Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oregon Ducks
O/U 51.5 · SPREAD Oregon Ducks -6.5 · Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Oregon Ducks -6.5 -110
- Published odds
- -110
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 14-17
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 38 moves| Market | Opened Oct 11 3:03 PM | Close Oct 17 10:57 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-110) | Price |
| TOTAL | 51.5 (-108) | 51.5 (-102) | Price |
| MONEYLINE | Oregon Ducks -235 | Oregon Ducks -235 | Holds |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 11 3:03 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 11 4:03 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 11 5:03 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 11 6:03 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-105) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 11 7:03 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +220 |
| Oct 12 9:00 AM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +220 |
| Oct 12 11:32 AM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 12 1:33 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 12 7:06 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 13 10:01 AM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 13 4:32 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 13 7:25 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 8:20 AM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 2:04 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-110) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 3:05 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 4:05 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 4:35 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 5:37 PM | Oregon Ducks -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Oregon Ducks -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +230 |
| Oct 14 8:38 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-110) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +225 |
| Oct 14 9:08 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +220 |
| Oct 15 12:01 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-108) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 15 5:33 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-112) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +220 |
| Oct 15 7:20 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-108) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +220 |
| Oct 15 8:51 PM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-105) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 16 5:00 AM | Oregon Ducks -7 (-108) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 16 1:32 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-110) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 16 5:40 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 17 12:01 AM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 17 5:00 AM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 17 9:21 AM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 17 6:45 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -275 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 17 7:15 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 17 8:16 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 17 8:26 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -250 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +210 |
| Oct 17 8:56 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 17 9:07 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-115) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +200 |
| Oct 17 10:27 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-108) | 51.5 (-108) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +195 |
| Oct 17 10:37 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-108) | 51.5 (-102) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +195 |
| CLOSEOct 17 10:57 PM | Oregon Ducks -6.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-102) | Oregon Ducks -235 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +190 |
The read
Autzen goes under the lights at 8:00 PM Pacific, and the Ducks come in with the market treating them like damaged goods. Nebraska flies about 1,360 miles on a 5-1 start and a near-upset of Indiana. I'm taking Oregon -6.5.
Start with why the number sits here. Oregon was No. 13 until UCLA left Autzen with a 17-15 win. The Ducks gave it away 7 times, five of them on fumbles, and still lost by only two after being stopped on a tying two-point try. Their defense held UCLA to 17 points and 4-16 on third down. Fumble luck that bad doesn't repeat, and the drop out of the poll hands us Oregon at a discount.
The injury list looks scarier than it plays. Dante Moore, Aaron Flowers and Jeremiah McClellan were already out last week, and Simeon Price and Brayden Platt haven't recorded a stat this season. The real new loss is Evan Stewart, who is doubtful. Quarterback is covered better than at most programs. Dylan Raiola threw for 289 yards and 2 TDs in a 41-27 win at USC, and Brock Thomas went 11-of-15 with no picks in relief against UCLA.
Nebraska's record is mostly empty calories. The wins came against two MAC teams, an FCS team, and Michigan State and Maryland, both 2-5. The one good team on the schedule, Indiana, won in Lincoln. Oregon has already seen four ranked opponents. Nebraska's defense also has a hole in the worst spot. Starting safety Jamir Conn is out against an offense built on play action and RPOs, a week after Indiana hit 12.0 yards per pass attempt with Conn on the field.
The risk is real. Oregon's offense has stalled against good defenses, the receiver room is thin, and Trent Ferguson is out up front. A weak Oregon pass rush (8 sacks) gives Anthony Colandrea time, and Nebraska rarely gives the ball away. The losing script is a grind that Oregon wins by a field goal.
Still, a better team at home, at night, priced off a turnover fluke is the side I want. Ducks by a touchdown or more.
Injuries noted
Nebraska Cornhuskers: Jamir Conn (out) — Starting safety ruled out against Oregon after an injury against Indiana; specific condition undisclosed.; Larry Miles (out) — Wide receiver listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified.; Kahmir Prescott (out) — Defensive back listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified.; Jase Reynolds (out) — Linebacker listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified.; Jacob Bower (out) — Linebacker listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified.; Gabe Moore (out) — Defensive lineman listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified.; Riley Van Poppel (doubtful) — Defensive lineman listed doubtful against Oregon; specific condition undisclosed.
