Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs
O/U 50.5 · SPREAD Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 · Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 -112
- Published odds
- -112
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 27-24
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 46 moves| Market | Opened Oct 11 3:03 PM | Close Oct 17 3:23 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Georgia Bulldogs -18.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-112) | +1 |
| TOTAL | 49.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-112) | Price |
| MONEYLINE | Georgia Bulldogs -1100 | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 | −100 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 11 3:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -18.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1100 · Auburn Tigers +775 |
| Oct 11 4:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -18.5 (-110) | 48.5 (-112) | Georgia Bulldogs -1100 · Auburn Tigers +775 |
| Oct 11 5:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -18.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-105) | Georgia Bulldogs -1100 · Auburn Tigers +775 |
| Oct 11 8:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-108) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 11 9:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +825 |
| Oct 12 6:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-108) | 49.5 (-112) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +825 |
| Oct 12 10:01 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-112) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +825 |
| Oct 12 11:32 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 12 1:33 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 12 2:33 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 12 4:34 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-105) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 13 12:06 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 13 8:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-105) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 13 8:30 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 13 9:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-112) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 15 12:09 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-118) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 15 6:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -21 (-105) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 15 12:01 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -20.5 (-115) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 15 6:06 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -21 (-105) | 49.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +950 |
| Oct 15 6:39 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -20 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1400 · Auburn Tigers +900 |
| Oct 15 6:49 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 9:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 4:02 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 6:00 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 7:51 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 10:01 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 16 11:31 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-110) | 49.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 7:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-110) | 49.5 (-112) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +825 |
| Oct 17 8:30 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-110) | 49.5 (-120) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 9:00 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 9:11 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 9:31 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 9:51 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 10:41 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 10:51 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 49.5 (-118) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 11:01 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 11:52 AM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-110) | 49.5 (-118) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 12:00 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-110) | 50.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 1:33 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 1:43 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 49.5 (-120) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 1:53 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 2:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 2:23 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 2:53 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 3:03 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19 (-118) | 50.5 (-110) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| Oct 17 3:13 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-108) | 50.5 (-108) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
| CLOSEOct 17 3:23 PM | Georgia Bulldogs -19.5 (-112) | 49.5 (-112) | Georgia Bulldogs -1200 · Auburn Tigers +850 |
The read
No. 1 Georgia comes home to Sanford Stadium fresh off a 20-17 escape in Tuscaloosa. Auburn arrives off a bye, with Alex Golesh's first team still looking for a passing game. The number is big, but the matchups that build big margins all point the same way.
Start on the ground. Auburn's run defense gave up 243 yards to Florida and 237 to Tennessee, with DeSean Bishop alone going for 220. Golesh admitted his team couldn't stop the run in the second half in Knoxville. Now Xavier Atkins, Auburn's most productive defender, is out. Georgia brings Dwight Phillips Jr., Bo Walker and a returning Nate Frazier, and Kirby Smart has made clear the plan is to run. That pressure builds late, and Georgia has owned second halves, outscoring Vanderbilt 17-0 and Alabama 10-3 after the break.
Then the turnovers. Byrum Brown has thrown all 7 of Auburn's interceptions, including multi-pick games against Baylor and Tennessee. Georgia has 11 takeaways and forced 4 against both Oklahoma and Western Kentucky. Auburn's checkdown game plan means a lot of throws into the best defense it has seen.
Georgia also finishes drives. It scores 5.4 points per trip inside the 40, while Auburn's offense scores 3.8 and Georgia's defense allows 2.9. Oklahoma, built like Auburn with a good defense and a weak offense, lost 41-13 here. Against common opponent Vanderbilt, Georgia won 38-14 while Auburn squeaked by 21-15. All four Georgia home wins have cleared this number.
Don't be spooked by Georgia's injury list. It's long, but KJ Bolden is the only name on it who recorded a stat at Alabama. Auburn, meanwhile, loses the heart of its defense.
The risks are real. Georgia runs few plays, Auburn is stingy on third down, and two weeks of prep matter. If Brown plays a clean game, the points come alive. But Georgia's run game and ball-hawking defense should turn a competitive first half into a comfortable cover.
