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NCAAF · Sat, Oct 17 · 12:30 PM

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Maryland Terrapins

O/U 55.5 · SPREAD Maryland Terrapins -5.5 · SECU Stadium, College Park, MD

GARY'S PICK
Maryland -5.5
NCAAFvs Rutgers· -110

Maryland
-5.5

-110 · LOST · RUTG 37 · MD 30

Rutgers

The pick & result

Published pick
Maryland Terrapins -5.5 -110
Published odds
-110
Result
Lost
Final score
37-30

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The line

BETMGM · 48 moves
MarketOpened
Oct 11 3:03 PM
Close
Oct 17 12:12 PM
Move
SPREADMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)+1
TOTAL58.5 (-115)55.5 (-110)−3
MONEYLINEMaryland Terrapins -200Maryland Terrapins -210−10
Every move, in order ›
WhenSpreadTotalMoneyline
OPENOct 11 3:03 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)58.5 (-115)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 11 4:03 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)58.5 (-115)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 11 8:03 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)58.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 12 6:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)58.5 (-105)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 12 10:01 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)58.5 (-105)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 12 11:32 AMMaryland Terrapins -6.5 (-105)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -235 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 12 1:33 PMMaryland Terrapins -6.5 (-105)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -225 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 12 7:06 PMMaryland Terrapins -6 (-110)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -235 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 13 10:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -6 (-118)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -235 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 13 12:32 PMMaryland Terrapins -6 (-110)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -235 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 13 1:02 PMMaryland Terrapins -6 (-110)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -235 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +190
Oct 13 2:02 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-105)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 13 2:32 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 14 8:20 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 14 11:02 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +155
Oct 14 12:34 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 14 2:34 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 14 5:06 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 6:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-108)57.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 7:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)57.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 7:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 8:01 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 9:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-110)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 1:32 PMMaryland Terrapins -4.5 (-108)56.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -190 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +160
Oct 15 5:00 PMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-110)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -200 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +165
Oct 16 12:24 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 12:54 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 7:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)55.5 (-112)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 16 8:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 9:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-118)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 10:31 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 2:32 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 4:02 PMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 4:32 PMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-120)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 6:51 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 7:31 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +170
Oct 16 8:31 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 16 10:31 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 5:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-112)56.5 (-108)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 7:30 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-118)55.5 (-118)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 8:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)55.5 (-118)Maryland Terrapins -220 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +180
Oct 17 9:00 AMMaryland Terrapins -6 (-108)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -220 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +180
Oct 17 11:12 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -220 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +180
Oct 17 11:22 AMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-110)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 11:32 AMMaryland Terrapins -5 (-120)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 11:42 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-105)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
Oct 17 11:52 AMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-105)55.5 (-110)—
Oct 17 12:00 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-105)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175
CLOSEOct 17 12:12 PMMaryland Terrapins -5.5 (-108)55.5 (-110)Maryland Terrapins -210 · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +175

The read

Maryland is 2-4 and Rutgers is 1-4, and both arrive in College Park for a 12:30 kickoff coming off beatdowns from top-five opponents. Maryland lays 5.5 at home, and I'll lay it.

Maryland's last three scores look ugly: 3-54 against UCLA, 23-48 at Nebraska, 16-45 at Ohio State. Those were three of the best defenses on the schedule, though. Against the ordinary ones, Malik Washington went 34-of-41 for 347 at UConn and 30-of-43 for 359 against Virginia Tech. The market has marked Maryland down after three straight blowouts, and this is the spot to buy back in.

Rutgers' bad losses came against its own tier. It fell 21-37 at home to UMass and 21-28 at Boston College, an offense ranked 122nd in scoring. Maryland went to UConn and won 38-14. That gap is wider than this number.

The matchup that decides it is Maryland's passing game against the Rutgers secondary. Rutgers has allowed between 8.7 and 9.1 yards per attempt to every FBS opponent and has managed one sack in each of those games. Kaj Sanders, Kevin Levy and Zahmir Dawud are out, and the front could be without Ty Morris, Rondo Porter and Moses Walker. That means a clean pocket for a simplified passing game and room for Chris Durr Jr. to work. Rutgers also has 10 giveaways against 6 takeaways, and Dylan Lonergan threw multiple interceptions against both UMass and USC. Maryland should get the extra possessions.

