Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Injuries noted

Arizona State Sun Devils: Lyrik Rawls (out) — Defensive back; ruled out for Texas Tech in the initial October 14 report, published October 15. Condition unspecified in that report.; Jalen Williams (out) — Defensive back; initial October 14 Texas Tech report. Reason unspecified; later designation unverified.; Marques Uini (out) — Offensive lineman; initial October 14 Texas Tech report. Reason unspecified; later designation unverified.; Harry Hassmann (out) — Wide receiver; undisclosed condition, reported October 14 for the Texas Tech game.; Luke Baklenko (doubtful) — Offensive lineman; initial October 14 Texas Tech report. Condition unspecified; later designation unverified.; Grayson Rigdon (out) — Running back; undisclosed condition. October 16 report supersedes his initial questionable designation.; Kirt Vakalahi (questionable) — Defensive lineman; initial October 14 Texas Tech report, which spells his first name Kirk. Official roster identifies him as Kirt. Condition unspecified; later designation unverified.; Omarion Miller (probable) — Wide receiver; undisclosed condition, reported October 14 specifically for Saturday at Texas Tech.

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Cameron Dickey (out) — Running back; high-ankle sprain. Listed out in the October 16 availability update.; Donte Lee Jr. (out) — Wide receiver; October 16 update does not specify the reason.; Elias Gillen (out) — Offensive lineman; reason unspecified in the October 16 update.; Maddox Quiller (out) — Safety; reason unspecified in the October 16 update.; S'Vioarean Martin (out) — Cornerback; reason unspecified in the October 16 update.; Hunter Zambrano (questionable) — Offensive lineman; October 16 designation, condition unspecified.; Jalen Jones (questionable) — Wide receiver; October 16 designation, condition unspecified.; Adam Hill (probable) — Linebacker; October 16 designation, condition unspecified.; Ashton Hampton (probable) — Cornerback; upgraded from questionable in the October 16 update.; Mikal Harrison-Pilot (probable) — Safety; October 16 preview reproduces the previous night's probable designation. Omitted from the later availability summary; subsequent status unverified.

QUARTERBACK

• Cutter Boley is ASU's projected starter

  7.78 Y/A

  Cutter Boley is ASU's projected starting quarterback. The October 14 official Texas Tech preview discusses Boley and reiterates his selection as starter before the opener. Dillingham's October 16 interview discusses Boley facing Texas Tech; neither retrieved source explicitly announces this game's starter. 2026 line: 1229 passing yards, 62.7% completions, 7.78 yards per attempt, 12-3 TD-INT over 5 games.

• Will Hammond is TTU's confirmed starter

  7.76 Y/A

  Will Hammond is TTU's confirmed starting quarterback. October 16 game-specific reporting identifies Hammond as the starting quarterback and Castellanos as his backup. 2026 line: 1102 passing yards, 68.3% completions, 7.76 yards per attempt, 5-5 TD-INT over 5 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• TTU: 16.2 points allowed per game to ASU's 27.8

  11.6 PPG

  Texas Tech allows 16.2 points a game over 5 games, close to last season's 11.8, so its defense has stayed stingy. Arizona State gives up 27.8, a bit worse than 24.5 last season. With Texas Tech's defense at home, ASU's offense faces the tougher matchup, and a lower-scoring script favors the Red Raiders.

TURNOVERS

• TTU: 2 takeaways per game to ASU's 1

  1 TO

  Texas Tech forces two turnovers a game and Arizona State forces one, both over five games. Turnovers swing a lot from game to game, so a five-game rate tends to drift back toward the middle. A one-turnover gap is real enough to factor into short fields and points off turnovers, but it shouldn't be the main reason to back Texas Tech.

MISMATCH

• TTU: 16.2 points allowed a game to ASU's 27.8

  16.2 VS 27.8

  Texas Tech allows 16.2 points a game and Arizona State allows 27.8, both over five games. Texas Tech gave up just 11.8 last season, so this level fits who it has been. Arizona State is worse than last year's 24.5. On the road in Lubbock, Arizona State likely faces a defense that keeps scoring down, so its own defense has to hold up for it to stay in the game.

REPLACEMENT

• Lyrik Rawls (DB) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Defensive back; ruled out for Texas Tech in the initial October 14 report, published October 15. Condition unspecified in that report. 5 Texas Tech football players ruled out for Arizona State game — Nathan Giese, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal via AOL; published 02:37 UTC, describing October 14 initial report (2026-10-15)

• Jalen Williams (DB) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Defensive back; initial October 14 Texas Tech report. Reason unspecified; later designation unverified. 5 Texas Tech football players ruled out for Arizona State game — Nathan Giese, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal via AOL; published 02:37 UTC, describing October 14 initial report (2026-10-15)

• Marques Uini (OL) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; initial October 14 Texas Tech report. Reason unspecified; later designation unverified. 5 Texas Tech football players ruled out for Arizona State game — Nathan Giese, Lubbock Avalanche-Journal via AOL; published 02:37 UTC, describing October 14 initial report (2026-10-15)

• Harry Hassmann (WR) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Wide receiver; undisclosed condition, reported October 14 for the Texas Tech game. Arizona State News, Schedule, and Roster — RotoWire; dated Hassmann and Miller availability entries (2026-10-14)

• Grayson Rigdon (RB) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Running back; undisclosed condition. October 16 report supersedes his initial questionable designation. Arizona State News, Schedule, and Roster — RotoWire; dated Rigdon and Helton availability entries (2026-10-16)

• Cameron Dickey (RB) is out for TTU

  OUT

  Running back; high-ankle sprain. Listed out in the October 16 availability update. Texas Tech 2026 — The Sports Wire; availability section attributes Update 2 to the Big 12 report posted October 16 at 9:00 PM CT (2026-10-16)

• Donte Lee Jr. (WR) is out for TTU

  OUT

  Wide receiver; October 16 update does not specify the reason. Texas Tech 2026 — The Sports Wire; availability section attributes Update 2 to the Big 12 report posted October 16 at 9:00 PM CT (2026-10-16)

• Elias Gillen (OL) is out for TTU

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; reason unspecified in the October 16 update. Texas Tech 2026 — The Sports Wire; availability section attributes Update 2 to the Big 12 report posted October 16 at 9:00 PM CT (2026-10-16)

• Maddox Quiller (S) is out for TTU

  OUT

  Safety; reason unspecified in the October 16 update. Texas Tech 2026 — The Sports Wire; availability section attributes Update 2 to the Big 12 report posted October 16 at 9:00 PM CT (2026-10-16)

• S'Vioarean Martin (CB) is out for TTU

  OUT

  Cornerback; reason unspecified in the October 16 update. Texas Tech 2026 — The Sports Wire; availability section attributes Update 2 to the Big 12 report posted October 16 at 9:00 PM CT (2026-10-16)

SITUATIONAL

• TTU has 7 more days of rest

  7d vs 14d

  Texas Tech had the bye and gets 14 days before hosting Arizona State, who is on a regular 7-day week. The Red Raiders had extra time to rest and tailor a plan, while ASU prepares on the usual schedule. A rested home team is a common spot bettors lean toward, so the question is how much of that is already in the number.

TEAM RECORD

• Big 12 game: ASU 1-1, TTU 2-0 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  These two share the Big 12. ASU is 1-1 against it, TTU is 2-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-17.