Sports Picks Archive — Monday, June 8, 2026

Game picks

GARY'S PICK

MLB@ Orioles· -132

We are live under the lights at Camden Yards as the division-leading Seattle Mariners look to kick off a crucial four-game set against a Baltimore Orioles squad battling to stay afloat in the AL East. While Baltimore has historically been tough at home, tonight’s matchup offers a clear tactical edge for the visitors at a very reasonable price. The market is overpaying for a fragile number on the Orioles' side tonight. Trey Gibson’s surface-level 3.65 ERA masks a highly volatile 1.62 WHIP and an alarming 7.20 xERA over his first two starts, indicating he has been incredibly fortunate to escape disaster. The Mariners are perfectly built to break this high-wire act, particularly through their platoon advantages. Gibson has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters, allowing a .300 AVG and an .831 OPS. Seattle's lineup features five lefties, including Luke Raley and Josh Naylor, who are primed to exploit Gibson's sinker-heavy approach. Furthermore, the Orioles are sliding Sam Huff behind the plate tonight, a massive defensive downgrade from Adley Rutschman. Huff has not registered a single caught stealing this season, giving Seattle's baserunners a green light to run wild and avoid the double plays Gibson desperately relies on to survive. The strongest argument for the Orioles is their explosive right-handed power, led by Pete Alonso (13 home runs, 40 RBIs) and Taylor Ward, especially against Emerson Hancock, whose 4.17 xERA is significantly higher than his shiny 2.80 ERA. However, Hancock has been exceptional in his recent form, registering a 1.96 ERA over his last four starts. Hancock’s reverse-split dominance—limiting left-handed hitters to a .197 AVG and .602 OPS—effectively mutes Baltimore's dangerous left-handed core of Gunnar Henderson and Colton Cowser. Additionally, with 11 mph winds blowing in from Right Field, the environment will naturally suppress left-handed home run distance while favoring Hancock's fly-ball tendencies at Camden Yards. Back Seattle's superior starting pitching and tactical matchups to secure the road win.

The market is overpaying for a fragile number on the Orioles' side tonight. Trey Gibson’s surface-level 3.65 ERA masks a highly volatile 1.62 WHIP and an alarming 7.20 xERA over his first two starts, indicating he has been incredibly fortunate to escape disaster. The Mariners are perfectly built to break this high-wire act, particularly through their platoon advantages. Gibson has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters, allowing a .300 AVG and an .831 OPS. Seattle's lineup features five lefties, including Luke Raley and Josh Naylor, who are primed to exploit Gibson's sinker-heavy approach. Furthermore, the Orioles are sliding Sam Huff behind the plate tonight, a massive defensive downgrade from Adley Rutschman. Huff has not registered a single caught stealing this season, giving Seattle's baserunners a green light to run wild and avoid the double plays Gibson desperately relies on to survive.

The strongest argument for the Orioles is their explosive right-handed power, led by Pete Alonso (13 home runs, 40 RBIs) and Taylor Ward, especially against Emerson Hancock, whose 4.17 xERA is significantly higher than his shiny 2.80 ERA. However, Hancock has been exceptional in his recent form, registering a 1.96 ERA over his last four starts. Hancock’s reverse-split dominance—limiting left-handed hitters to a .197 AVG and .602 OPS—effectively mutes Baltimore's dangerous left-handed core of Gunnar Henderson and Colton Cowser. Additionally, with 11 mph winds blowing in from Right Field, the environment will naturally suppress left-handed home run distance while favoring Hancock's fly-ball tendencies at Camden Yards. Back Seattle's superior starting pitching and tactical matchups to secure the road win.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

MLBvs Red Sox· -104

Under the dome at Tropicana Field, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays look to halt their slide as they host the road-resilient Boston Red Sox in a crucial division battle. The market has installed the Red Sox as slight road favorites at -112, largely buying into Connelly Early’s shiny 3.26 ERA. However, the market is overpaying for a fragile number here. Early’s 4.65 xERA, 12.4% Barrel%, and 43.5% Hard-hit% allowed show that his surface results are highly volatile. Furthermore, he possesses a glaring platoon split, yielding a .716 OPS to right-handed hitters compared to .634 against lefties. The Rays have perfectly countered this by loading their lineup with righty specialists like Yandy Diaz (.934 OPS vs. LHP) and Junior Caminero (.937 OPS vs. LHP), who are primed to punish Early's fly-ball tendencies (0.85 GO/AO) and reverse splits. On the other side of the ledger, the Rays present incredible value with an innovative 'opener' strategy. While Ian Seymour’s surface 5.23 ERA looks high, his 3.92 xERA indicates the market is offering a major discount on his true capability. Seymour's elite changeup carries a massive 42.1% whiff rate that is designed to completely neutralize Boston's top left-handed threats, Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu, early in the game. Once Seymour hands off to bulk reliever Mason Englert, the Rays can turn to their deep, fully rested bullpen. Unlike the Red Sox's injury-riddled middle relief, the Rays' high-leverage arms are incredibly stable, featuring setup man Kevin Kelly (2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) and closer Bryan Baker (2.13 ERA, 16 saves), who are well-positioned to lock down the late innings. The strongest argument against backing the Rays is their recent 3-10 skid and their defensive vulnerability, having committed 42 errors this season. Red Sox catcher Carlos Narvaez controls the run game with an elite 37.5% caught-stealing rate, whereas Rays catcher Nick Fortes is highly vulnerable, throwing out just 17.8% of basestealers. If Jarren Duran can get on base and run wild, he can force the slumping Rays into costly defensive mistakes. However, the Rays' elite right-handed bats and Seymour's high-whiff changeup should prevent the Red Sox's lefties from sustaining rallies. Backed by a premier 21-9 home record and playing with high urgency to protect their division lead, the Rays have the perfect matchup to break their slump. Trust the home side's platoon advantages and superior bullpen depth to secure the win.

