South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators
O/U 58.5 · SPREAD Florida Gators -10.5 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
The pick & result
- Published pick
- South Carolina Gamecocks +11.5 -110
- Published odds
- -110
- Result
- Won
- Final score
- 38-19
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
FANATICS · 47 moves| Market | Opened Oct 4 6:00 AM | Close Oct 10 11:59 AM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Florida Gators -14 (-115) | Florida Gators -10.5 (-110) | −3½ |
| TOTAL | 59.5 (-105) | 59.5 (-105) | Holds |
| MONEYLINE | Florida Gators -575 | Florida Gators -510 | +65 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 4 6:00 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-115) | 59.5 (-105) | Florida Gators -575 · South Carolina Gamecocks +425 |
| Oct 4 7:30 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -575 · South Carolina Gamecocks +425 |
| Oct 4 8:30 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -550 · South Carolina Gamecocks +410 |
| Oct 4 9:31 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -575 · South Carolina Gamecocks +425 |
| Oct 4 10:31 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 58.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -600 · South Carolina Gamecocks +440 |
| Oct 4 11:31 AM | Florida Gators -14.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -700 · South Carolina Gamecocks +500 |
| Oct 4 1:31 PM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 61 (-110) | Florida Gators -650 · South Carolina Gamecocks +475 |
| Oct 4 2:33 PM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 60.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -600 · South Carolina Gamecocks +440 |
| Oct 4 3:56 PM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -650 · South Carolina Gamecocks +475 |
| Oct 4 4:56 PM | Florida Gators -14 (-115) | 62 (-110) | Florida Gators -650 · South Carolina Gamecocks +475 |
| Oct 4 5:49 PM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 62 (-110) | Florida Gators -650 · South Carolina Gamecocks +475 |
| Oct 5 12:53 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 62.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -600 · South Carolina Gamecocks +440 |
| Oct 5 6:00 AM | Florida Gators -14 (-110) | 62.5 (-105) | Florida Gators -600 · South Carolina Gamecocks +440 |
| Oct 5 3:57 PM | Florida Gators -13.5 (-110) | 61.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -550 · South Carolina Gamecocks +410 |
| Oct 5 7:12 PM | Florida Gators -13 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 5 10:12 PM | Florida Gators -13 (-110) | 62 (-110) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 12:12 AM | Florida Gators -12.5 (-110) | 62 (-110) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 8:30 AM | Florida Gators -12.5 (-110) | 61.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 9:00 AM | Florida Gators -13 (-110) | 61.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 10:12 AM | Florida Gators -13 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 10:42 AM | Florida Gators -12.5 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -525 · South Carolina Gamecocks +390 |
| Oct 6 2:13 PM | Florida Gators -12.5 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 6 5:02 PM | Florida Gators -12 (-110) | 61.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 6 9:33 PM | Florida Gators -12 (-110) | 61 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 7 1:33 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 60.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 7 6:36 PM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 60.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 7 9:06 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 60.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -500 · South Carolina Gamecocks +375 |
| Oct 8 6:00 AM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 59.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 8 9:00 AM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 8 5:17 PM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59.5 (-105) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 8 5:47 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 59.5 (-105) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 6:00 AM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 7:30 AM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 10:01 AM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 1:01 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 2:01 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 2:32 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-115) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 4:00 PM | Florida Gators -11.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 5:00 PM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 10:23 PM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -475 · South Carolina Gamecocks +360 |
| Oct 9 11:23 PM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59.5 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 7:30 AM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 9:00 AM | Florida Gators -10.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 9:11 AM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 10:32 AM | Florida Gators -10.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 11:38 AM | Florida Gators -11 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| Oct 10 11:48 AM | Florida Gators -10.5 (-110) | 59 (-110) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
| CLOSEOct 10 11:59 AM | Florida Gators -10.5 (-110) | 59.5 (-105) | Florida Gators -510 · South Carolina Gamecocks +380 |
The read
It is homecoming in Gainesville, with Florida returning to the Swamp after its loss at Missouri. South Carolina arrives after an overtime loss to Kentucky, looking for its first conference win.
I’m taking the points because South Carolina has a credible way to compete on both sides of the ball. Its conference opponents have averaged 3.77 yards per carry. That resistance matters against a Florida offense whose coordinator wants to establish the run and throw through play action. My read is that South Carolina can interrupt that sequence often enough to make Florida work for its scoring possessions.
The Gamecocks also have their own offensive answer. LaNorris Sellers gives their zone running game and run-pass options another threat for Florida to account for. South Carolina rushed for 232 yards against Kentucky, including Sellers’ 74-yard run. Florida’s defensive staff has emphasized correcting gap discipline and explosive plays. I expect Sellers’ mobility to test those corrections and help South Carolina sustain possessions.
