Rockies at White Sox
O/U 8.5 · RL White Sox -1.5 · Rate Field
The pick & result
- Published pick
- Rockies ML +194
- Published odds
- +194
- Result
- Won
- Final score
- 9-6
Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.
The line
BETRIVERS · 13 moves| Market | Opened Sep 26 5:00 AM | Close Sep 26 6:55 PM | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | White Sox -1.5 (-127) | White Sox -2 (+102) | +½ |
| TOTAL | 8.5 (-107) | 8 (-129) | −½ |
| MONEYLINE | White Sox -235 | White Sox -230 | +5 |
Every move, in order ›
| When | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPENSep 26 5:00 AM | White Sox -1.5 (-127) | 8.5 (-107) | White Sox -235 · Rockies +190 |
| Sep 26 6:00 AM | White Sox -1.5 (-124) | 8 (-127) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +185 |
| Sep 26 11:00 AM | White Sox -1.5 (-124) | 8 (-121) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +185 |
| Sep 26 2:07 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-125) | 8.5 (-105) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +188 |
| Sep 26 2:37 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-130) | 8.5 (-107) | White Sox -235 · Rockies +190 |
| Sep 26 3:35 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-129) | 8 (-122) | White Sox -235 · Rockies +190 |
| Sep 26 3:55 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-134) | 8 (-127) | White Sox -245 · Rockies +200 |
| Sep 26 4:17 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-134) | 8 (-117) | White Sox -245 · Rockies +200 |
| Sep 26 4:30 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-134) | 8 (-125) | White Sox -245 · Rockies +200 |
| Sep 26 4:30 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-134) | 8 (-125) | White Sox -245 · Rockies +200 |
| Sep 26 4:39 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-129) | 8.5 (-105) | White Sox -235 · Rockies +190 |
| Sep 26 5:20 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-125) | 8 (-129) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +188 |
| Sep 26 6:15 PM | White Sox -1.5 (-125) | 8 (-129) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +188 |
| CLOSESep 26 6:55 PM | White Sox -2 (+102) | 8 (-129) | White Sox -230 · Rockies +188 |
The read
The Rockies and White Sox meet again at Rate Field, with Chicago still chasing the division and Colorado looking to answer Friday’s loss. I’m taking Colorado at +194 because its pitching options after Jose Quintana make this a more competitive matchup than the underdog price suggests. Ryan Feltner has five full days off and has allowed one earned run across 12 relief innings. That sample is small, but his demonstrated ability to cover multiple innings matters here. Quintana does not have to carry the entire pitching assignment for Colorado to stay competitive.
Chicago’s late innings also require some judgment. Grant Taylor, Bryan Hudson and Hagen Smith all pitched yesterday. Taylor needed only 17 pitches and Hudson 13, so I would not label either unavailable. Still, Taylor has returned the next day after comparable workloads in four of 17 opportunities. Chicago has rested alternatives, but assuming its strongest relief sequence would overstate the certainty. Colorado has Brennan Bernardino coming off just three pitches, Jordan Romano with a full day off, and Feltner as a possible bridge. My read is that Colorado has enough usable pitching to give its offense a legitimate opportunity to decide this game.
The strongest argument against this ticket is Chicago’s starting advantage and the favorable left-handed pitching matchups for Miguel Vargas and Randal Grichuk. Davis Martin has the stronger season performance, and Colorado could fall behind before its relief depth matters. I’m accepting that risk because Martin’s latest outing also ended at 70 pitches, while Hunter Goodman and TJ Rumfield have documented production away from Coors Field. Martin’s 4.66 xERA against a 3.84 ERA adds a price caution: paying heavily for the ERA alone would overvalue that number. It does not predict tonight’s performance. At +194, Colorado’s credible bulk relief and middle-order offense make the upset worth backing.
The research
The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.
STARTER FORM
Davis Martin: 0.60 ERA over his last 3 starts
0.60Martin has allowed almost nothing over his last 3 starts and 15 innings, with a 1.13 WHIP against a 1.29 season mark and 10 strikeouts. Three starts is a small sample next to a 3.84 season ERA, which is where most lines still price him against Colorado.
COOLING OFF
Tristan Peters: .400 OPS in Last 15 Days
.400Peters has a .400 OPS over only 32 AB, well below his .785 season baseline. A sample that thin swings hard on a couple of hits, so this looks more like noise than a new level. Against the White Sox, give the season mark most of the weight.
STREAK
COL have lost 5 straight
L5Colorado has lost five straight and been outscored by 17 runs in that stretch, with 2-8 over the last 10. The run margin says these losses came on merit. Against the White Sox, that poor 10-game form has to be weighed against the price a slumping road team gets.
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Daily picks first stored September 26, 2026 at 8:07 AM ET.
- Odds record
- The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, fanatics, draftkings, caesars, betmgm, betrivers.
- Accountability
- Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.
Props on this game
2- GARY'S PICKDAVIS MARTINPITCHER WALKS OVER 0.5
I’m taking Martin to walk at least one batter at over 0.5 walks, priced at -156. He has issued a walk in each of his last five starts, and Colorado’s lineup includes TJ Rumfield, who has drawn 72 walks this season. Martin remains Chicago’s scheduled starter, so I expect him to get a fair chance to face that lineup. The strongest concern is his right calf: it cut his last outing short at 70 pitches, and another early exit would leave fewer chances for a walk.
- GARY'S PICKADAEL AMADORTOTAL BASES OVER 0.5
I’m taking Amador to record at least one total base at over 0.5, priced at -137. He is batting sixth tonight, higher than his usual spot, and had a double in each of the two games before Friday. That gives him a plausible path to a hit against right-hander Davis Martin without needing to count on extra-base power. The concern is substantial: Amador went hitless in Friday’s opener, his major league sample covers only 25 games, and Martin has allowed just one earned run over his last three starts.
Every prop from this day is on the archive page.
Every pick posts before the game and is graded after, in public. My Book on this website lets you tail or fade listed calls and keeps your record separately labeled; Gary is also available as a native iOS app.
Get Gary on the App StoreEvery MLB game this dayThe MLB recordToday's MLB picksEvery sport this day