On the other side of the ledger, the Rays present incredible value with an innovative 'opener' strategy. While Ian Seymour’s surface 5.23 ERA looks high, his 3.92 xERA indicates the market is offering a major discount on his true capability. Seymour's elite changeup carries a massive 42.1% whiff rate that is designed to completely neutralize Boston's top left-handed threats, Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu, early in the game. Once Seymour hands off to bulk reliever Mason Englert, the Rays can turn to their deep, fully rested bullpen. Unlike the Red Sox's injury-riddled middle relief, the Rays' high-leverage arms are incredibly stable, featuring setup man Kevin Kelly (2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP) and closer Bryan Baker (2.13 ERA, 16 saves), who are well-positioned to lock down the late innings.

The strongest argument against backing the Rays is their recent 3-10 skid and their defensive vulnerability, having committed 42 errors this season. Red Sox catcher Carlos Narvaez controls the run game with an elite 37.5% caught-stealing rate, whereas Rays catcher Nick Fortes is highly vulnerable, throwing out just 17.8% of basestealers. If Jarren Duran can get on base and run wild, he can force the slumping Rays into costly defensive mistakes. However, the Rays' elite right-handed bats and Seymour's high-whiff changeup should prevent the Red Sox's lefties from sustaining rallies. Backed by a premier 21-9 home record and playing with high urgency to protect their division lead, the Rays have the perfect matchup to break their slump. Trust the home side's platoon advantages and superior bullpen depth to secure the win.

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GARY'S PICK

MLBvs Yankees· -124

We've got a prime-time, high-stakes battle under the lights at Progressive Field tonight as the Cleveland Guardians host the New York Yankees in a swift rematch of last week’s high-tension series in the Bronx. While the betting public might see two right-handers with near-identical surface ERAs and hesitate, the reality is that the market is overpaying for Gavin Williams' fragile 3.20 ERA, which is heavily masked by a 4.23 xERA, a 12.3% barrel rate, and a 48.2% hard-hit rate. In the 89-degree Cleveland heat, those hard-hit balls are dangerous. However, even with Williams looming as a regression candidate, the absolute devastation of the Yankees' roster makes it incredibly difficult to back the visitors tonight. The Yankees are currently operating in survival mode, missing the heart and soul of their lineup with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and starting catcher Austin Wells all on the shelf. This leaves a massive void in the middle of their order and forces them to start J.C. Escarra at catcher, who is batting just .177 with a meager .493 OPS. While Ben Rice (.299 AVG, 18 HR) remains a serious threat, Williams' ability to neutralize left-handed hitters (.198 AVG allowed) should help him navigate the teeth of this remaining lineup. On the other side, Yankees starter Will Warren has been a model of consistency (3.22 ERA vs. 3.35 xERA), but he faces a strategic nightmare against a Cleveland offense deploying six left-handed or switch-hitters, specifically designed to exploit Warren's higher split susceptibility to lefties (.246 AVG allowed). This includes rookie Travis Bazzana, who carries a lethal .942 OPS against right-handed pitching. Ultimately, this game will be decided in the late frames, where the Guardians hold a massive bullpen advantage. Cleveland’s high-leverage relief corps is completely rested and locked in, featuring closer Cade Smith (21 saves, 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) and setup man Matt Festa (1.09 WHIP), neither of whom has worked since late last week. Conversely, the Yankees' bullpen is heavily taxed, and closer David Bednar (4.15 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) has been highly volatile and worked two of the last three days. Even if Warren pitches a gem, the Yankees' offense lacks the firepower to pull away, and the Guardians' rested bullpen will choke out any late-inning threats. At a reasonable price of -124, trust the healthier home team and their elite bullpen to secure the series opener.

The Yankees are currently operating in survival mode, missing the heart and soul of their lineup with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and starting catcher Austin Wells all on the shelf. This leaves a massive void in the middle of their order and forces them to start J.C. Escarra at catcher, who is batting just .177 with a meager .493 OPS. While Ben Rice (.299 AVG, 18 HR) remains a serious threat, Williams' ability to neutralize left-handed hitters (.198 AVG allowed) should help him navigate the teeth of this remaining lineup. On the other side, Yankees starter Will Warren has been a model of consistency (3.22 ERA vs. 3.35 xERA), but he faces a strategic nightmare against a Cleveland offense deploying six left-handed or switch-hitters, specifically designed to exploit Warren's higher split susceptibility to lefties (.246 AVG allowed). This includes rookie Travis Bazzana, who carries a lethal .942 OPS against right-handed pitching.

Ultimately, this game will be decided in the late frames, where the Guardians hold a massive bullpen advantage. Cleveland’s high-leverage relief corps is completely rested and locked in, featuring closer Cade Smith (21 saves, 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) and setup man Matt Festa (1.09 WHIP), neither of whom has worked since late last week. Conversely, the Yankees' bullpen is heavily taxed, and closer David Bednar (4.15 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) has been highly volatile and worked two of the last three days. Even if Warren pitches a gem, the Yankees' offense lacks the firepower to pull away, and the Guardians' rested bullpen will choke out any late-inning threats. At a reasonable price of -124, trust the healthier home team and their elite bullpen to secure the series opener.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

MLB@ Blue Jays· -176

The roof is open at Rogers Centre as the surging Philadelphia Phillies arrive in Toronto to kick off a high-stakes three-game series against the home-standing Blue Jays. With a major pitching disparity on display tonight, this matchup presents a clear opportunity to back the road favorites. Patrick Corbin’s season-long 3.98 ERA looks decent on paper, but his 5.27 xERA indicates that the market is overpaying for a highly fragile number. His inability to miss bats (only 37 strikeouts in 54.1 innings) and struggles against right-handed hitters (.282 AVG and .816 OPS allowed, with 6 home runs) make him highly vulnerable. Conversely, Cristopher Sánchez has been outstanding with a 1.46 ERA. While his 2.82 xERA suggests a tiny bit of overperformance, an xERA under 3.00 remains elite. He is heavily aided by a sinker that keeps balls on the ground (1.65 GO/AO) and completely neutralizes left-handed hitters (.145 AVG, .358 OPS allowed). The Blue Jays’ offense took a massive hit with the fresh wrist injury to Daulton Varsho, who was scratched from the starting lineup today. Without Varsho’s left-handed power, Toronto’s lineup is forced to rely heavily on bottom-of-the-order depth like Yohendrick Pinango, who struggles severely against left-handed pitching (.111 AVG and .278 OPS). On the other side, the Phillies’ lineup is perfectly constructed to punish a soft-tossing left-hander like Corbin. Kyle Schwarber leads the major leagues with 23 home runs and thrives against lefties (.976 OPS), while Brandon Marsh leads the league with a .338 batting average. Backed by right-handed threats like Trea Turner and Alec Bohm, the Phillies possess the offensive firepower to exploit Corbin’s weaknesses early. The primary argument against the Phillies is that baseball has extreme daily variance and the Blue Jays are a formidable home team with a 19-14 record at Rogers Centre. Toronto also has elite right-handed bats in Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Kazuma Okamoto (13 home runs, 37 RBIs) who can theoretically pull the ball toward left field with tonight's 10 mph Right-to-Left wind. However, the Phillies’ elite defensive play (only 29 errors on the season) is perfectly built to convert Sánchez's grounders on the fast artificial turf into quick outs. With the Blue Jays' top-leverage bullpen arms exhausted from back-to-back appearances and the Phillies possessing a fully rested closer in Jhoan Duran (1.31 ERA), the Phillies are excellent value at -176 to handle business on the road.