Florida has a convincing path to covering. Jadan Baugh and Aaron Philo can punish a defense that commits too heavily to stopping the run. Florida has also finished scoring opportunities better and protected the ball more consistently. South Carolina’s offensive-line absences make execution a real concern, and its six giveaways across three conference games are the biggest threat to this ticket.
I still prefer South Carolina +11.5. Its run defense can challenge Florida’s preferred approach, and Sellers gives the offense a way to answer. Those are concrete reasons to take the cushion, even with Florida’s finishing advantage.
Injuries noted
South Carolina Gamecocks: Quay'sheed Scott (out) — DB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jalewis Solomon (out) — DB #16 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Jayden Sellers (out) — WR #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Kobby Sakyi-Prah (out) — EDG #41 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Carter Miller (out) — OL #50 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Julian Walker (out) — EDG #55 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Josiah Thompson (out) — OL #74 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report; Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (out) — DL #99 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report
Florida Gators: Vernell Brown III (questionable) — WR #1 listed Questionable on the SEC Update 2 report
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Aaron Philo is FLA's projected starter
9.21 Y/AAaron Philo is FLA's projected starting quarterback. Florida's October 9 preview discusses Philo as its quarterback for the October 10 matchup. This establishes the expected starter, but does not explicitly confirm a game-day starting lineup. 2026 line: 1114 passing yards, 69.4% completions, 9.21 yards per attempt, 8-2 TD-INT over 5 games.
LaNorris Sellers is SC's projected starter
7.03 Y/ALaNorris Sellers is SC's projected starting quarterback. The October 9 official Florida preview discusses Sellers as South Carolina's quarterback and includes Brad White's assessment of facing him October 10. This supports the expected starter without explicitly confirming a game-day starting lineup. 2026 line: 1054 passing yards, 60.7% completions, 7.03 yards per attempt, 7-4 TD-INT over 5 games.
PACE & SCRIPT
SC @ FLA carries a 58.5 market total
58.5At 58.5, this sits 7 points above the 51.5 slate median, so the market expects a game with steady scoring from both sides. The sheet gives only the gap, no team numbers behind it. For it to crack, one offense has to stall and leave the other carrying most of the scoring. Bettors can think about whether both teams need to show up for this total to land.
FLA: 46.2 points per game to SC's 37.6
8.6 PPGBoth offenses have more than doubled their scoring from last season: Florida went from 21.6 to 46.2, South Carolina from 22.7 to 37.6. Five games is a short run, and jumps that size usually include a soft early schedule, so expect both numbers to come down. The useful part is the direction: neither team looks like last season's low-scoring version, and both are putting up points at a pace well above it.
TURNOVERS
FLA: 1.6 takeaways per game to SC's 0.4
1.2 TOFlorida's defense has forced 1.6 turnovers a game across 5 games, while South Carolina's has managed 0.4. The sheet does not say which offences either side faced, so some of that gap may be schedule. Takeaways swing a lot over 5 games and tend to drift toward the middle. In this game, the edge points to Florida winning the turnover battle at home, though one or two bounces can erase it.
MISMATCH
FLA: 0.8 turnovers a game to SC's 1.6
0.8 VS 1.6South Carolina is turning it over 1.6 times a game through 5 games, Florida 0.8. Last season they were even at 1.5 each, so Florida has cleaned things up and South Carolina has not. Five games of turnovers is a noisy sample, and both probably settle toward last season's level. South Carolina has to protect the ball on the road, since giving Florida short fields is the fastest way this game gets away from it.
REPLACEMENT
Quay'sheed Scott (DB) is out for SC
OUTDB #12 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Jalewis Solomon (DB) is out for SC
OUTDB #16 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Jayden Sellers (WR) is out for SC
OUTWR #17 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Kobby Sakyi-Prah (DE) is out for SC
OUTEDG #41 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Carter Miller (OL) is out for SC
OUTOL #50 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Julian Walker (DE) is out for SC
OUTEDG #55 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Josiah Thompson (OL) is out for SC
OUTOL #74 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (DL) is out for SC
OUTDL #99 listed Out on the SEC Update 2 report SEC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 19:10:00 CT) (2026-10-09)
TEAM RECORD
SEC game: SC 0-3, FLA 2-1 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the SEC. SC is 0-3 against it, FLA is 2-1. 2026 standings through 2026-10-10.
About this analysis
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- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 10, 2026 at 8:14 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, fanduel, fanatics, betmgm, betrivers, caesars.
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