Missouri Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels

Injuries noted

Missouri Tigers: Robert Woodyard Jr. (probable) — LB #0 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Jeremiah Beasley (questionable) — LB #6 listed Questionable on the SEC Update 2 report; Santana Banner (probable) — S #15 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; JaDon Blair (out) — S #18 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Cayden Lee (probable) — WR #19 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Darris Smith (probable) — EDG #19 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Malae Fonoti (out) — RB #21 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Ahmad Hardy (out) — RB #29 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Josh Atkins (out) — OL #54 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Khalief Canty Jr. (out) — OL #58 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Cayden Green (probable) — OL #70 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Brett Norfleet (questionable) — TE #87 listed Questionable on the SEC Update 2 report; Gavin Hoffman (out) — TE #88 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Sterling Webb (probable) — DT #90 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report

Ole Miss Rebels: Antonio Kite (probable) — CB #8 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Izaiah Hartrup (out) — WR #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Edwin Joseph (out) — S #14 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; MJ Preston (questionable) — S #19 listed Questionable on the SEC Update 2 report; Ant Davis Jr. (out) — LB #26 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Kervin Johnson Jr. (out) — WR #27 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Ladarian Clardy (probable) — S #31 listed Probable on the SEC Update 2 report; Ja'Michael Jones (out) — RB #36 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Nascar McCoy (out) — S #46 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jalan Chapman (out) — OL #70 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Emanuel Faulkner (out) — OL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Enoch Wangoy (out) — OL #77 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Hayden Bradley (questionable) — TE #80 listed Questionable on the SEC Update 2 report

QUARTERBACK

• Austin Simmons is MIZ's confirmed starter

  8.64 Y/A

  Austin Simmons is MIZ's confirmed starting quarterback. Current-week reporting identifies him as Missouri's starter; Friday's availability transcription removes his earlier probable designation. 2026 line: 1417 passing yards, 64.6% completions, 8.64 yards per attempt, 14-1 TD-INT over 6 games.

• Trinidad Chambliss is MISS's confirmed starter

  8.25 Y/A

  Trinidad Chambliss is MISS's confirmed starting quarterback. October 14 matchup reporting identifies him as the incumbent starter. 2026 line: 1435 passing yards, 70.1% completions, 8.25 yards per attempt, 11-4 TD-INT over 5 games.

TRENCHES

• MIZ: 77.3 rushing yards allowed per game to MISS's 176.4

  99.1 YPG

  Missouri allows 77.3 rushing yards a game over 6 games, so most opponents have been held in check on the ground. Ole Miss gives up 176.4 over 5. The sheet doesn't say who either side has played, so schedule could account for some of the gap. On the road, Missouri's run defense is the stronger unit, and the Rebels' front is the one more likely to give ground.

PACE & SCRIPT

• MIZ @ MISS carries a 58.5 market total

  58.5

  At 58.5, this sits 8 points over the 50.5 median, so the market expects plenty of scoring and few empty possessions. The sheet offers only the number. It cracks if drives bog down or the clock keeps running on long, slow possessions. A bettor can watch whether early drives finish in touchdowns, since a total this high needs them.

• MIZ: 17.7 points allowed per game to MISS's 28

  10.3 PPG

  Missouri is allowing 17.7 points per game over 6 games, close to last season's 18.9, while Ole Miss is giving up 28 over 5, well above its 21.1 last season. Missouri's defense looks like a steady identity; Ole Miss's slide is newer and could tighten as the sample grows. On the road, Missouri brings the defense more likely to dictate a lower-scoring game.

TURNOVERS

• MIZ: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to MISS's 1.4

  0.9 TO

  Missouri is protecting the ball at 0.5 turnovers per game over 6 games, while Ole Miss is coughing it up 1.4 times over 5. Both flipped from last season, when Missouri was at 1.31 and Ole Miss at 0.93, and turnover rates swing hard over a few games. Expect both to move back toward the middle, so price this game more on how each offense moves the ball than on giveaways holding.

MISMATCH

• MIZ: 17.7 points allowed a game to MISS's 28

  17.7 VS 28

  Missouri allows 17.7 points a game, close to last season's 18.9, so its defense looks like the real thing. Ole Miss gives up 28 over five games, a clear jump from 21.1 last season. Ole Miss may tighten up some, but five games of this is a real warning sign. At home, Ole Miss probably has to outscore Missouri rather than shut it down.

REPLACEMENT

• Jalan Chapman (OL) is out for MISS

  OUT

  OL #70 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• JaDon Blair (S) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  S #18 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Malae Fonoti (RB) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  RB #21 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Ahmad Hardy (RB) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  RB #29 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Josh Atkins (OL) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  OL #54 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Khalief Canty Jr. (OL) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  OL #58 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Gavin Hoffman (TE) is out for MIZ

  OUT

  TE #88 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Izaiah Hartrup (WR) is out for MISS

  OUT

  WR #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Edwin Joseph (S) is out for MISS

  OUT

  S #14 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Ant Davis Jr. (LB) is out for MISS

  OUT

  LB #26 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Kervin Johnson Jr. (WR) is out for MISS

  OUT

  WR #27 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Ja'Michael Jones (RB) is out for MISS

  OUT

  RB #36 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Nascar McCoy (S) is out for MISS

  OUT

  S #46 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Emanuel Faulkner (OL) is out for MISS

  OUT

  OL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

• Enoch Wangoy (OL) is out for MISS

  OUT

  OL #77 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)

SITUATIONAL

• No. 13 Missouri at No. 9 Ole Miss

  #13 VS #9

  Ole Miss sits four spots higher with 1135 points to Missouri's 882, and it is the home team. Missouri is 5-1 and climbing after a one-spot jump, while Ole Miss is 4-1 and held in place. The records are close enough that this ranking gap is modest, and Missouri has a chance to flip the order with a road win.

TEAM RECORD

• SEC game: MIZ 2-1, MISS 2-1 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  These two share the SEC. MIZ is 2-1 against it, MISS is 2-1. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.