The Blue Jays’ offense took a massive hit with the fresh wrist injury to Daulton Varsho, who was scratched from the starting lineup today. Without Varsho’s left-handed power, Toronto’s lineup is forced to rely heavily on bottom-of-the-order depth like Yohendrick Pinango, who struggles severely against left-handed pitching (.111 AVG and .278 OPS). On the other side, the Phillies’ lineup is perfectly constructed to punish a soft-tossing left-hander like Corbin. Kyle Schwarber leads the major leagues with 23 home runs and thrives against lefties (.976 OPS), while Brandon Marsh leads the league with a .338 batting average. Backed by right-handed threats like Trea Turner and Alec Bohm, the Phillies possess the offensive firepower to exploit Corbin’s weaknesses early.

The primary argument against the Phillies is that baseball has extreme daily variance and the Blue Jays are a formidable home team with a 19-14 record at Rogers Centre. Toronto also has elite right-handed bats in Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Kazuma Okamoto (13 home runs, 37 RBIs) who can theoretically pull the ball toward left field with tonight's 10 mph Right-to-Left wind. However, the Phillies’ elite defensive play (only 29 errors on the season) is perfectly built to convert Sánchez's grounders on the fast artificial turf into quick outs. With the Blue Jays' top-leverage bullpen arms exhausted from back-to-back appearances and the Phillies possessing a fully rested closer in Jhoan Duran (1.31 ERA), the Phillies are excellent value at -176 to handle business on the road.

Permanent matchup analysis →

Player props

THE LONG SHOT

CRISTOPHER SANCHEZK'S OVER 6.5

MLBPhillies· -115

Cristopher Sanchez is currently pitching at an elite level, leading the Phillies with 103 strikeouts in 86.1 innings (10.8 K/9). His recent form is exceptional; he has recorded strikeout totals of 8, 9, 6, 13, and 7 over his last five outings, clearing the 6.5 line in 80% of those games. Key to this prop is his high volume floor; Sanchez has pitched at least 7.0 innings in five consecutive starts, ensuring he sees enough hitters to accumulate strikeouts even if his per-inning rate fluctuates. He faces a Toronto lineup that is missing key contact hitter Alejandro Kirk and potentially Daulton Varsho. Sanchez's elite 6.06 K/BB ratio and 1.09 WHIP suggest he will maintain the efficiency needed to stay in the game long enough to easily clear this threshold against a Blue Jays team that is struggling with offensive consistency.

THE LONG SHOT

KYLE SCHWARBERHR OVER 0.5

MLBPhillies· +270

Kyle Schwarber enters this matchup leading the major leagues with 23 home runs and is in a prime position to extend that lead tonight. Despite being a left-handed hitter, Schwarber has been elite against southpaws this season, posting a .976 OPS and 7 home runs in just 88 at-bats. He faces Patrick Corbin, whose 3.98 ERA is significantly belied by a 5.27 xERA and a 44.1% hard-hit rate allowed. Corbin relies on a 90.9 mph fastball and a slider that has struggled with spin rate (17th percentile). While Corbin has not allowed a home run to a left-handed hitter in a small 47-at-bat sample this year, Schwarber's elite barrel percentage and recent form (home run in his last game) make him the most likely candidate to break that trend. At +270 odds, the implied probability of 27% is significantly lower than Schwarber's season-long home run rate per game.

THE LONG SHOT

YANDY DIAZTOTAL BASES OVER 1.5

MLBRays· -115

Yandy Diaz is the engine of the Rays offense and enters this matchup with significant statistical advantages at Tropicana Field. He is batting .333 at home with a massive 1.057 OPS, showing a clear comfort level in this environment. Tonight, he faces Red Sox lefty Connelly Early. Diaz has been elite against left-handers, maintaining a .333 average against them this season. While Early's surface stats (3.26 ERA) look solid, his underlying metrics suggest he is a prime candidate for regression; his expected ERA (xERA) is 4.65, a full 1.39 runs higher than his actual ERA. Early also allows a high barrel rate of 12.4% and a 43.5% hard-hit rate. From the leadoff spot, Diaz will see maximum plate appearances to collect the two total bases needed, likely through multiple hits or an extra-base hit against a pitcher who struggles to limit hard contact. The primary risk is Early's road efficiency (2.67 ERA), but Diaz's elite contact skills and the park environment favor the hitter.

THE LONG SHOT

WILLSON CONTRERASTOTAL BASES OVER 1.5

MLBRed Sox· -110

Willson Contreras has been the most consistent power source for the Red Sox and matches up perfectly against the Rays' pitching strategy tonight. The Rays are using Ian Seymour as an opener; Contreras has feasted on left-handed pitching this year, posting a .316 average and a 1.092 OPS. Seymour's 5.23 ERA and 1.35 WHIP indicate he is vulnerable to high-quality hitters. Even as the Rays transition to their bullpen/bulk relievers, Contreras remains a high-floor option. He maintains a respectable .291 average against right-handers and performs better on the road (.939 OPS) than at Fenway. With 13 home runs this season, he is a constant threat for an extra-base hit that would clear this line in a single swing. The primary risk is the Rays' ability to use high-leverage specialists like Kevin Kelly (2.57 ERA) in the middle innings, but Contreras's elite splits against the projected starter/bulk combo make him the best Red Sox play.

