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NCAAB · Thu, Feb 26 · 9:00 PM

Wichita State Shockers at Memphis Tigers

FedExForum

GARY'S PICK
Wichita State Shockers Moneyline
NCAAB@ Memphis Tigers· +104

Wichita State Shockers
Moneyline

+104 · CASHED · SHO 88 · TIG 82

Memphis Tigers

The pick & result

Published pick
Wichita State Shockers ML +104
Published odds
+104
Result
Won
Final score
88-82

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The read

Sometimes the data paints a picture of two teams simply moving in opposite directions, and that is the case tonight at FedExForum. Wichita State arrives in Memphis playing its best basketball of the season, riding a three-game win streak where the offense has clicked behind the elite scoring of Kenyon Giles. Conversely, Memphis is in a freefall, having lost four straight while surrendering 76 or more points in three of those contests. The Tigers look disjointed defensively, and the recent dismissal of Hasan Abdul Hakim adds to the sense of a roster in flux.

The biggest structural mismatch in this game is on the glass. Wichita State ranks 4th nationally in offensive rebounding percentage and has recorded at least 10 offensive boards in 22 consecutive games. This strength hits Memphis at its most vulnerable point. Tigers forward Aaron Bradshaw, their primary rim protector, is dealing with an elbow injury that limited him to just 48 seconds of action in his last outing. Without a healthy Bradshaw to clear the glass, Memphis has little answer for the Shockers' physicality. We already saw this dynamic play out in January when Wichita State dominated the first meeting by 15 points.

While Penny Hardaway's squad is desperate for a win at home, desperation doesn't fix a broken defense or heal a dislocated elbow. Kenyon Giles is the hottest scorer in the conference right now, posting four straight 20-point games, and he gives the Shockers the go-to weapon needed to close out a road win. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Shockers to complete the season sweep.

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Daily picks first stored February 26, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET.
Odds record
The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Source names were not retained with this pick.
Accountability
Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

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