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NCAAF · Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 PM

Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers

O/U 48.5 · SPREAD Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE

GARY'S PICK
Nebraska +7.5
NCAAFvs Indiana· -102

Nebraska
+7.5

-102 · CASHED · IU 20 · NEB 17

Indiana

The pick & result

Published pick
Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 -102
Published odds
-102
Result
Won
Final score
20-17

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The line

BETMGM · 55 moves
MarketOpened
Oct 4 10:31 AM
Close
Oct 10 11:38 AM
Move
SPREADIndiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105)−1
TOTAL51.5 (-112)48.5 (-110)−3
MONEYLINEIndiana Hoosiers -350Indiana Hoosiers -350Holds
Every move, in order ›
WhenSpreadTotalMoneyline
OPENOct 4 10:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-110)51.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 4 11:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-112)51.5 (-115)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 4 1:31 PMIndiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-108)52.5 (-102)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 4 2:33 PMIndiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-108)51.5 (-118)Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +270
Oct 4 3:56 PMIndiana Hoosiers -8 (-110)51.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 4 4:56 PMIndiana Hoosiers -8 (-110)52.5 (+100)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 4 5:49 PMIndiana Hoosiers -8 (-110)52.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 4 6:50 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)52.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 4 7:50 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7 (-115)52.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 4 8:51 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-102)52.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 4 9:51 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7 (-112)52.5 (-108)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 4 10:52 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)52.5 (-108)Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260
Oct 4 11:52 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)52.5 (-108)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 5 12:53 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)52.5 (-108)Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260
Oct 5 6:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)52.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260
Oct 5 8:01 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)52.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 5 3:57 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)52.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 5 9:12 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)52.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 12:12 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-118)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 6:30 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-115)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 9:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 10:12 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 11:12 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 1:13 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 1:43 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 2:13 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-102)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 6 5:02 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-102)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 5:32 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)51.5 (-102)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 6:32 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)50.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 6 7:02 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)50.5 (-108)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 6 7:32 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)50.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 6:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7 (-120)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 7 8:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 7 8:30 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 9:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 7 10:01 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 7 10:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240
Oct 7 11:02 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)49.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 12:32 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)48.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 1:03 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)48.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 5:05 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)48.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 5:36 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)48.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 6:06 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)48.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 9:36 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)48.5 (-112)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 7 10:38 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)48.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 8 8:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-110)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 8 9:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 8 11:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +225
Oct 8 4:46 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 9 10:31 AMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-110)47.5 (-115)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 9 4:00 PMIndiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-115)47.5 (-115)Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250
Oct 10 8:00 AMIndiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105)47.5 (-115)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 10 8:17 AMIndiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 10 10:12 AMIndiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-110)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
Oct 10 10:42 AMIndiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105)48.5 (-105)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275
CLOSEOct 10 11:38 AMIndiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105)48.5 (-110)Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275

The read

Big Noon in Lincoln: two unbeatens, a sold-out Memorial Stadium, and a south wind forecast at 17 mph with gusts to 37. The defending champions bring a 21-game winning streak into the first truly hostile building they have seen this season.

Indiana has the better lines, and I won't pretend otherwise. Turbo Richard runs for 9.3 yards a carry, and Nebraska's front has allowed 80% power success. The Hoosiers will move the ball on the ground.

What keeps pulling me back is what Nebraska can do in the spots where Indiana has been soft. Both Big Ten offenses Indiana has faced threw for 9.8 yards per attempt. Kwazi Gilmer has 101 and 147 receiving yards in his last two games. Anthony Colandrea has become a runner as the opponents got tougher: 66 rushing yards at Michigan State and 108 against Maryland. When Indiana's front stuffs the backs, the quarterback's legs are how Nebraska keeps the chains moving. Indiana's one close game this season, 29-23 over Northwestern, came against a quarterback who kept escaping pressure after halftime.

The other half is the Blackshirts once a drive reaches their end of the field. Nebraska allows 2.240 points per scoring opportunity, against Indiana's 3.133. Opponents have converted 21.3% of their third downs. A defense that turns drives into field goal tries is what you want when you are getting more than a touchdown, and those gusts make every kick a gamble. Nebraska also has 8 takeaways in five games, gets Jamal Rule and Jacory Barney Jr. back, and gets to watch Josh Hoover run a silent count in front of a sellout for the first time.