Oregon Ducks: Dante Moore (out) — Quarterback recovering from a concussion; listed out on Friday's Nebraska availability report.; Aaron Flowers (out for season) — Defensive back underwent surgery for an undisclosed condition, according to reporting attributed to Dan Lanning; also listed out Friday.; Jeremiah McClellan (out) — Wide receiver listed out on Friday's Nebraska availability report; that update does not specify the condition.; Simeon Price (out) — Running back listed out Friday; reason unspecified.; Brayden Platt (out) — Linebacker listed out Friday; reason unspecified.; Trent Ferguson (out) — Offensive lineman listed out Friday; that update does not specify the condition.; Evan Stewart (doubtful) — Wide receiver remained doubtful on Friday's Nebraska availability report; condition undisclosed.; Dave Iuli (probable) — Offensive lineman listed probable Friday; no new condition specified.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Brock Thomas is ORE's projected starter
7.40 Y/ABrock Thomas is ORE's projected starting quarterback. October 16 reporting attributed to Chris Hummer and Matt Zenitz says Thomas is expected to start against Nebraska. Oregon had not publicly confirmed its selection. 2026 line: 148 passing yards, 70.0% completions, 7.40 yards per attempt, 1-0 TD-INT over 2 games.
Anthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starter
7.55 Y/AAnthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starting quarterback. The October 12 Register-Guard preview specifically identifies Colandrea as Nebraska's established starter entering the October 17 Oregon game. 2026 line: 1404 passing yards, 64.0% completions, 7.55 yards per attempt, 13-3 TD-INT over 6 games.
TURNOVERS
NEB: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to ORE's 1.6
1.1 TONebraska is protecting the ball at 0.5 giveaways a game, better than its 0.85 last season, while Oregon sits at 1.6 over 5 games after just 1 a game last season. Both are short samples, and Oregon's jump is the likelier one to correct. In Eugene, Nebraska's path to staying close is avoiding the short fields that let Oregon pile up points.
MISMATCH
NEB: 213.8 rush yards a game to ORE's 137.2
213.8 VS 137.2Nebraska runs for 213.8 yards a game over six games, up from 145.9 last season. Oregon has dropped to 137.2 over five after 198.6 a year ago. Both moved sharply, so expect some drift back toward last season on each side. Oregon's rushing could rebound at home, which makes this gap look less settled than the headline suggests.
REPLACEMENT
Aaron Flowers (DB) is out for the season for ORE
OUT FOR SEASONDefensive back underwent surgery for an undisclosed condition, according to reporting attributed to Dan Lanning; also listed out Friday. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16) Oregon News, Schedule, and Roster — Dante Moore and Aaron Flowers updates (2026-10-14)
Jamir Conn (DB) is out for NEB
OUTStarting safety ruled out against Oregon after an injury against Indiana; specific condition undisclosed. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15) Oregon QB Dante Moore, Nebraska Safety Jamir Conn to Miss Huskers-Ducks Game (2026-10-15)
Larry Miles (WR) is out for NEB
OUTWide receiver listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15)
Kahmir Prescott (DB) is out for NEB
OUTDefensive back listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15)
Jase Reynolds (LB) is out for NEB
OUTLinebacker listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15)
Jacob Bower (LB) is out for NEB
OUTLinebacker listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15)
Gabe Moore (DL) is out for NEB
OUTDefensive lineman listed out on the game-specific initial availability report; condition unspecified. Oregon availability report: Dante Moore ruled OUT for Nebraska — Ducks Wire via AOL (2026-10-15)
Dante Moore (QB) is out for ORE
OUTQuarterback recovering from a concussion; listed out on Friday's Nebraska availability report. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16) Oregon News, Schedule, and Roster — Dante Moore and Aaron Flowers updates (2026-10-14)
Jeremiah McClellan (WR) is out for ORE
OUTWide receiver listed out on Friday's Nebraska availability report; that update does not specify the condition. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16)
Simeon Price (RB) is out for ORE
OUTRunning back listed out Friday; reason unspecified. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16)
Brayden Platt (LB) is out for ORE
OUTLinebacker listed out Friday; reason unspecified. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16)
Trent Ferguson (OL) is out for ORE
OUTOffensive lineman listed out Friday; that update does not specify the condition. The Quack Report — October 16 Roster update on Friday's Nebraska availability report (2026-10-16)
SITUATIONAL
ORE: 312.2 team passing yards per game to NEB's 247.5
64.7 YPGOregon is throwing for 312.2 yards per game over 5 games, up from 253.6 last season, while Nebraska is at 247.5 over 6, a modest rise from 224.6. Both passing games have improved, Oregon by much more. At home, Oregon's air attack is the style likely to set the pace, which pushes Nebraska to answer through the air rather than grind.
TEAM RECORD
Big Ten game: NEB 2-1, ORE 1-1 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the Big Ten. NEB is 2-1 against it, ORE is 1-1. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 17, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, betrivers, draftkings, betmgm, caesars.
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- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
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