LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels
O/U 58.5 · SPREAD LSU Tigers -7.5
The pick & result
- Published pick
- LSU Tigers -2.5 -122
- Published odds
- -122
- Result
- Lost
- Final score
- 24-32
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETMGM · 96 moves| Market | Opened Sep 13 10:15 AM | Close Sep 19 7:14 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | +½ |
| TOTAL | 58.5 (-108) | 58.5 (-108) | Holds |
| MONEYLINE | LSU Tigers -140 | LSU Tigers -145 | −5 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENSep 13 10:15 AM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -140 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 11:45 AM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 58.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 12:46 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-115) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -140 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 1:46 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 2:46 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-115) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -140 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 4:46 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -140 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 13 5:47 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 13 6:46 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 13 7:46 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-115) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 13 8:46 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-115) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 13 10:16 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-115) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 13 11:16 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-112) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 14 8:01 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-112) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 14 10:01 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-115) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 14 12:03 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 14 1:03 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 14 5:33 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 14 6:33 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 14 9:34 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-118) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 9:31 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 11:01 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 12:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 15 1:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 4:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 5:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 59.5 (-102) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 6:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 15 7:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 15 9:02 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 15 11:02 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 12:02 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 6:00 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -165 · Ole Miss Rebels +135 |
| Sep 16 7:01 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +135 |
| Sep 16 12:31 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +135 |
| Sep 16 2:31 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 3:32 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 4:32 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 5:18 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -160 · Ole Miss Rebels +135 |
| Sep 16 9:08 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-105) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 16 9:38 PM | LSU Tigers -1 (-110) | 56.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -115 · Ole Miss Rebels -102 |
| Sep 16 10:08 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 16 10:38 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 16 11:08 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 16 11:38 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 57.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 17 12:08 AM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 17 8:30 AM | LSU Tigers -2 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 9:31 AM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 10:31 AM | LSU Tigers -2 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 12:02 PM | LSU Tigers -2 (-118) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 1:32 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -130 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 2:32 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-108) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +110 |
| Sep 17 3:02 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-110) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 17 3:32 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-112) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -135 · Ole Miss Rebels +115 |
| Sep 17 5:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 17 6:01 PM | LSU Tigers -2.5 (-120) | 57.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 17 8:31 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 17 9:31 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-112) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 18 9:31 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 18 10:01 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 18 11:31 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 18 12:01 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 18 12:32 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 18 2:33 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 18 3:03 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-112) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 18 4:04 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 18 4:30 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 19 12:02 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 19 12:32 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 19 8:30 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-110) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 8:40 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 19 9:21 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 10:22 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -155 · Ole Miss Rebels +130 |
| Sep 19 10:42 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 11:15 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 11:27 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 11:50 AM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 12:24 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 12:37 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 12:48 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:15 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:18 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:28 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:30 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -150 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:37 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 1:48 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 2:32 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-115) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 4:00 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 4:07 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 4:21 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 5:22 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-112) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 5:45 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 6:13 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 6:15 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 6:30 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-110) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 6:43 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-105) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
| Sep 19 6:53 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| Sep 19 7:07 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-102) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +120 |
| CLOSESep 19 7:14 PM | LSU Tigers -3 (-108) | 58.5 (-108) | LSU Tigers -145 · Ole Miss Rebels +125 |
The read
Oxford gets a top-ten SEC showdown and Lane Kiffin’s first return as LSU’s head coach. The atmosphere carries plenty of emotion; the football question is whether Ole Miss can keep its offense moving against LSU’s disruptive defense.
That matchup puts me on LSU. Through two games this season, the Tigers have allowed an 18.9% offensive success rate, with 11 sacks and 22 tackles for loss. Ole Miss has allowed a 40.3% success rate while recording 4 sacks and 14 tackles for loss. Princewill Umanmielen’s 4.5 sacks give LSU a concrete threat to test the Rebels’ protection. My expectation is that LSU can interrupt more possessions and make Ole Miss work harder for its scoring chances.
There is an opening on the other side, too. Pete Golding publicly identified repeated secondary mistakes after both Ole Miss games. Sam Leavitt has been cleared to play, and LSU can attack with Trey’Dez Green, Winston Watkins Jr. and Eugene Wilson III. Leavitt’s 135 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns also show why evaluating this offense solely through his passing production would miss part of its threat.
The strongest objection is Ole Miss’s offensive execution. Trinidad Chambliss has completed 71.0% of his passes with 5 touchdowns and 1 interception; Leavitt has thrown 4 interceptions. The Rebels have also produced 5.357 points per scoring opportunity against LSU’s 3.905, measuring drives reaching the opponent’s 40. With Kewan Lacy and Deuce Alexander supporting Chambliss, Ole Miss has a credible path to winning through cleaner possessions and better finishing.
I respect that case, particularly because Ole Miss has faced the tougher schedule by the supplied schedule rankings. LSU’s defensive results are an early indication, not a guarantee against this offense. Still, I favor the combination of defensive disruption and receiving options against a secondary still correcting mistakes. That gives LSU a path to separation beyond simply surviving a close finish, so I’m taking the spread at the posted price.
Injuries noted
LSU Tigers: Phillip Wright III (out) — Wide receiver; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.; Jaiden Braker (out) — Linebacker/edge; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.; Raycine Guillory Jr. (out) — Running back; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.; TJ Dottery (questionable) — Starting linebacker and LSU's leading tackler through two games; remained questionable Friday. Condition was not disclosed.; Tylen Singleton (probable) — Reserve linebacker; upgraded from questionable to probable and remained probable Friday.; Davhon Keys (probable) — Linebacker; listed probable on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.; Aliou Bah (probable) — Offensive lineman; listed probable on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.
