Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers

Injuries noted

Syracuse Orange: Antoine Deslauriers (questionable) — LB #5 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Darien Williams (out) — WR #7 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Nazir Ward (questionable) — DB #7 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Steve Angeli (out) — QB #9 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Amari Odom (doubtful) — QB #12 listed Doubtful on the ACC Update 2 report; Shavane Anderson Jr. (out) — RB #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Tripp Woody (out) — K #47 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jackson Iak (out) — OL #62 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; D'Joni Scatliffe (out) — OL #67 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Terrell Wilfong (out) — WR #88 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report

Virginia Cavaliers: Tim Hamann (out) — K #14 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Dillon Newton-Short (out) — WR #15 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Omillio Agard (out) — CB #20 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jaylen Jones (out) — S #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Triston Ward (out) — WR #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Alex Dunn (out) — DB #27 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jack Stevens (out) — RB #37 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Isaiah Reese (out) — LB #42 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Chase Morrison (out) — DT #46 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Gavin Johnson (out) — DE #53 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Tyler Simmons (out) — DT #56 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Noah Hartsoe (out) — OL #58 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Dylan Biehl (out) — OL #75 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jewett Hayes (out) — DE #85 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jason Hammond (out) — DT #91 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Bull Richardson (out) — DT #96 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Devon Baxter (out) — DE #99 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report

QUARTERBACK

• Beau Pribula is UVA's confirmed starter

  8.14 Y/A

  Beau Pribula is UVA's confirmed starting quarterback. The October 7 game-week preview explicitly identifies Pribula as Virginia's starting quarterback and reports no indication that his starting position is in jeopardy. 2026 line: 961 passing yards, 67.8% completions, 8.14 yards per attempt, 12-1 TD-INT over 5 games.

• Malachi Nelson is SYR's projected starter

  6.12 Y/A

  Malachi Nelson is SYR's projected starting quarterback. October 9 reporting identifies Nelson as the replacement starter at Virginia with Steve Angeli out and Amari Odom doubtful. Treat this as the reported expected starter; a formal school confirmation was not retrieved. 2025 prior-season line: 1163 passing yards, 54.7% completions, 6.12 yards per attempt, 8-9 TD-INT over 6 games for UTEP.

TURNOVERS

• UVA: 0.4 turnovers committed per game to SYR's 1.75

  1.35 TO

  Virginia almost never gives the ball away, while Syracuse coughs it up close to twice a game. Syracuse was at 1.92 last season, so the carelessness is a habit that holds up across both years. Virginia's 0.4 over five games is better than its 1.0 from last year and will likely tick up some. Combined with the penalty gap, Syracuse is the team more likely to hand this game away.

MISMATCH

• UVA: 0.4 turnovers a game to SYR's 1.75

  0.4 VS 1.75

  Virginia is turning it over 0.4 times a game over five games, down from 1 last season, while Syracuse sits at 1.75, close to last season's 1.92. Virginia's number is unusually low and likely to rise, while Syracuse's looks steady. Syracuse on the road has to clean up giveaways to give itself a chance. Extra possessions favor Virginia at home.

REPLACEMENT

• Darien Williams (WR) is out for SYR

  OUT

  WR #7 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Steve Angeli (QB) is out for SYR

  OUT

  QB #9 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Shavane Anderson Jr. (RB) is out for SYR

  OUT

  RB #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Tripp Woody (PK) is out for SYR

  OUT

  K #47 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jackson Iak (OL) is out for SYR

  OUT

  OL #62 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• D'Joni Scatliffe (OL) is out for SYR

  OUT

  OL #67 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Terrell Wilfong (WR) is out for SYR

  OUT

  WR #88 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Tim Hamann (PK) is out for UVA

  OUT

  K #14 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Dillon Newton-Short (WR) is out for UVA

  OUT

  WR #15 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Omillio Agard (CB) is out for UVA

  OUT

  CB #20 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jaylen Jones (S) is out for UVA

  OUT

  S #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Triston Ward (WR) is out for UVA

  OUT

  WR #23 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Alex Dunn (DB) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DB #27 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jack Stevens (RB) is out for UVA

  OUT

  RB #37 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Isaiah Reese (LB) is out for UVA

  OUT

  LB #42 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Chase Morrison (DT) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DT #46 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Gavin Johnson (DE) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DE #53 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Tyler Simmons (DT) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DT #56 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Noah Hartsoe (OL) is out for UVA

  OUT

  OL #58 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Dylan Biehl (OL) is out for UVA

  OUT

  OL #75 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jewett Hayes (DE) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DE #85 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jason Hammond (DT) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DT #91 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Bull Richardson (DT) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DT #96 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Devon Baxter (DE) is out for UVA

  OUT

  DE #99 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Amari Odom (QB) is doubtful for SYR

  DOUBTFUL

  QB #12 listed Doubtful on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

SITUATIONAL

• UVA: 49 penalty yards per game to SYR's 108.8

  59.8 YDS

  Syracuse is giving away more than two football fields' worth of penalty yards every game, roughly double Virginia's rate. That is four games, and last season the Orange were at 54.8, so this looks like a sloppy stretch more than a permanent identity. Virginia is right around its 44.1 from last year. On the road, extra flags can stall Syracuse drives and extend Virginia's, but expect that 108.8 to come down.

• SYR: 50% third-down conversion rate to UVA's 33.8%

  16.2 PP

  Syracuse converts half its third downs through 4 games, and Virginia is at 33.8% over 5. That is a full flip from last season, when Syracuse sat at 34.9% and Virginia at 49.8%. Swings that big in a month usually settle partway back. Give Syracuse some credit for the change, but expect Virginia's offense to look closer to last year's version than its current number suggests.

• UVA: 3.4 fourth-down attempts per game to SYR's 1.5

  1.9 ATT/G

  SYR is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; UVA is at 3.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season SYR was at 2.67 over 12 games and UVA at 2.29 over 14 games.

TEAM RECORD

• ACC game: SYR 0-2, UVA 1-1 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  These two share the ACC. SYR is 0-2 against it, UVA is 1-1. 2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

AFTER GARY

• UVA -10.5 → -13.5

  GARY +3

  Gary's number was -10.5; the same book now shows -13.5.