NCAAB · Sat, Dec 13 · 5:30 PM

Kansas Jayhawks at NC State Wolfpack

Gary's pick

NC State Wolfpack ML-154

CONF 69%

Result

LLostFinal 77-76

The read

TALE OF THE TAPE

NC State Wolfpack Kansas Jayhawks Record (last 5) 0-5 ↔ 0-5 Shooting (eFG%) 58.9% ← 52.4% 3P Shooting 40.0% ← 34.0% Turnovers (per game) 10.2 ← 10.9 Off Rebounds (per game) 9.8 ← 9.4 FT Attempts (per game) 22.8 ← 21.3 Key Injuries None None

Gary's Take The public is going to load up on Kansas here, but NC State quietly has the cleaner profile. Both teams come in ice cold, winless in their last five, yet the Wolfpack still shoot it better from everywhere, especially from deep and in overall efficiency. The numbers don't lie – NC State owns the edge in effective field goal percentage, three-point accuracy, ball security, and extra chances on the offensive glass.

Here's how I see this playing out: NC State's guards spread the floor and force Kansas to chase on the perimeter, knocking down open threes and then living at the line when the closeouts get sloppy. That combination of superior shooting, fewer turnovers, and a small advantage in free throw volume should add up over forty minutes in their own building. Only way this misses is if Kansas suddenly flips the script from beyond the arc and erases that efficiency gap. Lock this in: NC State Wolfpack ML -154.

About this analysis

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Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Board stored December 13, 2025 at 11:34 AM ET.
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