UCF Knights at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Injuries noted

UCF Knights: Alonza Barnett III (out) — Quarterback; hamstring injury, out on Friday's report.; Dante Carr (out) — Quarterback; Friday report lists him out. Condition unspecified.; Caleb Rollerson (out) — Reserve wide receiver; ruled out. Condition unspecified.; Lewis Carter (out) — Starting linebacker; lower-body injury, ruled out.; Bruno Dall (out) — Reserve edge rusher; ruled out. Condition unspecified.; Trenton Turner (out) — Reserve defensive tackle; ruled out. Condition unspecified.; Jacob Maiava (out) — Center; soft-tissue groin injury, ruled out.; Owen Spell (out) — Offensive lineman; plantar fasciitis, ruled out.; Tyler Gibson (out) — Backup right tackle; Thursday update ruled him out. Condition unspecified.; Duane Thomas Jr. (doubtful) — Wide receiver; Friday update downgraded him to doubtful. Condition unspecified.; Jayden Jennings (questionable) — Linebacker; injured against Houston, condition unspecified.; Dylan Burk (questionable) — Reserve tight end; condition unspecified.; Dylan Wade (probable) — Tight end; condition unspecified.; Jonathan Bibbs (probable) — Wide receiver; condition unspecified.; Josh Derry (probable) — Wide receiver; rolled ankle against Houston.; Keyone Jenkins (probable) — Projected starting quarterback; Friday report lists him probable.; Jahleel Culbreath (probable) — Linebacker; condition unspecified.

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Landon Dean (out) — Defensive tackle; out on the October 9 availability report. Condition unspecified.; Wyatt Young (probable) — Wide receiver; upgraded to probable on the October 9 report. Condition unspecified.; Johnny Dickson III (probable) — Offensive lineman; upgraded to probable on the October 9 report. Condition unspecified.; Braydon Nelson (probable) — Offensive tackle; probable on the October 9 report after missing the season's opening month.; Jacob Sexton (out for season) — Starting left tackle; October 8 reporting confirms a season-ending leg injury sustained against Tulsa.

QUARTERBACK

• Drew Mestemaker is OKST's confirmed starter

  9.01 Y/A

  Drew Mestemaker is OKST's confirmed starting quarterback. The October 7 game-specific report reproduces Oklahoma State's released depth chart for UCF, listing Mestemaker first at quarterback. 2026 line: 1271 passing yards, 67.4% completions, 9.01 yards per attempt, 11-5 TD-INT over 4 games.

• Keyone Jenkins is UCF's projected starter

  7.05 Y/A

  Keyone Jenkins is UCF's projected starting quarterback. The report covering Friday's availability list says Jenkins should start October 10 with Barnett out. Jenkins is probable; this is a reported projection. 2026 line: 515 passing yards, 71.2% completions, 7.05 yards per attempt, 4-2 TD-INT over 4 games.

TRENCHES

• OKST: 221.3 rushing yards per game to UCF's 172

  49.3 YPG

  UCF is at 172 rushing yards per game over 5 games; OKST is at 221.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season UCF was at 158 over 12 games and OKST at 118.3 over 12 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• OKST: 32:56 time of possession per game to UCF's 26:19

  6:37 TOP

  UCF is at 26:19 time of possession per game over 5 games; OKST is at 32:56 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season UCF was at 29:55 over 12 games and OKST at 28:46 over 12 games.

TURNOVERS

• UCF: 1.8 takeaways per game to OKST's 1

  0.8 TO

  UCF forces 1.8 turnovers a game over five games, and Oklahoma State forces 1 over four. Takeaways swing a lot from week to week, so this edge is the kind of number that moves quickly with a fumble bounce or two. For this game, it points to UCF having more ways to create extra possessions, but a bettor should put less weight on it than on yardage or third-down numbers.

MISMATCH

• OKST: 327 pass yards a game to UCF's 173

  327 VS 173

  Oklahoma State is throwing for 327 yards a game over four games, nearly double last season's 174.1, while UCF has dropped to 173 from 220.8. A change that sharp over four games could ease as the schedule gets tougher. UCF has to keep this from becoming a shootout, because its own passing game has slipped. Oklahoma State's air attack at home is the side to weigh most when thinking about how this game unfolds.

COVERAGE

• OKST: 158.5 passing yards allowed per game to UCF's 222.6

  64.1 YPG

  Oklahoma State gives up 158.5 passing yards a game across four games, while UCF allows 222.6 across five. The Cowboys have one fewer game in the sample, and the sheet does not say whether those opponents threw much, so some of that low number may come from teams that ran the ball. Against UCF, the question for a bettor is whether the Knights lean on the pass, because that is where this Oklahoma State number gets a real test.

REPLACEMENT

• Jacob Sexton (OL) is out for the season for OKST

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Starting left tackle; October 8 reporting confirms a season-ending leg injury sustained against Tulsa. How did Oklahoma State football's OL go from disaster to strength? 'It's just a mentality' (2026-10-08)

• Alonza Barnett III (QB) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Quarterback; hamstring injury, out on Friday's report. How Oklahoma State Could Exploit UCF’s Massive List of Missing Players (2026-10-10)

• Dante Carr (QB) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Quarterback; Friday report lists him out. Condition unspecified. How Oklahoma State Could Exploit UCF’s Massive List of Missing Players (2026-10-10)

• Caleb Rollerson (WR) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Reserve wide receiver; ruled out. Condition unspecified. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Lewis Carter (LB) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Starting linebacker; lower-body injury, ruled out. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Bruno Dall (EDGE) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Reserve edge rusher; ruled out. Condition unspecified. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Trenton Turner (DT) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Reserve defensive tackle; ruled out. Condition unspecified. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Jacob Maiava (OL) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Center; soft-tissue groin injury, ruled out. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Owen Spell (OL) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; plantar fasciitis, ruled out. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Tyler Gibson (OL) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Backup right tackle; Thursday update ruled him out. Condition unspecified. Another UCF Knights Offensive Lineman Out Against No. 18 Oklahoma State: Injury Report Breakdown (2026-10-08)

• Landon Dean (DT) is out for OKST

  OUT

  Defensive tackle; out on the October 9 availability report. Condition unspecified. How Oklahoma State Could Exploit UCF’s Massive List of Missing Players (2026-10-10)

SITUATIONAL

• OKST has 7 more days of rest

  7d vs 14d

  UCF is on a normal week, while OKST has had two weeks off with a bye behind it. Two weeks lets a staff heal bumps and build a plan around one opponent, and UCF has to prepare on the usual seven days. Home team off the bye is the classic rest edge, so ask whether the line already gives OKST credit for the extra week before leaning on it.

TEAM RECORD

• Big 12 game: UCF 1-1, OKST 1-0 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  OKST won its only Big 12 game and hosts UCF, which has split its two. One conference game is a very thin record for OKST, and the sheet gives no opponents. OKST has the home field and a clean league start. Bettors should be careful reading much into a one-game record on either side.