THE LONG SHOT

GAVIN WILLIAMSK'S OVER 5.5

MLBGuardians· -115

Gavin Williams is a high-volume strikeout pitcher, averaging 10.4 K/9 with 94 strikeouts in 81.2 innings. He has been remarkably consistent in clearing the 5.5 line, doing so in four of his last five starts, including an 11-strikeout performance. He faces a Yankees lineup that, while scoring well recently, is missing its most disciplined bats (Judge, Stanton) and is currently relying on high-K hitters like Paul Goldschmidt and Ben Rice (both with 11 K in their last 10 games). Williams' elite velocity (96.6 mph average) and high K/9 suggest he will clear this median line if he can navigate through the 5th inning.

THE LONG SHOT

BEN RICEHR OVER 0.5

MLBYankees· +340

Ben Rice is the clear power engine for the Yankees in the absence of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, hitting 18 home runs in 59 games this season. He is currently on a significant hot streak, batting .400 (16-for-40) over his last 10 games with multiple hits in three consecutive outings. Rice's splits against right-handed pitching are elite (1.069 OPS), and tonight he faces Gavin Williams, whose 3.20 ERA is heavily undermined by a 4.23 xERA and a 12.3% barrel rate allowed. With the temperature at 89 degrees and Rice's current form, the +340 odds (requiring a 22.7% win probability) offer significant value compared to his season HR-per-game rate of over 30%.

THE LONG SHOT

PETE ALONSOHR OVER 0.5

MLBOrioles· +350

Pete Alonso is the primary power threat for an Orioles offense facing Emerson Hancock, a pitcher whose surface-level success (2.80 ERA) is heavily contradicted by a 4.17 xERA. Hancock is a fly-ball pitcher (0.87 GO/AO) who has already surrendered 10 home runs in 70.2 innings this season. Alonso enters this matchup in strong form, batting .308 with 3 home runs over his last 10 games. While the 11-mph wind blowing in from right field provides a defensive hurdle, Alonso's ability to drive the ball to the pull-side (LF) and center field makes him well-equipped to exploit Hancock's tendency to allow contact in the air, especially as Hancock's statistical overperformance begins to normalize.

THE LONG SHOT

DOMINIC CANZONEHR OVER 0.5

MLBMariners· +400

Dominic Canzone has emerged as a high-upside power source for Seattle, hitting all 8 of his home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. He draws an ideal matchup against Trey Gibson, whose underlying metrics are the most vulnerable on the slate, featuring a massive 7.20 xERA and a 14% barrel rate allowed. Gibson has struggled significantly with left-handed hitters, allowing a .300 batting average and .831 OPS to the platoon. Canzone is in excellent recent form, recording three multi-hit games in his last five outings and maintaining an .883 OPS against righties. Despite Gibson's high ground-ball rate (2.00 GO/AO), the frequency with which he allows barreled contact (14%) suggests that when Canzone does elevate the ball, it has a high probability of carrying, even with an 11-mph wind blowing in from right field.

GARY'S PICK

JOSH NAYLORH+R+RBI OVER 1.5

MLBMariners· -145

Josh Naylor is in an ideal position to produce against Orioles starter Trey Gibson. While Gibson's 3.65 ERA looks respectable, his 7.20 xERA and 1.62 WHIP suggest he has been incredibly lucky and is due for significant regression. Gibson has been particularly vulnerable to left-handed hitters like Naylor, allowing a .300 batting average to the platoon. Naylor has been consistent recently, posting a .293 average over his last 10 games and recording multiple hits in three of his last five outings. Given the high traffic Gibson allows (1.62 WHIP), Naylor should have multiple opportunities with runners on base to clear this combined threshold.

GARY'S PICK

PETE ALONSOH+R+RBI OVER 1.5

MLBOrioles· -136

Pete Alonso has been the offensive engine for Baltimore recently, hitting .308 with three home runs over his last 10 games. He faces Emerson Hancock, who has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this season (2.80 ERA vs. 4.17 xERA). Hancock is a fly-ball pitcher (0.87 GO/AO) who allows a high hard-hit rate (43.7%), which aligns perfectly with Alonso's power profile at Camden Yards. With several key Orioles regulars (Rutschman, Basallo) missing from the confirmed lineup, the responsibility for run production falls heavily on Alonso. He has cleared the 1.5 HRR mark in three of his last four games and should benefit from Hancock's regression toward his expected metrics.

GARY'S PICK

WILLSON CONTRERASH+R+RBI OVER 1.5

MLBRed Sox· -124

Willson Contreras is currently the engine of the Red Sox offense, entering this matchup on a blistering .378 tear over his last 10 games. He possesses a significant platoon advantage tonight against Rays left-hander Ian Seymour, as Contreras has posted a massive 1.092 OPS and .316 average against southpaws this season. His role as the cleanup hitter ensures high-leverage opportunities to drive in runs, particularly with Jarren Duran and Ceddanne Rafaela reaching base ahead of him. Even if the Rays transition to their projected bulk reliever Mason Englert (RHP), Contreras remains highly productive with an .872 OPS against right-handed pitching. Given that he has cleared this total in four of his last five outings, his current form and matchup favor another multi-production night.

GARY'S PICK

CEDRIC MULLINSHITS UNDER 0.5

MLBRays· -108

Cedric Mullins has struggled significantly this season, carrying a .182 batting average and a .561 OPS into tonight's contest. He faces a challenging lefty-on-lefty matchup against Connelly Early, who has been exceptionally effective against left-handed hitters, limiting them to a .188 average and allowing just four walks in 64 at-bats. Mullins' position in the 9-hole minimizes his plate appearances and often forces him to face the pitcher's most concentrated efforts to turn the lineup over. While Early's expected metrics suggest general regression, his specific success against lefties remains a primary barrier for Mullins, who has recorded zero hits in three of his last five games. In a pitcher-friendly environment like Tropicana Field, the under on a 0.5-hit line for a struggling hitter in a poor platoon split is the higher-probability side.

