San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers

Injuries noted

San Diego State Aztecs: Ashdon Wnetrzak (probable) — OL/undisclosed.; Jackson Ford (probable) — TE/undisclosed.; Jayden Denegal (probable) — QB/undisclosed.; Jaylon Hawkins (probable) — WR/undisclosed.; Jelani Whitmore (probable) — DB/undisclosed.; Kai Wallin (probable) — OLB/undisclosed.; Kaimana Tufaga (probable) — DB/undisclosed.; Max Garrison (probable) — DB/undisclosed.; Aldrich Doe (questionable) — WR/undisclosed; reported as Al Doe.; Braylon Cardwell (questionable) — DB/undisclosed.; Donovan Brown (questionable) — WR/undisclosed.; Gavriel Lightfoot (questionable) — DL/undisclosed.; Harlem Nellum (questionable) — OL/undisclosed.; Isaac Lucas (questionable) — OL/undisclosed.; Jack Lua (questionable) — TE/undisclosed.; Jarvis Williams (questionable) — OL/undisclosed.; Javion Kinnard (questionable) — RB; knee injury suffered at Toledo.; Jeramiah Lewis (questionable) — ILB/undisclosed.; Justius Lowe (questionable) — WR/undisclosed.; Lucky Sutton (questionable) — RB; aggravated high ankle sprain.; Roman Paseka (questionable) — DL/undisclosed.; Tano Letuli (questionable) — ILB; undisclosed injury against Texas State.; Chase Shumate (doubtful) — DB/undisclosed.; Javari Nash (doubtful) — ILB/undisclosed.; Kime Fangupo (doubtful) — TE/undisclosed.; Nathan Acevedo (doubtful) — WR/undisclosed; reported as Nate Acevedo.; Ryan Wolfer (doubtful) — TE/undisclosed.; Tuaoa Tauili'ili (doubtful) — DL/undisclosed.; Aaron Tasin (out) — ILB/undisclosed.; Dalesean Staley (out) — DB/undisclosed.; Jack Ellis (out) — TE/undisclosed.; Luke Williams (out) — LS/undisclosed.; Matthew Mercado (out) — LS/undisclosed; reported as Matt Mercado.; Stone Saunders (out) — QB/undisclosed.

QUARTERBACK

• Jayden Denegal is SDSU's projected starter

  5.83 Y/A

  Jayden Denegal is SDSU's projected starting quarterback. The October 4 official matchup preview identifies Denegal as the team's starting quarterback. October 7 reporting expects him under center against Oregon State; the October 9 availability report lists him probable. His October 10 start is projected, not confirmed. 2026 line: 706 passing yards, 57.9% completions, 5.83 yards per attempt, 5-5 TD-INT over 5 games.

• Braden Atkinson is ORST's projected starter

  8.98 Y/A

  Braden Atkinson is ORST's projected starting quarterback. The October 9 depth chart explicitly projects Atkinson first and Maalik Murphy second for October 10. The October 5 report discusses Atkinson's upcoming San Diego State matchup. A game-specific starting confirmation was not retrieved. 2026 line: 1724 passing yards, 68.2% completions, 8.98 yards per attempt, 15-2 TD-INT over 5 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• ORST: 37 points per game to SDSU's 24.6

  12.4 PPG

  Oregon State is scoring 37 a game, more than double its 18.2 from last season, while San Diego State sits at 24.6, close to its 26.4 last year. A jump that big over five games almost always comes back down some, so expect Oregon State's scoring to cool. San Diego State looks like the same team as last year. At home, Oregon State's offense is the story, but price in some regression before trusting the full 37.

• ORST: 31:00 time of possession per game to SDSU's 25:29

  5:31 TOP

  SDSU is at 25:29 time of possession per game over 5 games; ORST is at 31:00 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season SDSU was at 30:17 over 13 games and ORST at 31:50 over 12 games.

TURNOVERS

• ORST: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to SDSU's 1.6

  0.8 TO

  Oregon State is at 0.8 turnovers a game through 5 games, down from 1.67 last season, while San Diego State is at 1.6, up from 1.15. Both have moved sharply in a short sample, and turnover rates tend to settle back. Do not build much around this gap, since it is the kind of number that can flip in a single game.

MISMATCH

• ORST: 352.2 pass yards a game to SDSU's 153.6

  352.2 VS 153.6

  Oregon State is throwing for 352.2 yards a game over five games, way up from 225.8 last season, while San Diego State sits at 153.6, close to last season's 157.7. San Diego State is the same run-first team, so the change here is all Oregon State. At home, that passing game lets Oregon State put up points fast. San Diego State has to drain the clock to keep this game in reach.

COVERAGE

• ORST: 205.6 passing yards allowed per game to SDSU's 266.6

  61 YPG

  Oregon State allows 205.6 passing yards a game, about 61 fewer than San Diego State's 266.6, with five games each. The sheet does not show who those passing attacks were, so a soft run of opponents could explain part of the gap. If it holds, the Beavers are better placed to limit a San Diego State air game at home, which is the angle to weigh when thinking about Aztec scoring.

REPLACEMENT

• Aaron Tasin (LB) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  ILB/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Dalesean Staley (S) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  DB/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Jack Ellis (TE) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  TE/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Luke Williams (LS) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  LS/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Matthew Mercado (LS) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  LS/undisclosed; reported as Matt Mercado. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Stone Saunders (QB) is out for SDSU

  OUT

  QB/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Tuaoa Tauili'ili (DL) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  DL/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Ryan Wolfer (TE) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  TE/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Nathan Acevedo (WR) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  WR/undisclosed; reported as Nate Acevedo. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Kime Fangupo (TE) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  TE/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Javari Nash (LB) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  ILB/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

• Chase Shumate (S) is doubtful for SDSU

  DOUBTFUL

  DB/undisclosed. San Diego State injury report: 4 players trending in opposite directions ahead of Oregon State — Bernie Wilson, On SI (2026-10-09)

SITUATIONAL

• ORST: 352.2 team passing yards per game to SDSU's 153.6

  198.6 YPG

  Oregon State throws for 352.2 yards a game, way up from 225.8 last season, while SDSU sits at 153.6, near last season's 157.7. Five games is a short sample for that big a jump, so some pullback is likely. SDSU's run-first style will likely try to keep ORST's passing game on the sideline.

• ORST: 24.2 first downs per game to SDSU's 17.2

  7 FD

  SDSU is at 17.2 first downs per game over 5 games; ORST is at 24.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season SDSU was at 17.9 over 13 games and ORST at 20.4 over 12 games.

TEAM RECORD

• Pac-12 game: SDSU 1-0, ORST 1-0 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  These two share the Pac-12. SDSU is 1-0 against it, ORST is 1-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-10.