Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats

Injuries noted

Miami (OH) RedHawks: Noam Butbul (questionable) — Undisclosed; listed questionable for Cincinnati in the Sept. 12 availability listing.; Trey Zvonar (questionable) — Undisclosed; listed questionable for Cincinnati in the Sept. 12 availability listing.; Brayden Boeing (questionable) — Undisclosed; listed questionable for Cincinnati in the Sept. 12 availability listing.; Devin Hyatt (questionable) — Undisclosed; listed questionable for Cincinnati in the Sept. 12 availability listing.; Eric Karner (out) — Undisclosed; listed out in the Sept. 5 availability listing still displayed for this matchup.; Keith Reynolds (out) — Undisclosed; listed out in the Sept. 5 availability listing still displayed for this matchup.

QUARTERBACK

• David McComb is M-OH's projected starter

  10.30 Y/A

  David McComb is M-OH's projected starting quarterback. Miami's game-week depth chart lists McComb first at quarterback and Caleb Heavner second. Miami's preview identifies the Holy Cross game as McComb's second career start, while Cincinnati's coach discussed preparing specifically for McComb; no separate game-day starter declaration was located. 2026 line: 474 passing yards, 63.0% completions, 10.30 yards per attempt, 4-0 TD-INT over 2 games.

• JC French IV is CIN's projected starter

  8.47 Y/A

  JC French IV is CIN's projected starting quarterback. Cincinnati's Sept. 14 unofficial depth chart lists French first at quarterback, and he participated in the Sept. 15 game-week media availability. No separate starter declaration was located. 2026 line: 305 passing yards, 83.3% completions, 8.47 yards per attempt, 3-0 TD-INT over 2 games.

TRENCHES

• CIN is +199 rush yards per game

  199 YPG

  Cincinnati has rushed for 313.5 yards per game through two 2026 games, 199 more than Miami (OH)'s 114.5. Both are offensive outputs against other opponents, so the gap describes two ground identities rather than a matchup result.

PACE & SCRIPT

• CIN's defense gives up 20.5 fewer points per game

  20.5 PPG

  M-OH is at 33 points allowed per game over 2 games; CIN is at 12.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• CIN is scoring +18.5 points per game

  18.5 PPG

  M-OH is at 29.5 points per game over 2 games; CIN is at 48 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• M-OH @ CIN carries a 66.5 market total

  66.5

  The current draftkings total is 66.5, 11 points above the 55.5 median across 45 games with posted totals on this slate.

TURNOVERS

• CIN's defense takes the ball away 1 more time per game

  1 TO

  M-OH is at 0 takeaways per game over 2 games; CIN is at 1 over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.

MISMATCH

• CIN's ground game against M-OH's — 313.5 rush yards a game to 114.5

  313.5 VS 114.5

  CIN is averaging 313.5 rush yards a game through two, M-OH 114.5 through two. The ground-game gap is the widest number on this tape, and both are offensive totals rather than any read on run defense.

COVERAGE

• CIN's secondary gives up 167 fewer passing yards per game

  167 YPG

  CIN is allowing 143.5 passing yards per game over two games, 167 fewer than M-OH's 310.5. Those are the raw opponent box figures through Sept 18 across two games apiece.

• CIN allows a third-down conversion rate 22.7 percentage points lower

  22.7 PP

  M-OH is at 50% third downs allowed over 2 games; CIN is at 27.3% over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.

REPLACEMENT

• Thomas Gotkowski (QB) is out for the season for M-OH

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Quarterback; Miami's game notes say he is expected to miss the entire 2026 campaign with an undisclosed injury. Miami Football Game Notes — Cincinnati (2026-09-14) College Football September 19 Injury Report (2026-09-15)

• Eric Karner (TE) is out for the season for M-OH

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Tight end; the Sept. 15 injury roundup lists an undisclosed season-ending absence. College Football September 19 Injury Report (2026-09-15)

• Brady Simmons (WR) is out for the season for M-OH

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Wide receiver; the Sept. 15 injury roundup lists an undisclosed season-ending absence. College Football September 19 Injury Report (2026-09-15)

• Keith Reynolds (WR) is out for the season for M-OH

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Wide receiver; the Sept. 15 injury roundup lists an undisclosed season-ending absence. College Football September 19 Injury Report (2026-09-15)

SITUATIONAL

• CIN's third-down conversion rate is 23.8 percentage points higher

  23.8 PP

  M-OH is at 38.1% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; CIN is at 61.9% over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• M-OH's passing game is +78.5 yards per game

  78.5 YPG

  M-OH is at 248.5 team passing yards per game over 2 games; CIN is at 170 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.