Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers
O/U 48.5 · SPREAD Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 -102
- Published odds
- -102
- Result
- Won
- Final score
- 20-17
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 55 moves| Market | Opened Oct 4 10:31 AM | Close Oct 10 11:38 AM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105) | −1 |
| TOTAL | 51.5 (-112) | 48.5 (-110) | −3 |
| MONEYLINE | Indiana Hoosiers -350 | Indiana Hoosiers -350 | Holds |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENOct 4 10:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 4 11:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-112) | 51.5 (-115) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 4 1:31 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-102) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 4 2:33 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-108) | 51.5 (-118) | Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +270 |
| Oct 4 3:56 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -8 (-110) | 51.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 4 4:56 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -8 (-110) | 52.5 (+100) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 4 5:49 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -8 (-110) | 52.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 4 6:50 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 4 7:50 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7 (-115) | 52.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 4 8:51 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-102) | 52.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 4 9:51 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7 (-112) | 52.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 4 10:52 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260 |
| Oct 4 11:52 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 5 12:53 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260 |
| Oct 5 6:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +260 |
| Oct 5 8:01 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 5 3:57 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 52.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 5 9:12 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 52.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 12:12 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-118) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 6:30 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-115) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 9:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 10:12 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 11:12 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 1:13 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 1:43 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 2:13 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-102) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 6 5:02 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-102) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 5:32 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 51.5 (-102) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 6:32 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 6 7:02 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 6 7:32 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 50.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 6:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7 (-120) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 7 8:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 7 8:30 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 9:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 7 10:01 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -295 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 7 10:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +240 |
| Oct 7 11:02 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 49.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 12:32 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 48.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 1:03 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 5:05 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 48.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 5:36 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 6:06 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 48.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 9:36 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-112) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 7 10:38 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 48.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 8 8:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-110) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 8 9:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-108) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 8 11:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -285 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +225 |
| Oct 8 4:46 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -325 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 9 10:31 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-110) | 47.5 (-115) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 9 4:00 PM | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 (-115) | 47.5 (-115) | Indiana Hoosiers -300 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +250 |
| Oct 10 8:00 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105) | 47.5 (-115) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 10 8:17 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 10 10:12 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-110) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| Oct 10 10:42 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-105) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
| CLOSEOct 10 11:38 AM | Indiana Hoosiers -8.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-110) | Indiana Hoosiers -350 · Nebraska Cornhuskers +275 |
The read
Big Noon in Lincoln: two unbeatens, a sold-out Memorial Stadium, and a south wind forecast at 17 mph with gusts to 37. The defending champions bring a 21-game winning streak into the first truly hostile building they have seen this season.
Indiana has the better lines, and I won't pretend otherwise. Turbo Richard runs for 9.3 yards a carry, and Nebraska's front has allowed 80% power success. The Hoosiers will move the ball on the ground.
What keeps pulling me back is what Nebraska can do in the spots where Indiana has been soft. Both Big Ten offenses Indiana has faced threw for 9.8 yards per attempt. Kwazi Gilmer has 101 and 147 receiving yards in his last two games. Anthony Colandrea has become a runner as the opponents got tougher: 66 rushing yards at Michigan State and 108 against Maryland. When Indiana's front stuffs the backs, the quarterback's legs are how Nebraska keeps the chains moving. Indiana's one close game this season, 29-23 over Northwestern, came against a quarterback who kept escaping pressure after halftime.
The other half is the Blackshirts once a drive reaches their end of the field. Nebraska allows 2.240 points per scoring opportunity, against Indiana's 3.133. Opponents have converted 21.3% of their third downs. A defense that turns drives into field goal tries is what you want when you are getting more than a touchdown, and those gusts make every kick a gamble. Nebraska also has 8 takeaways in five games, gets Jamal Rule and Jacory Barney Jr. back, and gets to watch Josh Hoover run a silent count in front of a sellout for the first time.
The wind compresses this game: fewer clean possessions, more running, a shorter afternoon. In that kind of game, eight points is a lot to ask of a road favorite, and the hook means a one-touchdown Indiana win still cashes. At -102 I get the cheaper side of the number, against a home team that has won every game by 18 or more.
