Georgia State Panthers at UCF Knights

Injuries noted

UCF Knights: Alonza Barnett III (out) — Starting quarterback suffered a hamstring injury on the penultimate offensive snap at Pittsburgh and is reported out for multiple weeks, including this game.; Duane Thomas Jr. (questionable) — Wide receiver was listed questionable with an undisclosed condition reported September 12; the September 17 flipcard still placed him atop one receiver position.

QUARTERBACK

• Cameran Brown is GAST's confirmed starter

  10.30 Y/A

  Cameran Brown is GAST's confirmed starting quarterback. Georgia State's current game notes explicitly identify Brown as the senior starting quarterback, and the September 17 flipcard lists him first at quarterback. 2026 line: 443 passing yards, 72.1% completions, 10.30 yards per attempt, 2-1 TD-INT over 2 games.

• Keyone Jenkins is UCF's projected starter

  6.62 Y/A

  Keyone Jenkins is UCF's projected starting quarterback. Alonza Barnett III is out with a significant hamstring injury. Scott Frost did not name his replacement; current reporting projects Jenkins, while UCF's September 17 flipcard lists Barnett, Jenkins, Kaleb Annett and Rocco Marriott with OR designations. 2025 prior-season line: 1742 passing yards, 62.4% completions, 6.62 yards per attempt, 9-6 TD-INT over 10 games for FIU.

TRENCHES

• GAST is +67 rush yards per game

  67 YPG

  GAST is at 257 rushing yards per game over 2 games; UCF is at 190 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

PACE & SCRIPT

• GAST holds the ball 9:20 longer per game

  9:20 TOP

  GAST is at 35:17 time of possession per game over 2 games; UCF is at 25:57 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• GAST @ UCF carries a 62.5 market total

  62.5

  The current fanduel total is 62.5, 7 points above the 55.5 median across 45 games with posted totals on this slate.

MISMATCH

• GAST's clock control — 35:17 of possession a game to UCF's 25:57

  35:17 VS 25:57

  The widest gap on this matchup's tape: possession — GAST 35:17, UCF 25:57, over 2 and 2 game samples.

REPLACEMENT

• Alonza Barnett III (QB) is out for UCF

  OUT

  Starting quarterback suffered a hamstring injury on the penultimate offensive snap at Pittsburgh and is reported out for multiple weeks, including this game. UCF turns to new QB as Knights host unbeaten Georgia State (2026-09-17) UCF OC Steve Cooper Getting New QB Ready for Week 3 (2026-09-18)

SITUATIONAL

• GAST's fourth-down conversion rate is 66.7 percentage points higher

  66.7 PP

  GAST is at 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; UCF is at 0% over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• GAST's passing game is +73 yards per game

  73 YPG

  GAST is at 266 team passing yards per game over 2 games; UCF is at 193 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.

• GAST moves the chains 8 more times per game

  8 FD

  GAST is at 25.5 first downs per game over 2 games; UCF is at 17.5 over 2 games. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-18.