The wind compresses this game: fewer clean possessions, more running, a shorter afternoon. In that kind of game, eight points is a lot to ask of a road favorite, and the hook means a one-touchdown Indiana win still cashes. At -102 I get the cheaper side of the number, against a home team that has won every game by 18 or more.

Injuries noted

Indiana Hoosiers: Carson Williams (out) — Cornerback; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Khobie Martin (out) — Running back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Andrew Barker (out) — Tight end; out in Friday's report. Injured against Rutgers.; Lebron Bond (out) — Wide receiver; changed from questionable Thursday to out Friday.

Nebraska Cornhuskers: Larry Miles (out) — Wide receiver; out in Friday's game-specific report. Condition unspecified.; Kahmir Prescott (out) — Defensive back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Jase Reynolds (out) — Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Jacob Bower (out) — Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Gabe Moore (out) — Defensive lineman; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Riley Van Poppel (questionable) — Interior defensive lineman; remains questionable Friday. Condition unspecified.; Carter Nelson (questionable) — Tight end; questionable in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Gage Stenger (questionable) — Linebacker; questionable in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.

The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

QUARTERBACK

  • Anthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starter

    7.99 Y/A

    Anthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starting quarterback. Colin Lavery's October 9 game preview explicitly identifies Colandrea as Nebraska's starter against Indiana. 2026 line: 1142 passing yards, 65.7% completions, 7.99 yards per attempt, 13-2 TD-INT over 5 games.

  • Josh Hoover is IU's projected starter

    10.29 Y/A

    Josh Hoover is IU's projected starting quarterback. TJ Inman's October 9 Nebraska preview discusses Hoover directing Indiana's passing attack for this matchup, but does not explicitly announce the game-day starter. 2026 line: 1101 passing yards, 71.0% completions, 10.29 yards per attempt, 15-0 TD-INT over 5 games.

TURNOVERS

  • NEB: 1.6 takeaways per game to IU's 0.6

    1 TO

    Nebraska has forced 1.6 turnovers a game over 5 games, Indiana 0.6. That one extra takeaway a game is a real gap so far, though turnover rates over 5 games drift. At home, Nebraska has the better shot at a short field, which matters most if Indiana's offence is otherwise moving the ball.

REPLACEMENT

  • Lebron Bond (WR) is out for IU

    OUT

    Wide receiver; changed from questionable Thursday to out Friday. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Larry Miles (WR) is out for NEB

    OUT

    Wide receiver; out in Friday's game-specific report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Carson Williams (DB) is out for IU

    OUT

    Cornerback; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Khobie Martin (RB) is out for IU

    OUT

    Running back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Andrew Barker (TE) is out for IU

    OUT

    Tight end; out in Friday's report. Injured against Rutgers. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09) UPDATED Injury Report for Week Six: Indiana Getting Healthier and Nebraska DL Pops Up (2026-10-08)

  • Kahmir Prescott (DB) is out for NEB

    OUT

    Defensive back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Jase Reynolds (LB) is out for NEB

    OUT

    Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Jacob Bower (LB) is out for NEB

    OUT

    Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

  • Gabe Moore (DL) is out for NEB

    OUT

    Defensive lineman; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)

SITUATIONAL

  • IU: 34.5 penalty yards per game to NEB's 73.4

    38.9 YDS

    Indiana gives away 34.5 penalty yards a game through 5 games, in line with last season's 27.6, so the discipline looks real. Nebraska is at 73.4, well above its 43.5 last season, which points to a rough patch that may ease. Flags can extend drives and swing field position, and at home Nebraska is the side more likely to hurt itself, though expect some regression from that high number.

TEAM RECORD

  • Big Ten game: IU 2-0, NEB 2-0 in conference

    CONFERENCE

    These two share the Big Ten. IU is 2-0 against it, NEB is 2-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

AFTER GARY

  • NEB +7.5 → +9.5

    NOW +2

    Gary's number was 7.5; the same book now shows 9.5.

All research from this day

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Daily picks first stored October 10, 2026 at 8:14 AM ET.
Odds record
The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, fanatics, fanduel, betmgm, betrivers.
Accountability
Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

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