Mets at Angels
O/U 9 · RL Mets -1.5 · Angel Stadium
Mets ML-112
CONF 62%
WCashedFinal 4-3
The read
Two teams currently residing in the basement of their respective divisions look for a fresh start in Anaheim as the calendar flips to May. This series opener features a high-velocity clash between young right-handers Christian Scott and Walbert Ureña, both of whom are searching for their first win of 2026 amid a landscape of struggling bullpens and cold bats.
The value sits with the Mets tonight, primarily because of the extreme instability in the Angels' pitching infrastructure. While the Mets’ 10-21 record is difficult to ignore, the Angels (12-20) are currently enduring a complete systemic collapse on the mound, characterized by a six-game losing streak and four consecutive blown saves. Walbert Ureña’s 2.21 WHIP suggests he is pitching on a house of cards; you simply cannot survive at the major league level allowing that much traffic. The Mets’ offense has been anemic, but their contact metrics remain elite, posting a 52.6% hard-hit rate over their last three games. Against a pitcher like Ureña, who has specifically struggled against right-handed hitters by allowing a .344 average, this is a prime "get right" spot for veterans like Bo Bichette and Marcus Semien to finally capitalize on the traffic.
While Christian Scott’s season debut was a command nightmare featuring five walks in just over an inning, he remains a blue-chip prospect with a documented history of dominance in the minors. The Angels’ bullpen situation is the ultimate tiebreaker here; after the recent release of their projected closer and multiple injuries to high-leverage arms, they are effectively auditioning relief pitchers in late-inning spots. Facing a Mets lineup that features Juan Soto—who is currently torching right-handed pitching with a 1.280 OPS—the Angels are asking too much of a rookie starter and a shattered relief corps. Expect the Mets' superior underlying contact metrics and the Angels' total lack of late-inning reliability to be the difference-maker tonight.
Injuries noted
Angels: [NEW] Hans Crouse (Relief Pitcher) — Undisclosed (Not Specified): no (Apr 28 — 3d ago) [NEW] Alek Manoah (Starting Pitcher) — Finger (Right): Manoah (finger) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Saturday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports. (May 1 — 0d ago) [NEW] Yusei Kikuchi (SP) — Shoulder (Left): Kikuchi was lifted from his start Wednesday against the White Sox prior to the bottom of the third inning due to left shoulder tightness. He struck out a batter and allowed two hits and one walk over two scoreless frames before departing. (Apr 29 — 2d ago) [KNOWN] Logan O'Hoppe (Catcher) — Wrist (Left): O'Hoppe said Monday that the fracture in his left wrist is small and he believes he will return from the injured list in a "couple of weeks," Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports. (Apr 27 — 4d ago) [KNOWN] Kirby Yates (Relief Pitcher) — Knee (Left): Yates (knee) has made three minor-league rehab outings since April 17, giving up a combined seven runs on seven hits while posting a 5:1 K:BB over three innings. (Apr 27 — 4d ago) [KNOWN] Grayson Rodriguez (Starting Pitcher) — Shoulder (Right): Rodriguez (shoulder) threw to live hitters in Arizona on Friday, and the Angels are evaluating how he came out of that session before determining the next step in his throwing program, Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register reports. (Apr 27 — 4d ago) [KNOWN] Ryan Johnson (Starting Pitcher) — Hamstring (Not Specified): Johnson (hamstring/illness) has resumed playing catch and is close to throwing a bullpen session, per MLB.com. (Apr 22 — 9d ago) Mets: [NEW] Joey Gerber (Relief Pitcher) — Finger (Right): Gerber (finger) struck out two and allowed two hits over a scoreless inning during his rehab appearance Tuesday at Triple-A Syracuse. (Apr 30 — 1d ago) [NEW] Jorge Polanco (Second Baseman) — Wrist (Right): Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns said last Friday that Polanco (wrist/Achilles) has resumed performing baseball activities but is considered week-to-week in his recovery from a pair of injuries, SNY.tv reports. (Apr 30 — 1d ago) [NEW] Luis Robert Jr. (Center Fielder) — Back (Not Specified): The Mets are expected to place Robert (back) on the 10-day injured list, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports. (Apr 30 — 1d ago) [NEW] Kodai Senga (Starting Pitcher) — Back (Not Specified): The Mets placed Senga on the 15-day injured list Tuesday due to lumbar spine inflammation. (Apr 28 — 3d ago) [KNOWN] Francisco Lindor (Shortstop) — Calf (Left): Lindor (calf) will wear a boot for the next week and remain shut down for at least three weeks, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports. (Apr 24 — 7d ago) [KNOWN] Kevin Herget (Relief Pitcher) — Undisclosed: Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports. (Apr 18 — 13d ago) [KNOWN] Jared Young (First Baseman) — Knee (Left): The Mets placed Young on the 10-day injured list Wednesday, retroactive to Monday, due to a meniscus tear in his left knee. (Apr 15 — 16d ago) [KNOWN] Justin Hagenman (Relief Pitcher) — Ribs: The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture. (Mar 14 — 48d ago) [KNOWN] Dedniel Nunez (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): The Mets transferred Nunez (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday. (Feb 15 — 75d ago) [KNOWN] Tylor Megill (Starting Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): The Mets and Megill (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.5 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports. (Feb 12 — 78d ago) [KNOWN] Reed Garrett (Relief Pitcher) — Elbow (Right): The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday. (Feb 10 — 80d ago)
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