GARY'S PICK

GAVIN WILLIAMSK'S OVER 6.5

MLBGuardians· -138

Gavin Williams enters this matchup with elite swing-and-miss stuff, evidenced by a 10.4 K/9 and exceptional whiff rates on his primary offerings. His 42.4% whiff rate on the sweeper is particularly lethal against a Yankees lineup that has been forced to elevate high-strikeout volatility players into prominent roles due to injuries. Williams has recorded at least 6 strikeouts in four of his last five starts, including an 11-K performance. Facing a Yankees order missing its most disciplined anchors (Judge/Stanton), Williams is well-positioned to exploit an aggressive approach in a pitcher-friendly environment.

GARY'S PICK

BEN RICEH+R+RBI OVER 1.5

MLBYankees· -114

Ben Rice has become the focal point of the Yankees' offense in the absence of their veteran stars, producing at a .400 clip over his last 10 games. He possesses a massive platoon advantage tonight, hitting .304 with 13 home runs against right-handers this season. While Williams has been fortunate with a 3.20 ERA, his 4.23 xERA and 48.2% hard-hit rate allowed indicate he is susceptible to damage. Rice has cleared the 1.5 HRR threshold in five consecutive games, often recording multiple hits or significant RBI totals. Batting second ensures he will see maximum plate appearances to capitalize on Williams' underlying statistical vulnerabilities.

GARY'S PICK

BRANDON MARSHH+R+RBI OVER 1.5

MLBPhillies· -110

Brandon Marsh is currently the hottest hitter in baseball, leading the league with a .338 batting average and riding a perfect June hitting streak. Over his last 10 games, Marsh has cleared the 1.5 hits_runs_rbis threshold in 70% of his outings, including 6-for-6 this month. Hitting in the cleanup spot provides him with high-value RBI opportunities with the Phillies' high-OBP core (Schwarber and Harper) batting ahead of him. He faces Patrick Corbin, whose metrics suggest significant vulnerability; Corbin's xERA of 5.27 is nearly 1.3 runs higher than his actual ERA, and his 1.38 WHIP indicates a tendency to allow frequent baserunners. While Marsh is a left-handed hitter facing a left-handed pitcher, he maintains a strong .294 average in that split, making the 1.5 line a low bar for a player in this form.

GARY'S PICK

PATRICK CORBINPITCHER OUTS UNDER 15.5

MLBBlue Jays· -155

Patrick Corbin has struggled with efficiency and longevity throughout the 2026 season, failing to clear the 15.5 out mark (5.1 innings) in four of his last five starts (IP: 5.0, 5.0, 6.0, 4.0, 4.1). His season average of 4.93 innings per start already sits below the line, and tonight he faces a Philadelphia Phillies offense that is surging, having won five of their last six games. The Phillies' core features high-walk and high-power threats like Kyle Schwarber (23 HR) and Bryce Harper (.875 OPS) who are adept at driving up pitch counts. Additionally, with Toronto's bullpen featuring high-leverage arms like Louis Varland (0.26 ERA) and a newly reinstated Tommy Nance, the Blue Jays have a short leash for a veteran starter who allows frequent contact (1.38 WHIP). The combination of Corbin's poor expected metrics and the Phillies' recent offensive form makes a deep outing unlikely.

