Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Injuries noted

Duke Blue Devils: Jamien Little (out) — WR #1 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Landan Callahan (probable) — CB #3 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report; Blake Rohrer (out) — WR #3 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Kimari Robinson (probable) — CB #5 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report; Javen Nicholas (probable) — WR #5 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report; Lawrence Gardner (out) — QB #16 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Qeanu Johnson (out) — WR #21 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Elliott Schaper (out) — LB #31 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Cosme Salas (questionable) — K #39 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Sean Stover (probable) — OL #60 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report; Kai Jacobowitz (out) — OL #65 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Reagan McCranie (out) — OL #74 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Roman Fina (out) — OL #79 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Malachi Hosley (out) — RB #0 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Daiquan White (out) — CB #4 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jordan Boyd (questionable) — DE #8 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Jordan Walker (out) — DE #10 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Jaiven Plummer (questionable) — WR #16 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Trae Stevenson Jr. (questionable) — CB #23 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Noah Carter (out) — DE #24 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Fenix Felton (out) — S #31 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Will Kiker (out) — S #39 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Kyle Efford (probable) — LB #44 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report; Jameson Riggs (questionable) — OL #70 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Markell Samuel (questionable) — OL #71 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Josh Petty (questionable) — OL #77 listed Questionable on the ACC Update 2 report; Ethan Mackenny (out) — OL #78 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Kentrell Davis (out) — WR #82 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Coi Jean-Noel (out) — WR #87 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; A.J. Hoffler (out) — DE #88 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Shymeik Jones (out) — DT #96 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report; Vincent Carroll-Jackson (probable) — DT #99 listed Probable on the ACC Update 2 report

QUARTERBACK

• Alberto Mendoza is GT's confirmed starter

  7.93 Y/A

  Alberto Mendoza is GT's confirmed starting quarterback. October 6 game preview explicitly identifies Mendoza as Georgia Tech's starting quarterback. 2026 line: 975 passing yards, 68.3% completions, 7.93 yards per attempt, 6-3 TD-INT over 4 games.

• Walker Eget is DUKE's projected starter

  7.75 Y/A

  Walker Eget is DUKE's projected starting quarterback. October 9 game preview discusses Eget directing Duke's passing attack against Georgia Tech; it does not explicitly announce the starter. 2026 line: 721 passing yards, 62.4% completions, 7.75 yards per attempt, 6-1 TD-INT over 4 games.

TRENCHES

• DUKE: 63.8 rushing yards allowed per game to GT's 189

  125.3 YPG

  Duke has held opponents to 63.8 rushing yards a game across four games, while Georgia Tech has given up 189. The sheet doesn't say who Duke played, so four games can't separate a strong front from a soft schedule. Georgia Tech's defense is the shakier unit here. If Duke can run the ball, it controls the clock, and that matters more than whether its own run defense holds up.

PACE & SCRIPT

• DUKE: 11 points allowed per game to GT's 26

  15 PPG

  Duke is allowing 11 points a game over four games, a huge turnaround from 29.4 last season. A shift that large in four games is likely helped by the schedule and is unlikely to hold. Georgia Tech's 26 matches its 25 from last year. On the road against a Tech offense that has been steady, Duke's defense faces a fair test of whether the improvement is real.

• DUKE @ GT carries a 44.5 market total

  44.5

  At 44.5, this is 7 points under the 51.5 slate median, so the market sees a lower-scoring game with fewer long drives finishing in touchdowns. No team stats on the sheet explain the gap. It cracks if either offense starts turning drives into sevens instead of field goals. Bettors can weigh how much a single defensive or special teams score would swing a number this low.

• DUKE: 36.3 points per game to GT's 27

  9.3 PPG

  Duke scores 36.3 a game through 4 games, close to last season's 34.6, so the offense looks for real. Georgia Tech is at 27 over 4, down from 32.2 last year, which could bounce back. Duke scoring on the road fits its track record, and Georgia Tech recovering at home is the main reason not to assume the full gap.

• DUKE: 33:13 time of possession per game to GT's 28:07

  5:06 TOP

  DUKE is at 33:13 time of possession per game over 4 games; GT is at 28:07 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 9. Last season DUKE was at 29:42 over 14 games and GT at 29:03 over 13 games.

MISMATCH

• DUKE: 243.8 rush yards a game to GT's 126.8

  243.8 VS 126.8

  Duke is running for 243.8 yards a game through four games, up from 138.1 last season, while Georgia Tech has slipped to 126.8 from 197.5. Four games is a short window, and Duke's jump is big enough that some of it likely comes from who they have played. If Duke can lean on the ground at Georgia Tech, they control the clock and keep a Tech offense that has lost its rushing identity on the sideline. Game script favors Duke if they establish the run early.

COVERAGE

• DUKE: 26% third downs allowed to GT's 41.4%

  15.4 PP

  Duke has allowed opponents to convert 26% of third downs over 4 games, while Georgia Tech sits at 41.4% over the same count. Four games is a small sample, and third-down rates move fast as schedules toughen. If Duke keeps getting off the field and Tech does not, Duke should own more of the possessions on the road, which is the lens for sides and drive-heavy props.

REPLACEMENT

• Reagan McCranie (OL) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  OL #74 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Roman Fina (OL) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  OL #79 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jamien Little (WR) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  WR #1 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Blake Rohrer (WR) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  WR #3 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Lawrence Gardner (QB) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  QB #16 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Qeanu Johnson (WR) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  WR #21 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Elliott Schaper (LB) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  LB #31 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Kai Jacobowitz (OL) is out for DUKE

  OUT

  OL #65 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Malachi Hosley (RB) is out for GT

  OUT

  RB #0 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Daiquan White (CB) is out for GT

  OUT

  CB #4 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Jordan Walker (DE) is out for GT

  OUT

  DE #10 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Noah Carter (DE) is out for GT

  OUT

  DE #24 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Fenix Felton (S) is out for GT

  OUT

  S #31 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Will Kiker (S) is out for GT

  OUT

  S #39 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Ethan Mackenny (OL) is out for GT

  OUT

  OL #78 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Kentrell Davis (WR) is out for GT

  OUT

  WR #82 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Coi Jean-Noel (WR) is out for GT

  OUT

  WR #87 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• A.J. Hoffler (DE) is out for GT

  OUT

  DE #88 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

• Shymeik Jones (DT) is out for GT

  OUT

  DT #96 listed Out on the ACC Update 2 report ACC availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-09 20:00:00 ET) (2026-10-09)

TEAM RECORD

• ACC game: DUKE 1-0, GT 0-1 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  DUKE has won its only ACC game and GT has lost its only one, so this is one conference game each. A single result says little about either team, and the sheet does not show who they played. This game will add a second data point and could even both records out. Bettors should lean on more than one league game when sizing up this matchup, especially with GT at home.