Army Black Knights at Navy Midshipmen

TALE OF THE TAPE

Navy Midshipmen Army Black Knights Record - - Off Rating 434.8 ← 335.2 Def Rating 4386.0 → 3927.0 Net Rating 0.0 0.0 Key Injuries Jake Norr (Q) None

Gary's Take This one's interesting - the raw box score screams Navy, but the deeper profile says these two are basically equals. Navy moves the ball far better on paper (about 435 yards per game with nearly 300 on the ground and 38 rushing TDs), while Army is more modest (around 335 yards, 257 rushing, 25 scores). Navy also gets more out of its passing game (higher QB rating with more touchdown throws), yet the overall power numbers leave their net ratings essentially even.

Where this really tightens up is on defense. Army has allowed fewer total yards and less through the air overall (3927 vs 4386 total, 2309 vs 2811 passing), while Navy is a shade better against the run (1575 vs 1618 rushing yards allowed). In a rivalry built on option attacks and long, clock-chewing drives, that kind of defensive balance plus an even overall profile makes nearly a touchdown too many. Here's how I see it: Navy moves the ball, but Army's defense gets enough key stops to keep this inside one score. Lock it in: Army Black Knights +6.5 -115, with the main risk being a rare Navy runaway if Army's offense stalls and falls behind game script early.