Injuries noted
Indiana Hoosiers: Carson Williams (out) — Cornerback; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Khobie Martin (out) — Running back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Andrew Barker (out) — Tight end; out in Friday's report. Injured against Rutgers.; Lebron Bond (out) — Wide receiver; changed from questionable Thursday to out Friday.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: Larry Miles (out) — Wide receiver; out in Friday's game-specific report. Condition unspecified.; Kahmir Prescott (out) — Defensive back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Jase Reynolds (out) — Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Jacob Bower (out) — Linebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Gabe Moore (out) — Defensive lineman; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Riley Van Poppel (questionable) — Interior defensive lineman; remains questionable Friday. Condition unspecified.; Carter Nelson (questionable) — Tight end; questionable in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.; Gage Stenger (questionable) — Linebacker; questionable in Friday's report. Condition unspecified.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Anthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starter
7.99 Y/AAnthony Colandrea is NEB's confirmed starting quarterback. Colin Lavery's October 9 game preview explicitly identifies Colandrea as Nebraska's starter against Indiana. 2026 line: 1142 passing yards, 65.7% completions, 7.99 yards per attempt, 13-2 TD-INT over 5 games.
Josh Hoover is IU's projected starter
10.29 Y/AJosh Hoover is IU's projected starting quarterback. TJ Inman's October 9 Nebraska preview discusses Hoover directing Indiana's passing attack for this matchup, but does not explicitly announce the game-day starter. 2026 line: 1101 passing yards, 71.0% completions, 10.29 yards per attempt, 15-0 TD-INT over 5 games.
TURNOVERS
NEB: 1.6 takeaways per game to IU's 0.6
1 TONebraska has forced 1.6 turnovers a game over 5 games, Indiana 0.6. That one extra takeaway a game is a real gap so far, though turnover rates over 5 games drift. At home, Nebraska has the better shot at a short field, which matters most if Indiana's offence is otherwise moving the ball.
REPLACEMENT
Lebron Bond (WR) is out for IU
OUTWide receiver; changed from questionable Thursday to out Friday. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Larry Miles (WR) is out for NEB
OUTWide receiver; out in Friday's game-specific report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Carson Williams (DB) is out for IU
OUTCornerback; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Khobie Martin (RB) is out for IU
OUTRunning back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Andrew Barker (TE) is out for IU
OUTTight end; out in Friday's report. Injured against Rutgers. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09) UPDATED Injury Report for Week Six: Indiana Getting Healthier and Nebraska DL Pops Up (2026-10-08)
Kahmir Prescott (DB) is out for NEB
OUTDefensive back; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Jase Reynolds (LB) is out for NEB
OUTLinebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Jacob Bower (LB) is out for NEB
OUTLinebacker; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
Gabe Moore (DL) is out for NEB
OUTDefensive lineman; out in Friday's report. Condition unspecified. No changes in Husker injury report on Friday (2026-10-09)
SITUATIONAL
IU: 34.5 penalty yards per game to NEB's 73.4
38.9 YDSIndiana gives away 34.5 penalty yards a game through 5 games, in line with last season's 27.6, so the discipline looks real. Nebraska is at 73.4, well above its 43.5 last season, which points to a rough patch that may ease. Flags can extend drives and swing field position, and at home Nebraska is the side more likely to hurt itself, though expect some regression from that high number.
TEAM RECORD
Big Ten game: IU 2-0, NEB 2-0 in conference
CONFERENCEThese two share the Big Ten. IU is 2-0 against it, NEB is 2-0. 2026 standings through 2026-10-10.
AFTER GARY
NEB +7.5 → +9.5
NOW +2Gary's number was 7.5; the same book now shows 9.5.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored October 10, 2026 at 8:14 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, fanatics, fanduel, betmgm, betrivers.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
Every pick posts before the game and is graded after, in public. My Book on this website lets you tail or fade listed calls and keeps your record separately labeled; Gary is also available as a native iOS app.
Get Gary on the App StoreEvery NCAAF game this dayThe NCAAF recordToday's NCAAF picksEvery sport this day