 592 passing yards, 66.3% completions, 7.40 yards per attempt, 2-3 TD-INT over 5 games.
LaNorris Sellers is SC's projected starter
7.21 Y/ALaNorris Sellers is SC's projected starting quarterback. In his October 21 Tennessee-week press conference, Kendal Briles discussed Sellers as the team's quarterback for this matchup. The retrieved dated report does not explicitly announce the starter. 2026 line: 1333 passing yards, 61.6% completions, 7.21 yards per attempt, 11-4 TD-INT over 6 games.
PACE & SCRIPT
TENN: 14.7 points allowed per game to SC's 25.5
10.8 PPGTennessee is allowing 14.7 points a game over 7 games, while South Carolina gives up 25.5 over 6. Tennessee has made a big jump from 28.8 last season, so some regression is possible, and South Carolina has gotten worse from 22.1. On the road, Tennessee's improved defense still holds the clearer edge.
TURNOVERS
TENN: 1.71 takeaways per game to SC's 0.83
0.88 TOTENN is at 1.71 takeaways per game over 7 games; SC is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.
MISMATCH
TENN: 14.7 points allowed a game to SC's 25.5
14.7 VS 25.5Tennessee allows 14.7 points a game through seven games, down from 28.8 last season, a dramatic defensive turnaround. South Carolina allows 25.5 over six games, worse than last season's 22.1. A swing that big over seven games points to real change, though it may settle a bit. Tennessee travels to South Carolina, where the home side's offense has to find points against a defense that has been far stingier, which matters when looking at the total.
COVERAGE
TENN: 159.3 passing yards allowed per game to SC's 234.2
74.9 YPGTENN is at 159.3 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; SC is at 234.2 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.
REPLACEMENT
Ethan Davis (TE) is out for TENN
OUTTE #0 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Joakim Dodson (WR) is out for TENN
OUTWR #9 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Jaedon Harmon (LB) is out for TENN
OUTLB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Edrees Farooq (DB) is out for TENN
OUTDB #15 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Dylan Lewis (DB) is out for TENN
OUTDB #24 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Wendell Moe Jr. (OL) is out for TENN
OUTOL #75 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Quay'sheed Scott (DB) is out for SC
OUTDB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Jayden Sellers (WR) is out for SC
OUTWR #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Kobby Sakyi-Prah (DE) is out for SC
OUTEDG #41 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Josiah Thompson (OL) is out for SC
OUTOL #74 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Seth Smith (OL) is out for SC
OUTOL #78 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
SITUATIONAL
SC has 7 more days of rest
7d vs 14dTennessee plays on a normal week while South Carolina comes off a bye with 14 days and the home crowd. In a conference game, an extra week to study film and get players healthy is a meaningful prep edge. Tennessee's seven days is routine, so this is about South Carolina's added prep more than any Tennessee fatigue. Factor it in as a modest bump for the home side.
TEAM RECORD
SEC game: TENN 3-1, SC 1-3 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the SEC. TENN is 3-1 against it, SC is 1-3. 2026 standings through 2026-10-24.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 24, 2026 at 8:11 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, fanduel, fanatics, betrivers, betmgm, caesars.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
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