Baylor Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils

Injuries noted

Baylor Bears: Devonte Tezino (out for season) — Defensive lineman; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending ankle injury and absence against ASU.; Jacob Redding (out for season) — Safety; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending ACL injury and absence against ASU.; Jamarion Richardson (out) — Cornerback; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified.; Cayden Tone (out) — Offensive lineman; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified.; Ashton Jones (out) — Wide receiver; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified.

Arizona State Sun Devils: Khamari Anderson (out for season) — Tight end; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending injury and lists him out on the September 30 Baylor availability report.; Jalen Williams (out) — Defensive back; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified.; Marques Uini (out) — Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified.; Wade Helton (out) — Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified.; Brent Helton (out) — Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified.; Grayson Rigdon (probable) — Running back; probable on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified; this is that report's designation, not a verified game-day update.; Manamo'ui Muti (probable) — Offensive lineman; probable on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified; game-day designation unverified.

QUARTERBACK

• DJ Lagway is BAY's projected starter

  5.96 Y/A

  DJ Lagway is BAY's projected starting quarterback. October 1 game-preview reporting discusses Lagway directing Baylor's offense against ASU. Current-week injury reporting quotes Aranda anticipating his participation after returning from an ankle injury. A separate game-day starting announcement was not retrieved. 2026 line: 554 passing yards, 49.5% completions, 5.96 yards per attempt, 4-2 TD-INT over 2 games.

• Cutter Boley is ASU's projected starter

  8.76 Y/A

  Cutter Boley is ASU's projected starting quarterback. October 1 Baylor-week reporting discusses Boley leading the offense against Baylor. The September 30 official preview identifies him as the previously announced starter; a separate game-day starting announcement was not retrieved. 2026 line: 736 passing yards, 63.1% completions, 8.76 yards per attempt, 9-2 TD-INT over 3 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• BAY: 13 points allowed per game to ASU's 24

  11 PPG

  Baylor has allowed 13 points a game through four games after giving up 32.6 last season, one of the biggest swings on the board. Arizona State is at 24 over three games, almost exactly its 24.5 last season. Arizona State's number looks like who it is, and Baylor's improvement is large enough that some regression is likely. A road trip to Arizona State is a real test of whether Baylor's defense has changed.

• ASU: 38 points per game to BAY's 29.8

  8.3 PPG

  Arizona State is scoring 38 a game through just three games, a big jump from the 25.8 it managed last season, while Baylor sits near its usual level at 29.8 after 31.1 a year ago. Baylor's number looks like who it is; ASU's looks like a hot start from a small sample. Expect ASU's scoring to drift down some as the schedule firms up. In this matchup, Baylor's steady offense meeting an ASU attack still proving itself makes the home side's scoring the shakier side of the equation.

MISMATCH

• BAY: 13 points allowed a game to ASU's 24

  13 VS 24

  Baylor's defense has allowed 13 points a game over four games, Arizona State's 24 over three. Baylor gave up 32.6 last season, so this is a massive swing over a short stretch and the likeliest number here to rise. ASU is close to its 24.5 from last season. A bettor backing Baylor on the road is mostly betting that the new defense is real.

REPLACEMENT

• Jacob Redding (S) is out for the season for BAY

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Safety; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending ACL injury and absence against ASU. Baylor's Initial Injury Report Ahead of Arizona State Comes Back Mostly Clean (2026-10-01)

• Devonte Tezino (DL) is out for the season for BAY

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Defensive lineman; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending ankle injury and absence against ASU. Baylor's Initial Injury Report Ahead of Arizona State Comes Back Mostly Clean (2026-10-01)

• Khamari Anderson (TE) is out for the season for ASU

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Tight end; October 1 reporting confirms a season-ending injury and lists him out on the September 30 Baylor availability report. What to Know About Arizona State's Injury Report, Depth Chart Vs. Baylor (2026-10-01)

• Cayden Tone (OL) is out for BAY

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified. Baylor's Initial Injury Report Ahead of Arizona State Comes Back Mostly Clean (2026-10-01)

• Jamarion Richardson (CB) is out for BAY

  OUT

  Cornerback; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified. Baylor's Initial Injury Report Ahead of Arizona State Comes Back Mostly Clean (2026-10-01)

• Brent Helton (OL) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified. What to Know About Arizona State's Injury Report, Depth Chart Vs. Baylor (2026-10-01)

• Wade Helton (OL) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified. What to Know About Arizona State's Injury Report, Depth Chart Vs. Baylor (2026-10-01)

• Marques Uini (OL) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Offensive lineman; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified. What to Know About Arizona State's Injury Report, Depth Chart Vs. Baylor (2026-10-01)

• Jalen Williams (DB) is out for ASU

  OUT

  Defensive back; listed out for Baylor on the September 30 report reproduced October 1. Condition unspecified. What to Know About Arizona State's Injury Report, Depth Chart Vs. Baylor (2026-10-01)

• Ashton Jones (WR) is out for BAY

  OUT

  Wide receiver; October 1 reporting says Baylor will be without him against ASU. Condition unspecified. Baylor's Initial Injury Report Ahead of Arizona State Comes Back Mostly Clean (2026-10-01)

SITUATIONAL

• ASU has 7 more days of rest

  7d vs 14d

  Arizona State is coming off a bye with 14 days of rest, and Baylor arrives on a normal 7-day week and has to travel. The extra week usually means fresher bodies and a more tailored plan for the home team. Rust after a week off can show early, so any edge tends to build as the game goes on. It is a factor in Arizona State's favor that fits alongside the matchup, not in place of it.

TEAM RECORD

• Big 12 game: BAY 1-0, ASU 1-0 in conference

  CONFERENCE

  Baylor and Arizona State are both 1-0 in Big 12 play, so one of them leaves this game with its first league loss. One game apiece is too small to separate them. Arizona State has the home field. Judge this one on the matchup and the venue, since the records are the same and both are tiny samples.