Yankees at Brewers
O/U 7.5 · RL Yankees -1.5 · American Family Field
Yankees ML-136
CONF 78%
LLostFinal 3-4
The read
The bright lights of American Family Field are shining on a classic bounce-back spot tonight as the Yankees look to respond to their first shutout loss of the season. After being silenced in the series opener, expect the New York bats to wake up against left-hander Kyle Harrison, who is facing a lineup specifically constructed to dismantle southpaws.
The statistical advantage for New York starts with their proficiency against left-handed pitching. Ben Rice has been a revelation with a 1.283 OPS against lefties, and Aaron Judge remains a nightmare matchup with a 1.072 OPS in the same split. Harrison has been effective but inefficient, failing to reach the fifth inning in two of his last five starts. If Harrison’s pitch count climbs early against this disciplined Yankees order, Milwaukee will be forced to rely on a middle relief unit that is currently missing key arms like Angel Zerpa and Jared Koenig. The Brewers’ bullpen depth is further compromised after utilizing Shane Drohan for 43 pitches yesterday, likely leaving them thin in the middle innings.
On the mound for New York (26-13), Cam Schlittler is pitching with elite momentum. He recently touched 101.3 mph on his fastball and has maintained a stellar 1.17 ERA on the road this season. Unlike Harrison, Schlittler consistently provides length, averaging over six innings per start recently, which bridges the gap perfectly to a fully rested high-leverage bullpen featuring David Bednar and Ryan Yarbrough. With a razor-thin 0.5-game lead in the AL East, the Yankees have every motivation to avoid a second straight loss to the Brewers (20-16), while Milwaukee must navigate the fresh absence of outfielder Brandon Lockridge. Given the Yankees' league-leading home run power and Schlittler’s rising velocity, the road favorites are positioned to even the series.
Injuries noted
Brewers: [NEW] Brandon Lockridge (LF) — Knee (Right): Lockridge is expected to get an MRI on his injured right knee once swelling subsides, Jack Stern of BrewerFanatic.com reports. (May 9 — 0d ago) [NEW] Jared Koenig (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Left): Koenig (elbow) is slated to resume a throwing program Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Brandon Woodruff (SP) — Shoulder (Right): Woodruff is tentatively slated to resume throwing Saturday after undergoing a minor procedure Tuesday to drain fluid from his inflamed right shoulder, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Christian Yelich (Left Fielder) — Groin (Left): Yelich (groin) is expected to progress to facing live pitching and running the bases early next week, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Akil Baddoo (Left Fielder) — Quadriceps (Left): The Brewers placed Baddoo (quadriceps) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Rob Zastryzny (Relief Pitcher) — Ribs (Left): The Brewers transferred Zastryzny (shoulder/ribs) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Angel Zerpa (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Left): Zerpa will undergo UCL reconstruction on his left elbow next week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) Yankees: [NEW] Jasson Dominguez (LF) — Shoulder (Left): Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that Dominguez will miss "a few weeks" after an MRI revealed a low-grade AC joint sprain in his left shoulder, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Angel Chivilli (Relief Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Chivilli (shoulder) will be shut down from throwing for roughly three weeks, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Giancarlo Stanton (Designated Hitter) — Calf (Right): Stanton (calf) has not been cleared to resume running, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Gerrit Cole (Starting Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Wednesday that Cole (elbow) is expected to need a "couple more" rehab starts before being activated from the 15-day injured list, David Lennon of Newsday reports. (May 8 — 1d ago) [NEW] Ryan Weathers (SP) — Illness: The Yankees placed Weathers on the paternity list Wednesday. (May 8 — 1d ago)
About this analysis
- Who made it
- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Board stored May 9, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET.
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- The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, fanatics, caesars, draftkings, betmgm, betrivers.
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Props on this game
2Ben RiceOVER 1.5 H+R+RBI H+R+RBI+100
LActual 0
Ben Rice is currently the most productive hitter in the Yankees lineup, posting a .355 average with 4 home runs and 12 RBIs over his last 10 games. Despite the left-on-left matchup against Kyle Harrison, Rice has demonstrated significant reverse splits this season, slashing .355 with a 1.283 OPS against southpaws. Batting in the #2 spot ahead of Aaron Judge, Rice is guaranteed high-volume plate appearances and will benefit from the protection of the league's leading home run hitter behind him. He has cleared this 1.5 HRR line in 80% of his last 10 outings, making the even-money price highly attractive.
Cam SchlittlerOVER 17.5 Pitcher Outs Pitcher Outs+100
WActual 18
Cam Schlittler has been the Yankees' most reliable 'innings eater' in the early 2026 season, averaging nearly 6 innings per outing. His elite 0.87 WHIP is the primary factor here, as he rarely allows the base-runners that typically inflate pitch counts and force early exits.
He has completed at least 6.0 full innings (18 outs) in three of his last four starts, including an 8-inning masterpiece. He faces a Brewers lineup that struck out 11 times yesterday and lacks the high-walk profile that usually troubles efficient righties.
With the Yankees looking to conserve their bullpen after a shutout loss, Schlittler will be given a long leash to navigate through the 6th inning.
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