Ole Miss Rebels: Victor Lincoln Jr. (out) — Cornerback; listed out throughout the SEC reporting cycle. Condition was not disclosed.; Emanuel Faulkner (out) — Offensive lineman; listed out throughout the SEC reporting cycle. Condition was not disclosed.; Cedrick Beavers (doubtful) — Cornerback; initially probable before being downgraded on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed.; Makhi Frazier (probable) — Running back; upgraded from questionable to probable Thursday and remained probable Friday. Condition was not disclosed.; Tommy Kinsler IV (probable) — Offensive lineman; upgraded from questionable to probable on the Friday report. Condition was not disclosed.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
QUARTERBACK
Sam Leavitt is LSU's projected starter
8.70 Y/ASam Leavitt is LSU's projected starting quarterback. Leavitt, LSU's starter in the first two games, was removed from the Friday SEC availability report after progressing from doubtful to questionable. That clears him to play, but no explicit game-day starter declaration was located. 2026 line: 574 passing yards, 62.1% completions, 8.70 yards per attempt, 2-4 TD-INT over 2 games.
Trinidad Chambliss is MISS's projected starter
9.05 Y/ATrinidad Chambliss is MISS's projected starting quarterback. Ole Miss' game-week notes list Chambliss first at quarterback, and LSU's official preview identifies him as the sixth-year quarterback leading the Rebels. No explicit game-day starter announcement was located. 2026 line: 561 passing yards, 71.0% completions, 9.05 yards per attempt, 5-1 TD-INT over 2 games.
TRENCHES
LSU is +93.5 rush yards per game
93.5 YPGLSU is at 228 rushing yards per game over 2 games; MISS is at 134.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
LSU's front holds runners to 134 fewer yards per game
134 YPGLSU is at 18.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MISS is at 152.5 over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.
PACE & SCRIPT
LSU holds the ball 9:15 longer per game
9:15 TOPLSU is at 35:09 time of possession per game over 2 games; MISS is at 25:54 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
LSU's defense gives up 11.5 fewer points per game
11.5 PPGLSU is at 12 points allowed per game over 2 games; MISS is at 23.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
TURNOVERS
LSU's defense takes the ball away 1.5 more times per game
1.5 TOLSU is at 2 takeaways per game over 2 games; MISS is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.
MISS commits 1 fewer turnovers per game
1 TOLSU is at 2.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; MISS is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
MISMATCH
LSU's ground game against MISS's — 228 rush yards a game to 134.5
228 VS 134.5The widest gap on this matchup's tape: rush ypg — LSU 228, MISS 134.5, over 2 and 2 game samples.
COVERAGE
LSU's secondary gives up 119 fewer passing yards per game
119 YPGLSU is at 124 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MISS is at 243 over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.
LSU allows a third-down conversion rate 18.5 percentage points lower
18.5 PPLSU is at 14.8% third downs allowed over 2 games; MISS is at 33.3% over 2 games. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-18.
REPLACEMENT
Phillip Wright III (WR) is out for LSU
OUTWide receiver; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed. LSU QB Sam Leavitt cleared to play against Ole Miss (2026-09-17)
Jaiden Braker (LB) is out for LSU
OUTLinebacker/edge; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed. LSU QB Sam Leavitt cleared to play against Ole Miss (2026-09-17)
Raycine Guillory Jr. (RB) is out for LSU
OUTRunning back; remained out on the Friday SEC report. Condition was not disclosed. LSU QB Sam Leavitt cleared to play against Ole Miss (2026-09-17)
Victor Lincoln Jr. (CB) is out for MISS
OUTCornerback; listed out throughout the SEC reporting cycle. Condition was not disclosed. LSU QB Sam Leavitt listed doubtful in stunning development before Ole Miss showdown (2026-09-16) LSU upgrades Leavitt, Green, Weeks, Singleton on injury report vs. Ole Miss (2026-09-17)
Emanuel Faulkner (OL) is out for MISS
OUTOffensive lineman; listed out throughout the SEC reporting cycle. Condition was not disclosed. LSU QB Sam Leavitt listed doubtful in stunning development before Ole Miss showdown (2026-09-16) LSU upgrades Leavitt, Green, Weeks, Singleton on injury report vs. Ole Miss (2026-09-17)
SITUATIONAL
LSU's third-down conversion rate is 22.6 percentage points higher
22.6 PPLSU is at 57.6% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; MISS is at 35% over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
No. 7 LSU at No. 8 Ole Miss
#7 VS #8Both sides are 2-0 and both moved up a spot, with LSU at No. 7 on 1334 poll points and Ole Miss at No. 8 on 1216. LSU holds the only first-place vote between them. Voters have these two separated by one line, so the ranked side with more to lose is the one carrying the higher number into a road date.
LSU's fourth-down conversion rate is 50 percentage points higher
50 PPLSU is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; MISS is at 50% over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
LSU moves the chains 7.5 more times per game
7.5 FDLSU is at 32 first downs per game over 2 games; MISS is at 24.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored September 19, 2026 at 7:42 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, betmgm, fanduel, fanatics, betrivers, caesars.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
Props on this game
1- GARY'S PICKSAM LEAVITTRUSHING YARDS OVER 35.5
Leavitt has rushed for 135 yards on 23 attempts through two games, clearing this number by more than 30 yards per game on average. More importantly, the five rushing touchdowns show that his legs are a central part of LSU’s offense rather than an occasional escape hatch.
Ole Miss has allowed a 40.3% offensive success rate, and its acknowledged secondary mistakes should create chances for Leavitt to scramble when coverage stretches downfield. His four interceptions also give LSU reason to lean on designed quarterback runs and quicker decisions in a hostile road environment. College sack yardage creates downside, but 35.5 remains reachable on Leavitt’s established rushing volume, so I’m backing the over.
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