LSU Tigers at Auburn Tigers
O/U 52.5 · SPREAD LSU Tigers -7.5 · Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Auburn Tigers +7.5 -118
- Published odds
- -118
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 38-17
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 64 moves| Market | Opened Oct 18 1:02 PM | Close Sat 11:53 AM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | Price |
| TOTAL | 50.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | +2 |
| MONEYLINE | LSU Tigers -250 | LSU Tigers -285 | −35 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 18 1:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -250 · Auburn Tigers +200 |
| Oct 18 2:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -235 · Auburn Tigers +200 |
| Oct 18 4:03 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -235 · Auburn Tigers +200 |
| Oct 18 5:03 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -250 · Auburn Tigers +200 |
| Oct 18 6:03 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 49.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +210 |
| Oct 18 7:04 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 49.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Oct 18 8:04 PM | — | 49.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 18 10:04 PM | LSU Tigers -8.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 19 6:00 AM | LSU Tigers -8.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -325 · Auburn Tigers +260 |
| Oct 19 7:31 AM | LSU Tigers -8.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +250 |
| Oct 19 9:31 AM | LSU Tigers -8.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -325 · Auburn Tigers +260 |
| Oct 19 11:31 AM | LSU Tigers -8.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -325 · Auburn Tigers +270 |
| Oct 19 2:31 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +250 |
| Oct 19 3:31 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +250 |
| Oct 19 4:31 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +250 |
| Oct 19 6:31 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +250 |
| Oct 19 7:01 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-102) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 19 8:31 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-118) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 19 10:24 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 20 12:55 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-102) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 20 6:31 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-102) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 20 8:38 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 6:01 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-125) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 7:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 12:32 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 2:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 4:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 4:32 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 5:32 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 8:21 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -300 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 9:21 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 21 9:51 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 22 12:52 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Oct 22 6:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Thu 7:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Thu 8:30 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Thu 9:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Thu 10:27 AM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Thu 12:28 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -295 · Auburn Tigers +240 |
| Thu 2:29 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 51.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +225 |
| Thu 3:59 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-108) | 51.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Thu 7:24 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Fri 4:45 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Fri 8:31 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-110) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Fri 11:01 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Fri 1:32 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +220 |
| Fri 2:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-120) | 51.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +225 |
| Fri 3:02 PM | LSU Tigers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Fri 7:01 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Fri 8:43 PM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 4:45 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 7:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 51.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 9:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 9:07 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 9:21 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 9:41 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 10:11 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 10:17 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 52.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 10:21 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 52.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 10:32 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 52.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 10:42 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-112) | 52.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 11:00 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 52.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 11:13 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 52.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| Sat 11:33 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 52.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -275 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
| CLOSESat 11:53 AM | LSU Tigers -7 (-115) | 52.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -285 · Auburn Tigers +230 |
The read
Two sets of Tigers meet at Jordan-Hare at 11 a.m. Central under clear skies. Auburn is coming off a road win at Georgia, and LSU is laying 7.5 points.
LSU's scores look better than its play against good teams. Its blowouts came against offenses that struggle to score: Clemson ranks 112th in scoring and Texas A&M 63rd. Mississippi State's shutout came with an 0-for-5 day on fourth down. LSU has faced two good offenses, both on the road. Ole Miss threw for 363, and Kentucky ran for 155 and threw for 246. LSU lost both.
Whit Weeks being out hurts LSU exactly where Auburn is strongest. With Weeks playing, Clemson, Ole Miss and A&M ran for 40, 63 and 91 yards. Since Weeks went out, Kentucky ran for 155 and Mississippi State for 170. Some of that is the opponents, but it matters most against a team built on Byrum Brown running the ball: 26 runs for 115 at Georgia and 19 for 107 at Tennessee.
Auburn's passing game is the real risk. Brown threw for 150, 159 and 140 yards in the last three games, with an interception in four of the five games with full stats. Auburn also gave up seven sacks against Florida and five each against Georgia and Baylor. LSU's pass defense held Mississippi State to 121 yards and A&M to 106. If Auburn falls behind on down and distance, this game gets away from it.
Losing Xavier Atkins hurts Auburn: 7.5 tackles for loss in four games. But Atkins already missed the Georgia game, and the line accounts for it. The Georgia win itself came mostly from turnovers: Auburn took the ball away three times without giving it away once, while Georgia threw for 327. It shows Auburn can stay close with good teams, not that it is one.
