Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers
O/U 49.5 · SPREAD Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, IN
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Indiana Hoosiers +3.5 -124
- Published odds
- -124
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 19-15
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 58 moves| Market | Opened Oct 11 3:03 PM | Close Oct 17 11:12 AM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 (-108) | −1½ |
| TOTAL | 50.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | −1 |
| MONEYLINE | Ohio State Buckeyes -190 | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 | +40 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 11 3:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -190 · Indiana Hoosiers +155 |
| Oct 11 4:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 11 5:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-115) | 51.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -160 · Indiana Hoosiers +135 |
| Oct 11 7:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 11 8:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-118) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 11 9:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 51.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 11 10:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-112) | Ohio State Buckeyes -190 · Indiana Hoosiers +155 |
| Oct 11 11:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -190 · Indiana Hoosiers +155 |
| Oct 12 12:04 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 12 6:00 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 12 8:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 12 9:00 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +138 |
| Oct 12 11:32 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 12 12:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-102) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +138 |
| Oct 12 1:33 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 12 4:34 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 12 5:34 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 51.5 (+100) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 12 6:36 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 12 11:06 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -165 · Indiana Hoosiers +140 |
| Oct 13 6:00 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 13 7:00 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 13 9:31 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-118) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +155 |
| Oct 13 11:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 13 2:32 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 13 4:55 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 13 5:32 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 8:20 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 10:32 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 11:02 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 11:32 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-118) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 12:03 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-115) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 14 6:38 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +155 |
| Oct 14 7:08 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 14 7:38 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 15 9:31 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 15 10:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -185 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 15 10:31 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 15 11:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 15 1:32 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +150 |
| Oct 15 5:00 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 15 8:51 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 16 8:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -175 · Indiana Hoosiers +145 |
| Oct 16 11:32 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 2:02 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 4:32 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 16 7:41 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -160 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 9:01 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 9:31 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -160 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 10:31 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 16 11:31 PM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 17 12:01 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -160 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 17 9:31 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 17 9:41 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -155 · Indiana Hoosiers +130 |
| Oct 17 9:51 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-102) | 50.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 17 10:21 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (+100) | 50.5 (-105) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 17 10:31 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-102) | 50.5 (-105) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 17 10:41 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (+100) | 50.5 (-105) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| Oct 17 10:51 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
| CLOSEOct 17 11:12 AM | Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-108) | Ohio State Buckeyes -150 · Indiana Hoosiers +125 |
The read
Bloomington hosts a top-five Big Ten showdown at noon. No. 5 Indiana is unbeaten, and No. 4 Ohio State comes in as the road favorite. The number says the Buckeyes are clearly better. This season's tape says it's a coin flip, and I'm taking the points.
This game turns on the ground, and both sides of it lean Indiana. Ohio State's run game has been ordinary against real fronts: 3.0 a carry at Texas and 3.4 at Iowa. Now it faces a defense that held Northwestern to 1.2 and Rutgers to 1.7. The Buckeyes do it without Ja'Kobi Jackson and with a patched right side of the line. That pushes Julian Sayin into obvious passing downs, exactly where Indiana's four-man rush does its damage: 20 sacks and 49 tackles for loss with almost no blitzing. Flip it around, and Ohio State's run defense gave up 6.0 a carry to Illinois and 57% rushing success to Texas. Now it sees Turbo Richard and Lee Beebe Jr., both healthy, in an offense that runs for 221.3 yards a game.
Then there's ball security. Indiana has one giveaway all season, and Josh Hoover hasn't thrown an interception. Ohio State has 6 giveaways, and Sayin has 5 picks. In a game this tight, that matters.
The market is also chasing the last two weeks. Ohio State looked great against Iowa and Maryland. Indiana looked shaky at Nebraska: outgained, and needing two late Nick Marsh touchdowns. But that came on the road against the 17th-ranked scoring defense in the country. Ohio State's blowout came against the 127th. Good teams that look bad for a week tend to bounce back. Indiana is 4-0 at home, allowing 9.8 points a game. Ohio State's scoring drops from 50.5 at home to 27 on the road.
The risk is real. Jeremiah Smith gets a secondary that allowed 9.8 yards per attempt to Northwestern and Rutgers. And the Buckeye defense is built to erase the big plays Indiana leaned on last week. If Smith gets loose, Ohio State covers.
But this looks like a field-goal game, and the hook is worth paying for, even at -124. Indiana +3.5.
Injuries noted
Ohio State Buckeyes: Austin Siereveld (out) — Starting offensive lineman ruled out against Indiana with a non-football illness.; Ja'Kobi Jackson (out) — Running back ruled out after a foot injury against Maryland.; Leroy Roker III (out) — Rotational safety listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified.; Khmari Bing (out) — Safety listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified.; Amari Valerio-Hudson (out) — Wide receiver listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified.; Jaxon Powell (out) — Offensive lineman listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified.; Anthony Rogers (out) — Running back nicknamed Turbo downgraded to out Friday for Indiana; condition unspecified.; Brock Boyd (doubtful) — Freshman wide receiver listed doubtful against Indiana; condition unspecified.; Brenten Jones (questionable) — Walk-on defensive back nicknamed Inky listed questionable against Indiana; condition unspecified.
