Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks

Injuries noted

Baylor Bears: Jacob Redding (out) — S #8 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Jamarion Richardson (out) — CB #38 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Devonte Tezino (out) — DL #59 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Cayden Tone (out) — OL #61 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Ashton Jones (out) — WR #87 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report

Kansas Jayhawks: Syeed Gibbs (out) — CB #2 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Keaton Kubecka (out) — WR #3 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Jaden Harris (doubtful) — S #12 listed Doubtful on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Cole Ballard (probable) — QB #15 listed Probable on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Mason Ellis (out) — S #23 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Kasen Carpenter (out) — OL #51 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report; Kaden Moody (out) — OL #53 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report

QUARTERBACK

• DJ Lagway is BAY's projected starter

  6.05 Y/A

  DJ Lagway is BAY's projected starting quarterback. Baylor's October 24 game preview discusses Lagway as its quarterback against Kansas. The October 23 independent depth chart projects him to start; an explicit team statement naming this game's starter was not retrieved. 2026 line: 1120 passing yards, 50.3% completions, 6.05 yards per attempt, 8-3 TD-INT over 4 games.

• Isaiah Marshall is KU's projected starter

  7.75 Y/A

  Isaiah Marshall is KU's projected starting quarterback. Kansas's October 19 game preview identifies Marshall as leading the offense against Baylor. The October 23 independent depth chart projects him to start; an explicit team confirmation of this game's starter was not retrieved. 2026 line: 1294 passing yards, 52.7% completions, 7.75 yards per attempt, 9-5 TD-INT over 6 games.

TRENCHES

• BAY: 88 rushing yards allowed per game to KU's 174.3

  86.3 YPG

  Baylor allows 88 rushing yards a game over six games, while Kansas allows 174.3 over the same span. Six games is enough to take Baylor's front seriously, though the sheet doesn't list the opponents behind it. Kansas giving up nearly twice as much on the ground is a steady trend. Baylor's offense should find the run open, and Kansas may need to lean on the pass if its ground game stalls against a stingy front.

• KU: 207.2 rushing yards per game to BAY's 148.3

  58.8 YPG

  Kansas runs for 207.2 yards a game against Baylor's 148.3, each over 6 games. Kansas is up from 168.3 last season while Baylor sits near its 141.5, so the Jayhawks have become more of a ground team. At home, Kansas likely controls tempo by running it, which shortens the game and limits Baylor's possessions.

PACE & SCRIPT

• BAY: 14.7 points allowed per game to KU's 24

  9.3 PPG

  Baylor allows 14.7 points a game over 6 games, after giving up 32.6 last season. That is a massive turnaround, and some of it likely comes from the schedule, so expect some regression. Kansas, at 24 allowed, is close to last season's 26.8. Weigh Baylor's defensive improvement carefully rather than trusting the full number on the road.

TURNOVERS

• BAY: 1.83 takeaways per game to KU's 1

  0.83 TO

  BAY is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; KU is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.

MISMATCH

• KU: 207.2 rush yards a game to BAY's 148.3

  207.2 VS 148.3

  Kansas runs for 207.2 yards a game through six games, up from 168.3 last season, so the ground game has taken a real step forward. Baylor also runs well at 148.3, up from 141.5, but Kansas leans harder on it. Six games is a decent sample, and both teams improved on last season, which suggests the edge is real. With Kansas at home and built to control the game on the ground, think about how Baylor keeps pace if it cannot get Kansas off the field.

COVERAGE

• KU: 174.3 passing yards allowed per game to BAY's 240

  65.7 YPG

  BAY is at 240 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; KU is at 174.3 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 23.

REPLACEMENT

• Jacob Redding (S) is out for BAY

  OUT

  S #8 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Jamarion Richardson (CB) is out for BAY

  OUT

  CB #38 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Devonte Tezino (DL) is out for BAY

  OUT

  DL #59 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Cayden Tone (OL) is out for BAY

  OUT

  OL #61 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Ashton Jones (WR) is out for BAY

  OUT

  WR #87 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Syeed Gibbs (CB) is out for KU

  OUT

  CB #2 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Keaton Kubecka (WR) is out for KU

  OUT

  WR #3 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Mason Ellis (S) is out for KU

  OUT

  S #23 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Kasen Carpenter (OL) is out for KU

  OUT

  OL #51 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Kaden Moody (OL) is out for KU

  OUT

  OL #53 listed Out on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

• Jaden Harris (S) is doubtful for KU

  DOUBTFUL

  S #12 listed Doubtful on the Big 12 Update 2 report Big 12 availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-23 21:00:00 CT) (2026-10-23)

TEAM RECORD

• Big 12 game: BAY 2-1, KU 0-3 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  These two share the Big 12. BAY is 2-1 against it, KU is 0-3. 2026 standings through 2026-10-24.

AFTER GARY

• BAY -1.5 → +1.5

  NOW +3

  Gary's number was -1.5; the same book now shows 1.5.