Ignore the talk of a post-Georgia letdown, the crowd noise and the rivalry; the line was set with all of it known. LSU is the better team, by about a touchdown on the road. Auburn's running game against a defense missing Weeks is the underdog's best matchup. A small play on Auburn.
Injuries noted
LSU Tigers: Whit Weeks (out) — LB #7 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Dashawn Spears (out) — S #10 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Phillip Wright III (out) — WR #15 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Charles Ross II (out) — LB #26 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Richard Anderson (out) — DT #88 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
Auburn Tigers: Tai Buster (out) — OL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Hunter Herring (out) — TE #85 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Saint Farrior (out) — DL #99 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Sam Leavitt is LSU's projected starter
8.45 Y/ASam Leavitt is LSU's projected starting quarterback. The October 22 game preview discusses Leavitt leading LSU against Auburn. A successfully retrieved current-week team declaration confirming the starter was not established. 2026 line: 1774 passing yards, 70.0% completions, 8.45 yards per attempt, 14-8 TD-INT over 7 games.
Byrum Brown is AUB's projected starter
6.53 Y/AByrum Brown is AUB's projected starting quarterback. The October 22 game preview discusses Brown as Auburn's quarterback against LSU. A successfully retrieved current-week team declaration confirming the starter was not established. 2026 line: 1202 passing yards, 64.1% completions, 6.53 yards per attempt, 8-7 TD-INT over 6 games.
TRENCHES
LSU: 87.9 rushing yards allowed per game to AUB's 142.3
54.5 YPGLSU is at 87.9 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; AUB is at 142.3 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.
PACE & SCRIPT
LSU: 40.4 points per game to AUB's 26.8
13.6 PPGLSU has nearly doubled last season's 22.8 points a game, and Auburn is right at last year's 26.8. The gap is all LSU's improvement, which lines up with its passing jump. Auburn's offense is steady, so this comes down to whether Auburn can slow that LSU passing game at home.
LSU: 32:55 time of possession per game to AUB's 26:54
6:01 TOPLSU holds the ball about six minutes longer per game than Auburn this season. LSU is up from 30:16 last season, and Auburn is down from 29:26, so both have moved apart. If LSU controls the clock again, Auburn gets fewer possessions at home, which can keep scoring down. Fewer drives makes the total the place to think about this edge.
MISMATCH
LSU: 306.4 pass yards a game to AUB's 211.7
306.4 VS 211.7LSU throws for 306.4 yards a game over 7 games, a big jump from 229.5 last season. Auburn is at 211.7, a bit above its 197.1 last year. LSU's leap may cool over a full season, but seven games is enough to take the passing attack seriously. Auburn has to pressure the quarterback and keep LSU behind the chains on the road, while using its own clock control to limit how many times LSU gets the ball.
COVERAGE
LSU: 165.1 passing yards allowed per game to AUB's 228
62.9 YPGLSU is at 165.1 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; AUB is at 228 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.
REPLACEMENT
Whit Weeks (LB) is out for LSU
OUTLB #7 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Dashawn Spears (S) is out for LSU
OUTS #10 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Phillip Wright III (WR) is out for LSU
OUTWR #15 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Charles Ross II (LB) is out for LSU
OUTLB #26 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Richard Anderson (DT) is out for LSU
OUTDT #88 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Tai Buster (OL) is out for AUB
OUTOL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Hunter Herring (TE) is out for AUB
OUTTE #85 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
Saint Farrior (DL) is out for AUB
OUTDL #99 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-23)
SITUATIONAL
LSU: 306.4 team passing yards per game to AUB's 211.7
94.8 YPGLSU's passing game has taken a big leap from 229.5 yards a game last season, while Auburn sits only a bit above its 197.1. Seven games is enough to say LSU has changed how it attacks, leaning on the throw. Auburn's lower passing output means it likely needs to win on the ground and shorten the game to keep LSU's passing attack off the field.
TEAM RECORD
SEC game: LSU 2-2, AUB 2-2 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the SEC. LSU is 2-2 against it, AUB is 2-2. 2026 standings through 2026-10-24.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 24, 2026 at 8:11 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, fanduel, fanatics, betrivers, betmgm, caesars.
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- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
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