Rockies at Dodgers
O/U 8.5 · RL Dodgers -1.5 · Dodger Stadium
Dodgers -1.5-152
CONF 85%
WCashedFinal 3-5
The read
Welcome to Dodger Stadium on this Memorial Day evening, where the lights are bright and the hometown Dodgers look to feast on a reeling Rockies squad. The mismatch on the mound tonight is simply too severe to ignore. Colorado is forced to hand the ball to Tanner Gordon for a spot start, a low-velocity reliever who relies on a 91-mph fastball and enters with a 6.59 ERA after getting shelled for seven earned runs in his last bulk appearance. That profile is a disaster waiting to happen against a Los Angeles lineup that thrives on middle-in strikes and hard contact. On the other side, Emmet Sheehan boasts a 3.72 ERA at home and elite swing-and-miss stuff, having fanned 51 batters in 45.2 innings, giving the Dodgers a massive floor in run prevention.
The top of the Dodgers' lineup is built specifically to dismantle right-handed pitching like Gordon. Shohei Ohtani comes into this series scorching hot with a 1.136 OPS over his last week, and he already owns a 7-for-13 career mark with a pair of home runs against Gordon. Backed by Freddie Freeman and Kyle Tucker, this group of elite left-handed bats should generate heavy early traffic. Meanwhile, the Rockies' offense just suffered a massive blow with the fresh loss of Mickey Moniak to an ankle injury. Stripped of their most productive bat against righties, Colorado severely lacks the firepower to keep pace in a high-scoring environment.
Even if Gordon miraculously navigates the early innings, the bullpens heavily favor Los Angeles. The Dodgers can deploy Tanner Scott, who carries a microscopic 1.25 ERA and 0.60 WHIP, to completely neutralize the back third of the game. Colorado’s late-inning options, highlighted by Victor Vodnik and his 8.00 ERA, simply do not have the swing-and-miss capabilities to survive late traffic at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers (33-20) are 8-2 over their last ten games and 23-7 against the Rockies (20-34) at home over the last three seasons. Given the glaring pitching discrepancy and Colorado's depleted outfield, taking the Dodgers to cover the run line is the clear play.
Injuries noted
Dodgers: [NEW] Edwin Diaz (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): Diaz (elbow) is expected to start a throwing progression Tuesday or Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. (May 25 — 0d ago) [NEW] Max Muncy (3B) — Wrist (Right): Muncy (wrist) remains out of the lineup for Monday's contest versus the Rockies. (May 25 — 0d ago) [NEW] Tyler Glasnow (SP) — Back (Not Specified): Glasnow (back) played catch Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. (May 25 — 0d ago) [NEW] Brock Stewart (RP) — Foot (Left): Stewart (foot) has started a throwing program, per MLB.com. (May 22 — 3d ago) [KNOWN] Blake Snell (SP) — Elbow (Left): Snell (elbow) will undergo the same "nano scope" procedure Tuesday that Tarik Skubal had earlier in May, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports. (May 18 — 6d ago) [KNOWN] Ben Casparius (Relief Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Casparius (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day injured list Monday. (May 18 — 6d ago) [KNOWN] Jack Dreyer (RP) — Shoulder (Left): The Dodgers placed Dreyer on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to left shoulder discomfort. (May 17 — 8d ago) [KNOWN] Landon Knack (Starting Pitcher) — Chest (Not Specified): The Dodgers transferred Knack (chest) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday. (May 8 — 17d ago) [KNOWN] Gavin Stone (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com. (May 8 — 17d ago) Rockies: [NEW] Jose Quintana (SP) — Elbow (Left): Quintana will head back to Denver for an MRI on his left elbow, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports. (May 25 — 0d ago) [NEW] Mickey Moniak (LF) — Ankle (Right): Moniak is not in the starting lineup Thursday night against Arizona. (May 22 — 2d ago) [KNOWN] Brenton Doyle (CF) — Oblique (Left): The Rockies announced that Doyle is considered day-to-day after suffering a left oblique contusion during Tuesday's 10-0 loss to the Rangers, Manny Randhawa of MLB.com reports. (May 21 — 4d ago) [KNOWN] Chase Dollander (SP) — Elbow (Right): Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer said Wednesday that Dollander (elbow) will be shut down from throwing for the next 2-to-3 weeks, MLB.com reports. (May 20 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Victor Vodnik (RP) — Elbow (Right): Vodnik (1-2) picked up the win in Friday's 9-7 extra-innings victory over the Phillies, walking one and striking out two over two scoreless, no-hit innings. (May 20 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Ryan Feltner (Starting Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): Feltner (elbow) struck out four and allowed three hits and no walks over 3.2 scoreless innings in a rehab start Tuesday with Double-A Hartford. (May 20 — 5d ago) [KNOWN] Jordan Beck (LF) — Hamstring (Left): Beck went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI on Saturday against Atlanta. (May 18 — 7d ago) [KNOWN] Jimmy Herget (RP) — Shoulder (Right): The Rockies reinstated Herget (personal) from the bereavement list Tuesday. (May 14 — 11d ago)
About this analysis
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- Board stored May 25, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET.
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Props on this game
2Shohei OhtaniOVER 1.5 Total Bases Total Bases-120
WActual 2
Shohei Ohtani enters this matchup in elite form, batting .381 over the last week with four home runs in his last 10 games. The matchup against Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is statistically one-sided; Ohtani has historically dominated Gordon, posting a .538 batting average and two home runs in 13 career plate appearances.
Gordon's profile—a high 6.59 ERA and a low-velocity fastball (91.6 mph)—is particularly vulnerable to Ohtani’s elite exit velocity and slugging profile. Batting leadoff at home, Ohtani is guaranteed maximum plate appearances, providing multiple opportunities to clear this line with a single extra-base hit or two singles.
Given Gordon's tendency to allow contact and Ohtani's specific history against him, the over on total bases is the strongest play for the Dodgers' superstar.
Andy PagesOVER 1.5 H+R+RBI H+R+RBI-130
WActual 3
Andy Pages has established himself as the hottest hand in the Dodgers' middle order, hitting .367 over his last 10 games with 11 hits and 6 RBIs. Tonight, he occupies the cleanup spot, batting fourth behind the 'Big Three' of Ohtani, Betts, and Freeman.
This positioning provides him with a high floor for RBIs, as those three consistently reach base (Ohtani .381 last week, Freeman 9 RBIs last 10 games). Facing Tanner Gordon, who struggles with a 1.50 WHIP and has surrendered 18 runs over his last 13.1 innings of work, the Dodgers' offense is expected to generate significant traffic.
Pages only needs a combination of two hits, runs, or RBIs to clear this line—a task he has frequently accomplished during this current hot streak. The volume floor provided by his lineup spot and the quality of the surrounding hitters makes this a high-probability over in a projected high-scoring environment.
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