Research

PLATOON EDGENYY @ CLE
Travis Bazzana (bats L) hits 1st against Will Warren (RHP)
Over 88 AB vs. Right, Travis Bazzana owns a .942 OPS versus .512 in 45 AB the other way. He sees RHP Will Warren tonight hitting 1st, where the platoon side lines up his way.
STREAKSAS @ NYK
NYK has won 13 straight
New York Knicks has won 13 straight, winning by 21 a game over the run; 10-0 across the last 10.
HR THREATPhillies @ Blue Jays
Kyle Schwarber to go deep
Kyle Schwarber enters this matchup leading the major leagues with 23 home runs and is in a prime position to extend that lead tonight. Despite being a left-handed hitter, Schwarber has been elite against southpaws this season, posting a .976 OPS and 7 home runs in just 88 at-bats.
REGRESSIONSEA @ BAL
Trey Gibson: 3.65 ERA vs 7.2 xERA
Trey Gibson carries a 3.65 ERA against a 7.2 expected ERA (3.55 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .271 off him vs a .303 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
HEAT CHECKSF @ CHC
Pete Crow-Armstrong is scorching: 1.118 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 56 PA: a 1.118 OPS versus .783 for the season, 0.335 above his norm. He has 11 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
HEAT CHECKSF @ CHC
Jung Hoo Lee is scorching: 1.279 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 41 PA: a 1.279 OPS versus .803 for the season, 0.476 above his norm. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
HEAT CHECKSEA @ BAL
Colton Cowser is scorching: 1.191 OPS in Last 15 Days
That 1.191 OPS spans the last 15 days (39 PA) against a .734 season baseline, a 0.457 swing. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
PLATOON EDGEBOS @ TB
Wilyer Abreu (bats L) draws Ian Seymour (LHP), batting 3rd
Wilyer Abreu carries a .978 OPS vs. Left (74 AB) against .669 the other way (167 AB), and faces LHP Ian Seymour from the 3rd spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
PLATOON EDGEPHI @ TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (bats R) draws Cristopher Sanchez (LHP), batting 3rd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. carries a .987 OPS vs. Left (44 AB) against .694 the other way (186 AB), and faces LHP Cristopher Sanchez from the 3rd spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
STREAKALG @ ARG
Argentina won the 2022 World Cup
Defending champions from 2022 — 6 wins in their last 8 World Cup matches (W-W-W-W-W-W-L-L).
HEAT CHECKPHI @ TOR
Brandon Marsh is scorching: 1.259 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 41 PA: a 1.259 OPS versus .890 for the season, 0.369 above his norm. He has 8 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
SITUATIONALPHI @ TOR
15.3 bullpen innings in 3 games for TOR
Relievers have absorbed 15.3 innings over the last 3 games (Spencer Miles (4.3) and Adam Macko (2.3) the heaviest). PHI's pen has thrown 12 over the same span.
COOLING OFFNYY @ CLE
Chase DeLauter cold (.470 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Will Warren
Chase DeLauter's .470 OPS over the last 15 days (50 PA) trails his .735 season mark, down 0.265. Tonight he draws RHP Will Warren — his weaker side: a .670 OPS vs RHP across 158 AB.
TOURNAMENTTO LIFT THE CUP
Spain head the title market at +450
Spain are the market's outright World Cup favourite at +450. France (+470) and England (+650) are the next shortest.
HR THREATYankees @ Guardians
Ben Rice to go deep
Ben Rice is the clear power engine for the Yankees in the absence of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, hitting 18 home runs in 59 games this season. He is currently on a significant hot streak, batting .400 (16-for-40) over his last 10 games with multiple hits in three consecutive outings.
HR THREATMariners @ Orioles
Dominic Canzone to go deep
Dominic Canzone has emerged as a high-upside power source for Seattle, hitting all 8 of his home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. He draws an ideal matchup against Trey Gibson, whose underlying metrics are the most vulnerable on the slate, featuring a massive 7.20 xERA and a 14% barrel rate allowed.
HR THREATMariners @ Orioles
Pete Alonso to go deep
Pete Alonso is the primary power threat for an Orioles offense facing Emerson Hancock, a pitcher whose surface-level success (2.80 ERA) is heavily contradicted by a 4.17 xERA. Hancock is a fly-ball pitcher (0.87 GO/AO) who has already surrendered 10 home runs in 70.2 innings this season.
HEAT CHECKSEA @ BAL
Dominic Canzone is scorching: 1.224 OPS in Last 15 Days
That 1.224 OPS spans the last 15 days (34 PA) against a .859 season baseline, a 0.365 swing. He has 8 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
PLATOON EDGEPHI @ TOR
George Springer (bats R) gets a LHP from the 1st spot
George Springer's vs. Left line (.772 OPS, 44 AB) sits well above his .594 mark the other way (130 AB). Tonight's starter Cristopher Sanchez throws LHP, the hand he hits best.
PLATOON EDGESF @ CHC
Willy Adames (bats R) draws Jameson Taillon (RHP), batting 4th
Willy Adames carries a .792 OPS vs. Right (192 AB) against .571 the other way (68 AB), and faces RHP Jameson Taillon from the 4th spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
PLATOON EDGEBOS @ TB
Willson Contreras (bats R) gets a LHP from the 4th spot
Willson Contreras's vs. Left line (1.092 OPS, 57 AB) sits well above his .872 mark the other way (158 AB). Tonight's starter Ian Seymour throws LHP, the hand he hits best.
BALLPARKRSA @ MEX
Mexico vs South Africa kicks off at Estadio Azteca
Estadio Azteca sits 2,240m above sea level, the highest venue of the tournament. Thinner air at this elevation affects stamina and ball flight.
BALLPARKCZE @ KOR
South Korea vs Czechia kicks off at Estadio Akron
Estadio Akron sits 1,566m above sea level. Thinner air at this elevation affects stamina and ball flight.
COOLING OFFSF @ CHC
Nico Hoerner cold (.511 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Trevor McDonald
Nico Hoerner's .511 OPS over the last 15 days (56 PA) trails his .679 season mark, down 0.168. Tonight he draws RHP Trevor McDonald — his weaker side: a .629 OPS vs RHP across 180 AB.
SITUATIONALSF @ CHC
13 bullpen innings in 3 games for CHC
Relievers have absorbed 13 innings over the last 3 games (Ryan Rolison (2.7) and Jacob Webb (2) the heaviest). SF's pen has thrown 12 over the same span.
COOLING OFFSF @ CHC
Daniel Susac cold (.455 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Jameson Taillon
Daniel Susac's .455 OPS over the last 15 days (33 PA) trails his .732 season mark, down 0.277. Tonight he draws RHP Jameson Taillon — his weaker side: a .676 OPS vs RHP across 49 AB.
HEAT CHECKBOS @ TB
Jarren Duran is scorching: .863 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 53 PA: a .863 OPS versus .668 for the season, 0.195 above his norm. He has 10 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
PLATOON EDGESF @ CHC
Jung Hoo Lee (bats L) gets a RHP from the 5th spot
Jung Hoo Lee's vs. Right line (.859 OPS, 161 AB) sits well above his .651 mark the other way (59 AB). Tonight's starter Jameson Taillon throws RHP, the hand he hits best.
TOURNAMENTGROUP H
Spain are the shortest group-winner chalk on the board
Spain are -475 to win Group H — the shortest group-winner price of the tournament. The next side in Group H, Uruguay, is out at +400.
TOURNAMENTPATH TO THE FINAL
France are the market's pick to reach the final from the other half
Behind the outright favourite, France carry the shortest price to reach the final at +250 — the side the market most expects to come through the other half of the bracket.
COOLING OFFNYY @ CLE
Angel Martinez cold (.420 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Will Warren
Angel Martinez's .420 OPS over the last 15 days (40 PA) trails his .690 season mark, down 0.27. Tonight he draws RHP Will Warren — his stronger side: a .724 OPS vs RHP across 136 AB.
HEAT CHECKBOS @ TB
Willson Contreras is scorching: 1.151 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 41 PA: a 1.151 OPS versus .931 for the season, 0.22 above his norm. He has 13 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
STREAKCOL @ UZB
Colombia are unbeaten in their last 3 World Cup matches
Across their last 4 2018 World Cup matches they are 2-1-1 (D-W-W-L), carrying a 3-match unbeaten run.
PLATOON EDGESEA @ BAL
Pete Alonso (bats R) draws Emerson Hancock (RHP), batting 3rd
Pete Alonso carries a .814 OPS vs. Right (173 AB) against .670 the other way (78 AB), and faces RHP Emerson Hancock from the 3rd spot — a split his blended season line may not reflect.
SITUATIONALPAR @ TUR
Türkiye arrive on 5 days' rest; Paraguay have had 7
Türkiye come into the fixture on 5 days' rest while Paraguay have had 7 days' — a 2-day recovery gap in the June 20 meeting.
BATTER VS ARMSAS @ NYK
NYK leads the series 4-1
New York Knicks leads the season series 4-1, winning by 9 a game across 5 meetings.
HEAT CHECKNYY @ CLE
Trent Grisham is scorching: .926 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 47 PA: a .926 OPS versus .736 for the season, 0.19 above his norm. He has 8 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
