Astros at Angels
O/U 8.5 · RL Astros -1.5 · Angel Stadium
Angels ML+102
CONF 68%
WCashedFinal 1-10
The read
A warm evening in southern California sets the stage at Angel Stadium as the Los Angeles Angels look to bounce back against the Houston Astros in this crucial divisional matchup. While the Astros got the upper hand in yesterday's extra-inning thriller, tonight presents a prime opportunity to back the home underdog on the moneyline. The starting pitching matchup represents a distinct advantage for the Angels with Walbert Ureña on the hill. Ureña has been spectacular over his last five starts, posting a 2.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts over 28.0 innings, and he has been particularly dominant at home, allowing only eight earned runs in 34 innings at Angel Stadium. In contrast, Astros starter Kai-Wei Teng has shown signs of regression over his last five starts, pitching to a 3.75 ERA and struggling with command by issuing 14 walks in 24.0 innings.
The biggest case against backing the Angels tonight is their depleted bullpen, anchored by Jordan Romano and his 10.13 ERA, combined with an injury-thinned lineup. However, the Astros' offense is also dealing with a massive fresh blow after losing their hottest hitter, LaMonte Wade Jr., to a hamstring injury yesterday. Wade Jr.'s absence—and his 1.135 OPS—leaves a major void in the middle of Houston's lineup. This allows Ureña to attack a less threatening group, neutralizing some of the power from Yordan Alvarez and Christian Walker. Meanwhile, the Angels' offense features hot hands like Jose Siri, who is batting .375 with a 1.068 OPS over his last 32 at-bats, and Wade Meckler, who has been highly productive at home with a .579 average.
Ultimately, this is a spot where the market is slightly overpricing the Astros due to team records, but Ureña's home dominance and Teng's control issues tip the scales. Back the Angels to grind out a victory behind their young ace at home.
Injuries noted
Angels: [NEW] Jack Kochanowicz (SP) — Elbow (Right): Kochanowicz will undergo Tommy John surgery, Erica Weston of Bally Sports West reports. (Jun 9 — 0d ago) [NEW] Yoan Moncada (3B) — Knee (Right): Moncada will require surgery on his right knee, Francys Romero of BeisbolFR.com reports. (Jun 8 — 0d ago) [NEW] Adam Frazier (2B) — Elbow (Right): Frazier is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the White Sox. (Jun 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Vaughn Grissom (2B) — Oblique (Left): The Angels placed Grissom on the 10-day injured list Monday with a left oblique strain. (Jun 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Gustavo Campero (Right Fielder) — Hand (Right): The Angels selected Campero's contract from Double-A Rocket City and placed him on the 10-day injured list Saturday due to a fractured hand. (Jun 6 — 3d ago) [NEW] Jorge Soler (DH) — Oblique (Left): The Angels placed Soler (oblique) on the 10-day injured list Saturday (retroactive to June 4). (Jun 6 — 3d ago) [KNOWN] Travis d'Arnaud (C) — Foot (Right): D'Arnaud (foot) told reporters Saturday that he does not have a timetable for his return from the 10-day injured list, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports. (Jun 3 — 6d ago) [KNOWN] Yusei Kikuchi (SP) — Shoulder (Left): Kikuchi (shoulder) said Wednesday that he's slated to begin a throwing program soon and expressed hope that he'll be able to return to the Angels early in the second half of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports. (May 22 — 18d ago) Astros: [KNOWN] Grae Kessinger (Third Baseman) — Hamstring (Left): no (May 13 — 27d ago) [NEW] Yainer Diaz (C) — Oblique (Left): Diaz (oblique) is starting a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (Jun 9 — 0d ago) [NEW] LaMonte Wade Jr. (1B) — Hamstring (Right): Wade left Monday's game against the Angels with right hamstring soreness, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports. (Jun 9 — 0d ago) [NEW] Nick Allen (SS) — Hamstring (Left): Allen was removed from Sunday's game against the Athletics due to left hamstring discomfort. (Jun 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Hunter Brown (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Brown (shoulder) will make his next start at Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports. (Jun 6 — 3d ago) [KNOWN] Bennett Sousa (RP) — Elbow (Left): The Astros announced Friday that Sousa (elbow) has begun a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (Jun 4 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Lance McCullers Jr. (SP) — Shoulder (Right): The Astros announced Friday that McCullers (shoulder) began a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (Jun 4 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Cristian Javier (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Javier (shoulder) recorded two outs -- both via strikeout -- and was charged with two earned runs on two hits and two walks in a rehab start Wednesday with Double-A Corpus Christi. (Jun 4 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Braden Shewmake (SS) — Thigh (Right): Shewmake (groin) is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Brewers, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports. (Jun 2 — 7d ago) [KNOWN] Carlos Correa (SS) — Ankle (Left): Correa is scheduled to undergo surgery Monday in Houston to repair the tendon in his left ankle, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports. (Jun 2 — 7d ago)
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