Indiana Hoosiers: Khobie Martin (doubtful) — Running back listed doubtful for Ohio State in the October 16 preview's Thursday availability update; recovering from a broken forearm sustained in Week 1.; Andrew Barker (out) — Tight end listed out in the October 16 preview's Thursday availability update. This conflicts with the questionable designation in the October 14 initial report; a definitive game-day resolution was not retrieved.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Julian Sayin is OSU's projected starter
10.87 Y/AJulian Sayin is OSU's projected starting quarterback. The October 16 game preview explicitly lists Sayin among the projected starters for October 17; this establishes a projection, not a confirmed game-day lineup. 2026 line: 1772 passing yards, 71.2% completions, 10.87 yards per attempt, 17-2 TD-INT over 6 games.
Josh Hoover is IU's projected starter
10.57 Y/AJosh Hoover is IU's projected starting quarterback. The October 16 game preview explicitly lists Hoover among the projected starters for October 17; this establishes a projection, not a confirmed game-day lineup. 2026 line: 1364 passing yards, 68.2% completions, 10.57 yards per attempt, 17-0 TD-INT over 6 games.
TRENCHES
IU: 222.2 rushing yards per game to OSU's 163.8
58.3 YPGIndiana runs for more than Ohio State, and this is no fluke: Indiana was at 212.9 last season and Ohio State at 154.4, so both are close to who they were. This game pits Indiana's ground-first identity at home against an Ohio State team that runs less. If Indiana can keep running, it shortens the game and limits Ohio State's possessions, which matters when thinking about the total and the underdog margin.
TURNOVERS
IU: 0.17 turnovers committed per game to OSU's 1
0.83 TOIndiana has turned it over just 0.17 times per game through 6 games, while Ohio State is at 1. Indiana was careful last season too at 0.5 over 16 games, so the ball security is real, though a rate this low tends to rise. Ohio State at 0.79 last season has been a bit looser, and in a game between strong teams, the side less likely to gift possessions carries an edge at home.
MISMATCH
OSU: 337.8 pass yards a game to IU's 241.3
337.8 VS 241.3Ohio State throws for 337.8 yards a game over six games, up from 268.2 last season. Indiana is at 241.3, almost exactly its 239.1 from a year ago, so its passing looks steady. Ohio State's jump is large but it came from a strong base, so a high number should mostly hold. Indiana needs to keep Ohio State's offense off the field with its own sustained drives.
REPLACEMENT
Austin Siereveld (OL) is out for OSU
OUTStarting offensive lineman ruled out against Indiana with a non-football illness. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Ja'Kobi Jackson (RB) is out for OSU
OUTRunning back ruled out after a foot injury against Maryland. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Leroy Roker III (S) is out for OSU
OUTRotational safety listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Khmari Bing (S) is out for OSU
OUTSafety listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Amari Valerio-Hudson (WR) is out for OSU
OUTWide receiver listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Jaxon Powell (OL) is out for OSU
OUTOffensive lineman listed out against Indiana; condition unspecified. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Anthony Rogers (RB) is out for OSU
OUTRunning back nicknamed Turbo downgraded to out Friday for Indiana; condition unspecified. Ohio State Injury Report: Austin Siereveld and Ja’Kobi Jackson Out, Brock Boyd Doubtful vs. Indiana; Five Other Starters Returning to Action (2026-10-16)
Andrew Barker (TE) is out for IU
OUTTight end listed out in the October 16 preview's Thursday availability update. This conflicts with the questionable designation in the October 14 initial report; a definitive game-day resolution was not retrieved. Game preview: IU football set to host Ohio State in historic clash (2026-10-16) Initial Availability Report for Indiana-Ohio State Game (2026-10-14)
SITUATIONAL
OSU: 337.8 team passing yards per game to IU's 241.3
96.5 YPGOSU is at 337.8 team passing yards per game over 6 games; IU is at 241.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 16. Last season OSU was at 268.2 over 14 games and IU at 239.1 over 16 games.
No. 4 Ohio State at No. 5 Indiana
#4 VS #5These two are nearly even in the eyes of voters: Ohio State has 1508 points and Indiana has 1461, and Indiana is the one holding a first-place vote. Indiana is 6-0 and rose two spots, while Ohio State is 5-1 and moved up one. The 4 and 5 rankings undersell how close this looks, and Indiana is at home. Bettors should price this as a coin-flip kind of matchup rather than lean on the brand name.
TEAM RECORD
Big Ten game: OSU 3-0, IU 3-0 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the Big Ten. OSU is 3-0 against it, IU is 3-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 17, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, betrivers, draftkings, fanatics, betmgm, caesars.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
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