Florida Gators at Auburn Tigers

The read

The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

All research from this day

• GARY'S PICK

  DALLAS WILSONRECEIVING YARDS OVER 55.5

  NCAAFFlorida· -118

  ✓ CASHED · ACTUAL 74

  GARY'S TAKE

  Wilson has produced 151 receiving yards through two games, clearing this number on a simple two-game average. More importantly, the matchup can push Florida toward him. Auburn’s defensive front is capable of disrupting the Gators’ preferred rushing approach, which should create additional passing volume for Aaron Philo. Wilson has already turned eight receptions into 151 yards, showing enough efficiency that he does not need a massive target count to reach 56. Vernell Brown III gives Florida another legitimate option, but that also makes it harder for Auburn to devote extra coverage to Wilson. I expect Florida to establish Baugh when possible, then use play action and intermediate throws to keep Wilson involved. The first road start for Philo and the limited two-game sample keep my confidence measured. Still, 55.5 is the better Wilson number on the menu, and his early role plus Florida’s likely need to throw against Auburn’s front make the over playable at -118.

  ×

  Dallas Wilson
  Receiving Yards over 55.5

  -118 · CASHED · ACTUAL 74

  Florida

  Read Gary’s Take

  Wilson has produced 151 receiving yards through two games, clearing this number on a simple two-game average. More importantly, the matchup can push Florida toward him. Auburn’s defensive front is capable of disrupting the Gators’ preferred rushing approach, which should create additional passing volume for Aaron Philo.

  Wilson has already turned eight receptions into 151 yards, showing enough efficiency that he does not need a massive target count to reach 56. Vernell Brown III gives Florida another legitimate option, but that also makes it harder for Auburn to devote extra coverage to Wilson. I expect Florida to establish Baugh when possible, then use play action and intermediate throws to keep Wilson involved.

  The first road start for Philo and the limited two-game sample keep my confidence measured. Still, 55.5 is the better Wilson number on the menu, and his early role plus Florida’s likely need to throw against Auburn’s front make the over playable at -118.

Every prop from this day is on the archive page.