This isn't a hammer. Maryland scores only 3.0 points per trip inside the 40, and a field-goal win loses this ticket. KJ Duff is the most dangerous player on the field, and Rutgers comes in on 14 days of rest against Maryland's 7. Maryland is also without offensive linemen Trevor Szymanski and Day'Jon Moore. If Antwan Raymond is healthy, Rutgers can lean on the run.

Still, once you account for who each team has played, Maryland is the better team. It's at home against the softest pass defense it has seen since UConn. Maryland -5.5.

Injuries noted

Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Kaj Sanders (out) — DB; undisclosed injury. October 16 report confirms he is out against Maryland.; Kevin Levy (out) — DB; listed out for Maryland. Condition unspecified.; Zahmir Dawud (out) — DB; listed out for Maryland. Condition unspecified.; Jourdin Houston (questionable) — WR; undisclosed injury. October 16 update supersedes the earlier doubtful designation.; Ty Morris (doubtful) — LB; listed doubtful for Maryland. Condition unspecified.; Ja'shon Benjamin (out) — RB; undisclosed injury. October 16 update supersedes the earlier doubtful designation.; Ben Rothhaar (out) — TE; undisclosed injury. October 16 update supersedes the earlier doubtful designation.; Rondo Porter (doubtful) — DL; listed doubtful for Maryland. Condition unspecified.; Moses Walker (questionable) — LB; listed questionable for Maryland. Condition unspecified.; Antwan Raymond (questionable) — RB; undisclosed condition. October 16 reporting retains a questionable designation.; Clay Thevenin (questionable) — RB; undisclosed condition. October 16 reporting retains a questionable designation.

Maryland Terrapins: Zahir Mathis (out for season) — Defensive edge player; October 16 reporting confirms he is out for the year. Condition unspecified in that report.; Lloyd Irvin III (out) — DB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Josiah Teasley (out) — WR; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; DJ Samuels (out) — Listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Sean Williams (out) — WR; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Harry Dalton III (out) — RB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Solomon Foye (out) — RB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Trevor Szymanski (out) — OL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Day'Jon Moore (out) — OL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Delmar White (out) — DL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding (questionable) — WR; undisclosed injury. October 16 update changes Thursday's doubtful designation to questionable, citing the Big Ten availability report.; Jayden Shipps (questionable) — DB; listed questionable for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Amari Jackson (questionable) — DB; listed questionable for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; Terrez Worthy (questionable) — RB; listed questionable for Rutgers. Condition unspecified.; DeJuan Williams (probable) — RB; undisclosed injury. October 16 report lists him probable against Rutgers, citing the Big Ten availability report.

The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

QUARTERBACK

  • Malik Washington is MD's projected starter

    6.09 Y/A

    Malik Washington is MD's projected starting quarterback. Maryland's October 12 game preview and October 16 attributed reporting discuss Washington as the team's quarterback entering Rutgers week. These retrieved reports do not contain an explicit game-specific starter announcement; projection is based on that reporting, not passing totals. 2026 line: 1352 passing yards, 61.3% completions, 6.09 yards per attempt, 7-6 TD-INT over 6 games.

  • Dylan Lonergan is RUTG's confirmed starter

    8.42 Y/A

    Dylan Lonergan is RUTG's confirmed starting quarterback. On October 13, Greg Schiano explicitly said Lonergan was full go and would start against Maryland. October 16 WRSU reporting also identifies him as in line to start following the Indiana injury. 2026 line: 775 passing yards, 55.4% completions, 8.42 yards per attempt, 7-5 TD-INT over 4 games.

TRENCHES

  • MD: 148.3 rushing yards allowed per game to RUTG's 199.8

    51.5 YPG

    Maryland allows 148.3 rushing yards a game over six games, and Rutgers allows 199.8 over five. Neither team stops the run well, and Maryland is only the lesser problem. The sheet has no opponent detail, so we can't tell how much schedule shaped either number. Both run games have room to work here, which points toward rushing overs and a game played on the ground.

TURNOVERS

  • MD: 1.17 turnovers committed per game to RUTG's 2

    0.83 TO

    Rutgers is turning it over twice a game through 5 games, more than double last season's 0.92, while Maryland sits at 1.17, exactly where it was last season. Maryland's number looks stable; Rutgers's spike on a short sample should come down. Maryland at home has the more dependable ball security, but betting on Rutgers to keep giving it away at this rate is risky.