BATTER VS ARMSF @ CHC
Rafael Devers owns Jameson Taillon (.308) — and he's hot
Rafael Devers's career line off Jameson Taillon is 4-for-13, a .308 average over 13 at-bats with 2 home runs — they meet again tonight. He enters hot (.840 OPS, L15).
STREAKCPV @ ESP
Spain are winless in their last 3 World Cup matches
Across their last 8 2022 World Cup matches they are 2-4-2 (L-L-D-W-D-D-W-D), carrying 3 straight World Cup games without a win.
TOURNAMENTGROUP B
Group B is the tightest group-winner market
Group B's group-winner market is the most open on the board: Switzerland and Canada both priced inside +250.
REGRESSIONPHI @ TOR
J.T. Realmuto's .210 AVG masks a .256 xBA
J.T. Realmuto is hitting .210 against a .256 expected average (xBA) over 157 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .279 against a .327 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit above what he has actually posted.
BALLPARKSF @ CHC
At Wrigley Field, Jameson Taillon pitches to a 4.19 ERA
Jameson Taillon starts at Wrigley Field tonight, where his ERA is 4.19 over 34.3 innings — 6.21 on a 33.3-inning baseline elsewhere. Hitters bat .254 off him here.
REGRESSIONPHI @ TOR
Ernie Clement is hitting .306, but his xBA is .261
Across 261 plate appearances, Ernie Clement carries a .306 average versus a .261 xBA. His wOBA sits at .343 against a .278 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
REGRESSIONBOS @ TB
Connelly Early: 3.26 ERA vs 4.65 xERA
Connelly Early carries a 3.26 ERA against a 4.65 expected ERA (1.39 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .224 off him vs a .248 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ TOR
Ernie Clement (.755 vs LHP) replaces Lenyn Sosa at 2B tonight
Ernie Clement draws LHP Cristopher Sanchez from the 5th spot. He carries a .755 OPS vs LHP (66 AB) — a tough platoon spot relative to his .786 season line. On the injury report for 11 days (Wrist).
REPLACEMENTBOS @ TB
Jarren Duran (.636 vs LHP) replaces Roman Anthony at LF tonight
Jarren Duran draws LHP Ian Seymour from the 1st spot. He carries a .636 OPS vs LHP (60 AB) — a tough platoon spot relative to his .668 season line. Hit the injury report today (Finger).
REPLACEMENTSEA @ BAL
Leody Taveras (.794 vs RHP) replaces Dylan Beavers at RF tonight
Leody Taveras draws RHP Emerson Hancock from the 5th spot. He carries a .794 OPS vs RHP (114 AB) — a favorable platoon spot relative to his .718 season line. On the injury report for 12 days (Oblique).
REPLACEMENTPHI @ TOR
Addison Barger (RF) is out for TOR — Nathan Lukes starts in his place tonight
Nathan Lukes slots in at RF (bats 2nd tonight) and carries a .776 OPS / .316 AVG this season. Hit the injury report today (Elbow).
REGRESSIONBOS @ TB
Ian Seymour: 5.23 ERA vs 3.92 xERA
Ian Seymour carries a 5.23 ERA against a 3.92 expected ERA (1.31 run gap), so he has been underperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .239 off him vs a .226 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
TOURNAMENTSUREST TO ADVANCE
England are the surest bet to advance
England are -10000 to escape their group out of Group L — the shortest to-advance price on the board.
BALLPARKSEN @ FRA
France vs Senegal: afternoon heat at MetLife Stadium
An open-air 3pm local kickoff at MetLife Stadium — open-air in an exposed Meadowlands bowl. Conditioning is tested when matches are played in the afternoon sun.
REGRESSIONPHI @ TOR
Patrick Corbin: 3.98 ERA vs 5.27 xERA
Patrick Corbin carries a 3.98 ERA against a 5.27 expected ERA (1.3 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .281 off him vs a .288 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
REGRESSIONBOS @ TB
Ceddanne Rafaela's .286 average outruns a .246 expected
Ceddanne Rafaela's .286 average comes against a .246 expected (xBA) on 233 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .346 against a .301 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
BALLPARKSUI @ QAT
Qatar vs Switzerland: afternoon heat at Levi's Stadium
An open-air 12pm local kickoff at Levi's Stadium — open-air in hot Bay Area inland afternoons. Conditioning is tested when matches are played in the afternoon sun.
REGRESSIONSEA @ BAL
Emerson Hancock: 2.8 ERA vs 4.17 xERA
Emerson Hancock carries a 2.8 ERA against a 4.17 expected ERA (1.37 run gap), so he has been outperforming his contact quality. Opponents hit .206 off him vs a .248 expected (xBA). Most lines price off his season ERA, which may not reflect that gap.
BALLPARKNYY @ CLE
Gavin Williams's ERA drops to 2.29 at Progressive Field
Gavin Williams carries a 2.29 ERA over 6 games (39.3 IP) at tonight's park vs 4.04 across 42.3 innings everywhere else. Hitters bat .208 off him here. He starts here tonight.
COOLING OFFPHI @ TOR
Bryson Stott has gone cold: .490 OPS in Last 15 Days
The last 15 days sample runs 43 PA: a .490 OPS versus .642 for the season, 0.152 below his norm.
STREAKEGY @ BEL
Belgium are winless in their last 2 World Cup matches
Across their last 8 2022 World Cup matches they are 5-1-2 (D-L-W-W-L-W-W-W), carrying 2 straight World Cup games without a win.
STREAKMAR @ BRA
Morocco are winless in their last 2 World Cup matches
Across their last 8 2022 World Cup matches they are 4-2-2 (L-L-W-W-W-W-D-D), carrying 2 straight World Cup games without a win.
STREAKCUW @ GER
Germany are unbeaten in their last 2 World Cup matches
Across their last 6 2022 World Cup matches they are 2-1-3 (W-D-L-L-W-L), carrying a 2-match unbeaten run.
COOLING OFFSEA @ BAL
Luke Raley cold (.703 OPS, L15) — draws RHP Trey Gibson
Luke Raley's .703 OPS over the last 15 days (43 PA) trails his .854 season mark, down 0.151. Tonight he draws RHP Trey Gibson — his stronger side: a .904 OPS vs RHP across 156 AB.
COOLING OFFBOS @ TB
Nick Fortes cold (.422 OPS, L15) — draws LHP Connelly Early
Nick Fortes's .422 OPS over the last 15 days (27 PA) trails his .586 season mark, down 0.164. Tonight he draws LHP Connelly Early — his weaker side: a .496 OPS vs LHP across 66 AB.
BALLPARKPHI @ TOR
Patrick Corbin owns a 4.74 ERA at Rogers Centre — 3.57 everywhere else
Across 4 games (19 IP) at this venue, Patrick Corbin has a 4.74 ERA against 3.57 at his other parks (35.3 IP). Hitters bat .325 off him here. He draws the start here tonight.
TOURNAMENTGROUP STAGE
The eight best third-place sides advance
In the 48-team format the eight best third-place finishers reach the Round of 32 — a single win across the group stage can be enough to advance.
COOLING OFFBOS @ TB
Ryan Vilade cold (.670 OPS, L15) — draws LHP Connelly Early
Ryan Vilade's .670 OPS over the last 15 days (29 PA) trails his .800 season mark, down 0.13. Tonight he draws LHP Connelly Early — his stronger side: a .824 OPS vs LHP across 52 AB.
REPLACEMENTSEA @ BAL
Brendan Donovan (3B) is out for SEA — Patrick Wisdom starts in his place tonight
Patrick Wisdom slots in at 3B (bats 7th tonight) and carries a .486 OPS / .143 AVG this season. On the injury report for 21 days (Groin).
REPLACEMENTSEA @ BAL
Cal Raleigh (C) is out for SEA — Jhonny Pereda starts in his place tonight
With Cal Raleigh out (Oblique; on the injury report for 5 days), Jhonny Pereda draws the start at C and bats 9th tonight and carries a .775 OPS / .292 AVG this season.
BALLPARKPAR @ USA
USA vs Paraguay: indoors at SoFi Stadium
SoFi Stadium is a closed-roof venue — canopy roof, climate-managed. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.
BALLPARKTUR @ AUS
Australia vs Türkiye: indoors at BC Place
BC Place is a retractable-roof venue — retractable roof, mild Pacific climate. The summer heat that exposes open stadiums is removed from this fixture.
TOURNAMENTGROUP C
Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
Brazil enter as the No. 5 title choice at +850. Opens June 13: Brazil vs Morocco. Shortest price to win Group C: Brazil at -320.
TOURNAMENTGROUP A
Group A: Mexico, South Korea, Czechia, South Africa
Mexico are the market favourite to win Group A at -140. Opens June 11: Mexico vs South Africa.
TOURNAMENTGROUP B
Group B: Switzerland, Canada, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Qatar
Switzerland are the market favourite to win Group B at -130. Opens June 12: Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina.
TOURNAMENTGROUP F
Group F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia
Netherlands enter as the No. 8 title choice at +1700. Opens June 14: Netherlands vs Japan. Shortest price to win Group F: Netherlands at -130.
TOURNAMENTGROUP E
Group E: Germany, Ecuador, Côte d'Ivoire, Curaçao
Germany enter as the No. 7 title choice at +1400. Opens June 14: Germany vs Curaçao. Shortest price to win Group E: Germany at -260.
TOURNAMENTGROUP D
Group D: USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, Australia
USA are the market favourite to win Group D at +130. Opens June 13: USA vs Paraguay.
SITUATIONALSAS @ NYK
Both sides on 3 days rest
Both teams enter on 3 days rest — neither side holds a schedule edge tonight.