Injuries noted
Auburn Tigers: Xavier Atkins (out) — LB #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Tai Buster (out) — OL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Hunter Herring (out) — TE #85 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
Georgia Bulldogs: Thomas Blackshear (out) — WR #2 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; KJ Bolden (out) — DB #4 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Chauncey Bowens (out) — RB #5 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Isiah Canion (out) — WR #6 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Amaris Williams (out) — OLB #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Tyriq Green (out) — S #23 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Byrum Brown is AUB's projected starter
6.66 Y/AByrum Brown is AUB's projected starting quarterback. Auburn's October 15 official Georgia preview features Brown discussing his offensive plan for this matchup. October 12 reporting also discusses him as the quarterback preparing for Georgia. An explicit game-day starting announcement was not retrieved. 2026 line: 1052 passing yards, 65.2% completions, 6.66 yards per attempt, 7-7 TD-INT over 5 games.
Gunner Stockton is UGA's projected starter
10.47 Y/AGunner Stockton is UGA's projected starting quarterback. Georgia's October 12 Auburn preview identifies Stockton as the established starter and describes the other quarterbacks as backups. A separate confirmation of the October 17 starting lineup was not retrieved. 2026 line: 1298 passing yards, 76.6% completions, 10.47 yards per attempt, 14-2 TD-INT over 6 games.
TRENCHES
UGA: 74.5 rushing yards allowed per game to AUB's 148.2
73.7 YPGGeorgia allows 74.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games, which keeps offenses from leaning on the run. Auburn gives up 148.2 a game over 5. The sheet doesn't show who either team has faced, so some of the gap may be schedule. For this game, Auburn's offense likely has to win through the air, and Georgia's backs face the softer front.
PACE & SCRIPT
UGA: 46.2 points per game to AUB's 26.8
19.4 PPGGeorgia is scoring 46.2 points a game over six games, up sharply from 32.1 last season, while Auburn is at 26.8 over five, exactly where it finished last season. Auburn's number is stable and believable. Georgia's is a big leap in a short window and likely includes softer early opponents, so some of it should come back down. Auburn has to score with a Georgia offense playing well above its own last-season level, on the road.
TURNOVERS
UGA: 0.83 turnovers committed per game to AUB's 1.8
0.97 TOAuburn is giving it away 1.8 times a game over 5 games after just 0.67 last season, while Georgia is steady at 0.83 versus 0.93. Auburn's spike looks more like a short-sample swing than who it is. At Georgia, though, a careless offense gets punished, so Auburn's ball security is the key to staying in the game.
MISMATCH
UGA: 0.83 turnovers a game to AUB's 1.8
0.83 VS 1.8Auburn is turning it over 1.8 times a game over five games, while Georgia sits at 0.83. Auburn was at just 0.67 last season, so this spike may cool off as the year goes on. Georgia's 0.93 last year says its ball security is steady. At Georgia, Auburn can't afford to hand over extra possessions, and cleaning up its giveaways is the first thing it needs to stay close.
REPLACEMENT
Xavier Atkins (LB) is out for AUB
OUTLB #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Tai Buster (OL) is out for AUB
OUTOL #71 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Hunter Herring (TE) is out for AUB
OUTTE #85 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Thomas Blackshear (WR) is out for UGA
OUTWR #2 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
KJ Bolden (DB) is out for UGA
OUTDB #4 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Chauncey Bowens (RB) is out for UGA
OUTRB #5 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Isiah Canion (WR) is out for UGA
OUTWR #6 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Amaris Williams (LB) is out for UGA
OUTOLB #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
Tyriq Green (S) is out for UGA
OUTS #23 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-16 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-16)
SITUATIONAL
AUB has 7 more days of rest
14d vs 7dAuburn had a bye and gets 14 days before visiting Georgia, who is on a standard 7-day week. The Tigers had an extra week to rest and build a plan for a tough road game. Extra prep helps most with scheme surprises early, so watch whether Auburn shows Georgia something new in the opening drives.
TEAM RECORD
SEC game: AUB 1-2, UGA 4-0 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the SEC. AUB is 1-2 against it, UGA is 4-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 17, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, betrivers, fanatics, fanduel, betmgm, caesars.
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- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
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