MISMATCH

  • MD: 1.17 turnovers a game to RUTG's 2

    1.17 VS 2

    Rutgers is giving the ball away twice a game over five games, while Maryland is at 1.17. Rutgers was at 0.92 last season, so its current rate is well above its norm and may come down. Maryland is exactly at last year's 1.17. At Maryland, Rutgers' giveaways are the swing factor: if it cleans them up, this game tightens.

REPLACEMENT

  • Zahir Mathis (LB) is out for the season for MD

    OUT FOR SEASON

    Defensive edge player; October 16 reporting confirms he is out for the year. Condition unspecified in that report. On the Banks — Rutgers Opponent Q&A w/ Maryland’s Testudo Times (2026-10-16)

  • Kaj Sanders (DB) is out for RUTG

    OUT

    DB; undisclosed injury. October 16 report confirms he is out against Maryland. RotoWire — Rutgers news: Rothhaar, Benjamin and Sanders out; Houston questionable (2026-10-16)

  • Kevin Levy (DB) is out for RUTG

    OUT

    DB; listed out for Maryland. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Zahmir Dawud (DB) is out for RUTG

    OUT

    DB; listed out for Maryland. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Ja'shon Benjamin (RB) is out for RUTG

    OUT

    RB; undisclosed injury. October 16 update supersedes the earlier doubtful designation. RotoWire — Rutgers news: Rothhaar, Benjamin and Sanders out; Houston questionable (2026-10-16)

  • Ben Rothhaar (TE) is out for RUTG

    OUT

    TE; undisclosed injury. October 16 update supersedes the earlier doubtful designation. RotoWire — Rutgers news: Rothhaar, Benjamin and Sanders out; Houston questionable (2026-10-16)

  • Lloyd Irvin III (DB) is out for MD

    OUT

    DB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Josiah Teasley (WR) is out for MD

    OUT

    WR; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • DJ Samuels (RB) is out for MD

    OUT

    Listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Sean Williams (WR) is out for MD

    OUT

    WR; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Harry Dalton III (RB) is out for MD

    OUT

    RB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Solomon Foye (RB) is out for MD

    OUT

    RB; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Trevor Szymanski (OL) is out for MD

    OUT

    OL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Day'Jon Moore (OL) is out for MD

    OUT

    OL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

  • Delmar White (DL) is out for MD

    OUT

    DL; listed out for Rutgers. Condition unspecified. The Knight Report — Rutgers Football Wednesday Injury Report: Latest Updates ahead of the Maryland game (2026-10-15)

SITUATIONAL

  • RUTG has 7 more days of rest

    14d vs 7d

    Rutgers comes off a bye with 14 days of rest and heads to Maryland, who is on a regular 7-day week. The Scarlet Knights had the extra practice week, which helps make up for being on the road. In a rivalry-style spot like this, extra prep can matter in a close game late, when fresher legs show up.

  • RUTG: 26.6 penalty yards per game to MD's 67.7

    41.1 YDS

    Rutgers is one of the cleanest teams around at 26.6 penalty yards per game over 5 games, while Maryland is giving away 67.7 over 6. This fits each program's habits: Rutgers was at 32.6 last season and Maryland at 54.6, so Maryland has gotten sloppier and Rutgers stayed disciplined. In a road game, Rutgers is the side less likely to hand over free yards, and Maryland drives can stall or extend on flags.

  • RUTG: 3.6 fourth-down attempts per game to MD's 1.67

    1.93 ATT/G

    Rutgers is going for it on fourth down 3.6 times per game over 5 games, up from 2.83 last season, while Maryland tries 1.67, down from 2.08. Rutgers has leaned harder into an aggressive style, and Maryland has gotten more conservative. Expect Rutgers to extend drives and take chances on the road, which can swing scoring and field position more than in a typical game.

TEAM RECORD

  • Big Ten game: RUTG 0-2, MD 0-3 in conference

    CONFERENCE

    These two share the Big Ten. RUTG is 0-2 against it, MD is 0-3. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.

All research from this day

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Daily picks first stored October 17, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET.
Odds record
The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, draftkings, betrivers, betmgm, caesars.
Accountability
Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

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