Graded results

Games

W
Rays ML -104
MLB · 1-3
W
Phillies ML -176
MLB · 5-2
L
Guardians ML -124
MLB · 7-5
W
Mariners ML -132
MLB · 6-3

Props

L
Ben Rice · over
Yankees @ Guardians · Actual 0
W
Ben Rice · over
Yankees @ Guardians · Actual 4
L
Brandon Marsh · over
Phillies @ Blue Jays · Actual 1
L
Cedric Mullins · under
Red Sox @ Rays · Actual 1
L
Cristopher Sanchez · over
Phillies @ Blue Jays · Actual 1
L
Dominic Canzone · over
Mariners @ Orioles · Actual 0
L
Gavin Williams · over
Yankees @ Guardians · Actual 5
W
Josh Naylor · over
Mariners @ Orioles · Actual 8
L
Kyle Schwarber · over
Phillies @ Blue Jays · Actual 0
W
Patrick Corbin · under
Phillies @ Blue Jays · Actual 9
L
Pete Alonso · over
Mariners @ Orioles · Actual 0
L
Pete Alonso · over
Mariners @ Orioles · Actual 1
L
Willson Contreras · over
Red Sox @ Rays · Actual 0
L
Willson Contreras · over
Red Sox @ Rays · Actual 0
W
Yandy Diaz · over
Red Sox @ Rays · Actual 4

Sports picks for Monday, June 8, 2026

Game picks

Mariners
Moneyline

Rays
Moneyline

Guardians
Moneyline

Phillies
Moneyline

Player props

Cristopher Sanchez
K'S over 6.5

Kyle Schwarber
HR over 0.5

Yandy Diaz
Total Bases over 1.5

Willson Contreras
Total Bases over 1.5

Gavin Williams
K'S over 5.5

Ben Rice
HR over 0.5

Pete Alonso
HR over 0.5

Dominic Canzone
HR over 0.5

Josh Naylor
H+R+RBI over 1.5

Pete Alonso
H+R+RBI over 1.5

Willson Contreras
H+R+RBI over 1.5

Cedric Mullins
Hits under 0.5

Gavin Williams
K'S over 6.5

Ben Rice
H+R+RBI over 1.5

Brandon Marsh
H+R+RBI over 1.5

Patrick Corbin
Pitcher Outs under 15.5

Research

Graded results

Games

Props