Dodgers at Astros
O/U 8.5 · RL Dodgers -1.5 · Daikin Park
Dodgers -1.5-128
CONF 85%
LLostFinal 1-2
The read
It is a high-stakes rubber match at Daikin Park as the powerhouse Dodgers look to clinch the series against a battered Astros squad that just lost its heartbeat with the season-ending injury to Carlos Correa. While Houston managed to scrap together a win yesterday, the circumstances for this finale have shifted dramatically in favor of the visitors from Los Angeles.
The pitching mismatch here is about as wide as you will see in a mid-season series. Tyler Glasnow is pitching at a Cy Young level, carrying a 0.83 WHIP and an elite 2.40 expected ERA through six starts. He faces an Astros lineup that is currently a shell of itself. The loss of Correa yesterday, combined with the fresh absence of catcher Yainer Diaz and the continued absence of Jeremy Peña, leaves Houston with a middle-of-the-order vacuum. Beyond Yordan Alvarez and Christian Walker, there simply isn't enough firepower to consistently threaten a pitcher of Glasnow’s caliber, especially given that current Astros hitters have historically struggled to even make contact against him.
On the other side, Lance McCullers Jr. is in a tailspin, posting an 8.16 ERA over his last three starts while surrendering five home runs to left-handed hitters in that span. That is a fatal flaw against this Dodgers construction. Los Angeles is rolling out seven left-handed or switch-hitters today, including Shohei Ohtani and the white-hot Dalton Rushing, who is carrying a 1.155 OPS. Perhaps most concerning for Houston is the defensive situation; McCullers is a ground-ball specialist now pitching behind a makeshift middle infield of Brice Matthews and Braden Shewmake. With a rested bullpen featuring Tanner Scott and Alex Vesia ready to back up Glasnow, the Dodgers (22-14) are the clear side to take over the struggling Astros (15-22).
Injuries noted
Astros: [NEW] Carlos Correa (SS) — Ankle (Left): The Astros placed Correa (ankle) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday. (May 6 — 0d ago) [NEW] Tatsuya Imai (SP) — Arm (Right): Astros general manager Dana Brown said Tuesday that Imai (arm) will rejoin the rotation next week versus the Mariners, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (May 6 — 0d ago) [NEW] Yainer Diaz (C) — Oblique (Left): The Astros placed Diaz (oblique) on the 10-day injured list Tuesday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports. (May 5 — 0d ago) [NEW] Taylor Trammell (Left Fielder) — Groin (Left): The Astros announced Monday that Trammell (groin) has begun a running progression in addition to taking part in light baseball activity, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports. (May 5 — 1d ago) [NEW] Joey Loperfido (Left Fielder) — Quadriceps (Right): The Astros announced Monday that Loperfido (quadriceps) has started light running and light baseball activity, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports. (May 5 — 1d ago) [NEW] Cristian Javier (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): The Astros announced Monday that Javier (shoulder) will begin a throwing progression this week, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports. (May 5 — 1d ago) [NEW] Jeremy Pena (Shortstop) — Hamstring (Right): Pena (hamstring) could begin a rehab assignment this weekend, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (May 4 — 1d ago) [NEW] Hunter Brown (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Brown (shoulder) could throw a bullpen session as soon as this weekend, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports. (May 4 — 1d ago) [NEW] Jake Meyers (Center Fielder) — Oblique (Right): The Astros announced Monday that Meyers (oblique) has started swinging a bat and reincorporating other baseball activities, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports. (May 4 — 1d ago) Dodgers: [NEW] Mookie Betts (Shortstop) — Oblique (Right): Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Monday that Betts (oblique) is on track to face live pitching in a simulated game Thursday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. (May 5 — 0d ago) [KNOWN] Edwin Diaz (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): Diaz said Monday that he's feeling "really good" following right elbow surgery and expressed confidence that he will be back to full strength in the second half of the season, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports. (Apr 30 — 6d ago) [KNOWN] Landon Knack (Starting Pitcher) — Chest (Not Specified): The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. (Apr 28 — 7d ago) [KNOWN] Ben Casparius (Relief Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports. (Apr 13 — 22d ago) [KNOWN] Gavin Stone (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com. (Apr 3 — 32d ago)
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